Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / GLAD / earnings

CSWC (48) UFI (61) AIN (47) CULP (40) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±4.3% Move

$19.13 +1.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.16

Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $432.2M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.16 (+0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GLAD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY GLAD SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 50% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$18.81+0.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$18.88-2.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$18.36+4.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D$19.13-5.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GLAD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GLAD currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.27) and Max Pain ($20.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.82.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GLAD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “GLAD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 47%NO 53%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±4.3% Swing Band

±$0.82 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

GLAD Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 47/100

Trailing EPS: $2.53 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (47/100)Model Risk Weight (53/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-09-30	$0	$57.2M	-$5.5M	52%
FY 2024	2024-09-30	$0	$94.5M	$3.2M	52%
FY 2023	2023-09-30	$0	$42.7M	-$10.9M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GLAD)

✓Walkthrough of GLAD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

GLAD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.22%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $19.26H $19.26L $18.84C $19.13VOL 165.3K

RES: $20.35SUP: $18.13SMA50: $19.27SMA200: $19.09

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GLAD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 GLAD Butterfly Map → + Track GLAD →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-6.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GLAD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GLAD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GLAD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GLAD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #705 of 1011 ⚔️ CSWC vs GLAD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GLAD vs. CSWC, UFI, AIN, CULP)

Industry: Textiles (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) ranks #705 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #603 by equity capitalization ($432.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GLAD leads on earnings valuation at 7.6x trailing P/E, while CSWC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.6% ROIC and — gross margin. UFI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GLAD at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
GLAD ACTIVE Gladstone Capital Corporation	D	47/100	7.6x	—	12.0%	+1.97%	$432.2M	Benchmark Subject
CSWC Capital Southwest Corporation	D	48/100	10.7x	—	13.6%	+1.74%	$1.45B	/cswc-vs-glad →
UFI Unifi Inc.	C-	61/100	—	5.7%	-5.8%	+12.37%	$118.2M	/ufi-vs-glad →
AIN Albany International Corporation	D	47/100	—	20.6%	-2.7%	+3.99%	$1.84B	/ain-vs-glad →
CULP Culp Inc.	D-	40/100	—	12.4%	-14.0%	+3.43%	$46.1M	/culp-vs-glad →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001143513

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $57.2M, operating cash flow of -$5.5M, and free cash flow of -$5.5M (-269.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GLAD closed FY2025 with $922.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$0	$57.2M	-$5.5M	-$5.5M	$922.8M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$0	$94.5M	$3.2M	$3.2M	$815.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$0	$42.7M	-$10.9M	-$10.9M	—	—

3. GLAD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GLAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Gladstone Capital Corporation (NASDAQ: GLAD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $19.13 (+1.97% 1D, market cap $432.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GLAD ranks #705 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GLAD compare to CSWC and UFI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Textiles), GLAD carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, CSWC (Capital Southwest Corporation) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $1.45B) and UFI (Unifi Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $118.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GLAD leads on earnings multiple (7.6x) while CSWC leads on capital efficiency (13.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GLAD?

Per GLAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001143513), Gladstone Capital Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $57.2M in net income, and -$5.5M in free cash flow against $922.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GLAD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GLAD last traded at $19.13 (+1.97% on volume of 112,477 shares), positioning the stock -0.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.27) and +0.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.09). Across its 52-week range of $16.54 to $21.73, GLAD sits at the 49.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($18.31 to $19.95).

GLAD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is GLAD's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is GLAD stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±4.3% event move for GLAD, spanning a range between $18.31 and $19.95.

Direct Sub-Reports: GLAD RQD Cockpit GLAD 12M Forecast GLAD Earnings & Move GLAD Dividends & DRIP GLAD Insiders & 13F GLAD Whale Options GLAD Profit Sankey GLAD News & Why