Why GLAD Stock advanced +1.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$19.13 +1.97% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.16

Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $432.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $19.16 (+0.16%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
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Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+
Cash (8)Whales (10)SEC (10)Macro (11)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$23 Bull$18 Base$14 Bear
📬 FREE GLAD RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for GLAD)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY GLAD SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+11/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 50% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 51.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±4.3% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 12 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$18.81+0.4% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$18.88-2.8% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$18.36+4.2% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$19.13-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a GLAD Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While GLAD currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($19.27) and Max Pain ($20.09) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $22.82.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+1.08% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $GLAD• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “GLAD Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why GLAD Stock advanced +1.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) advanced +1.97% to $19.13, trading at 50% of its 52-week range ($16.54 – $21.73). Stretched risk/reward at 8x P/E (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 50% of its 52-week range ($16.54 – $21.73) with RSI-14 at 51.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±4.3% around $19.13 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live GLAD Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring GLAD)

  • ✓Walkthrough of GLAD's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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GLAD // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +1.22%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $19.26H $19.26L $18.84C $19.13VOL 165.3K
RES: $20.35SUP: $18.13SMA50: $19.27SMA200: $19.09
$21.48$20.57$19.66$18.76$17.85RES $20.35SUP $18.13$19.132026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

GLAD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on GLAD today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for GLAD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for GLAD today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (GLAD)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #705 of 1011 ⚔️ CSWC vs GLAD Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (GLAD vs. CSWC, UFI, AIN, CULP)

Industry: Textiles (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) ranks #705 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #603 by equity capitalization ($432.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GLAD leads on earnings valuation at 7.6x trailing P/E, while CSWC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.6% ROIC and — gross margin. UFI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with GLAD at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
GLAD ACTIVE
Gladstone Capital Corporation
D 47/100 7.6x — 12.0% +1.97% $432.2M Benchmark Subject
CSWC
Capital Southwest Corporation
D 48/100 10.7x — 13.6% +1.74% $1.45B /cswc-vs-glad →
UFI
Unifi Inc.
C- 61/100 — 5.7% -5.8% +12.37% $118.2M /ufi-vs-glad →
AIN
Albany International Corporation
D 47/100 — 20.6% -2.7% +3.99% $1.84B /ain-vs-glad →
CULP
Culp Inc.
D- 40/100 — 12.4% -14.0% +3.43% $46.1M /culp-vs-glad →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001143513

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Gladstone Capital Corporation (GLAD) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $57.2M, operating cash flow of -$5.5M, and free cash flow of -$5.5M (-269.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, GLAD closed FY2025 with $922.8M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $0 $57.2M -$5.5M -$5.5M $922.8M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $0 $94.5M $3.2M $3.2M $815.6M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $0 $42.7M -$10.9M -$10.9M — —

3. GLAD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is GLAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Gladstone Capital Corporation (NASDAQ: GLAD) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $19.13 (+1.97% 1D, market cap $432.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, GLAD ranks #705 in composite RQD confidence.

How does GLAD compare to CSWC and UFI in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Textiles), GLAD carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.0%. By comparison, CSWC (Capital Southwest Corporation) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $1.45B) and UFI (Unifi Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -5.8%, cap $118.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GLAD leads on earnings multiple (7.6x) while CSWC leads on capital efficiency (13.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for GLAD?

Per GLAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001143513), Gladstone Capital Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $57.2M in net income, and -$5.5M in free cash flow against $922.8M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is GLAD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

GLAD last traded at $19.13 (+1.97% on volume of 112,477 shares), positioning the stock -0.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.27) and +0.21% above its 200-day simple moving average ($19.09). Across its 52-week range of $16.54 to $21.73, GLAD sits at the 49.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($18.31 to $19.95).

GLAD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is GLAD stock moving today?

Why GLAD Stock advanced +1.97% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 8x P/E (12% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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