Albany International Corporation (AIN) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$64.96 +3.99% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $65.30

Albany International Corporation (AIN) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 47/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.84B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $65.30 (+0.53%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (47/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-5.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510047
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D-
Cash (12)Whales (11)SEC (7)Macro (9)CEO (8)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5% Base Target
$81 Bull$62 Base$48 Bear
📬 FREE AIN RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AIN)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (47/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY AIN SCORES 47/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7% FCF Margin ($82.6M FCF) & 20.6% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±6.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 13 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
39
Grade E$61.80-1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
42
Grade D$60.76+3% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
44
Grade D$62.61+3.8% Next Q
Current
47
Grade D$64.96-5.9% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (39) → D (47)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AIN Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AIN currently carries a cautious 47/100 (D) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($60.61) and Max Pain ($68.21) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $80.85.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.12% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AIN• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “AIN Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMBULLISH MOMENTUM
68.330 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDWATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)
2.88>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
5 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE66% OF RANGE
L: $41$64.96H: $77
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (21% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: DRQD 19 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on AIN

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

-2.7% ROIC with 20.6% gross margin and 4.48% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (35)

Altman-Z 2.88 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (47)

19/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 9/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AIN
  • ✓Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AIN)

  • ✓Walkthrough of AIN's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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AIN // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +11.92%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $64.90H $67.78L $64.90C $64.96VOL 407.3K
RES: $65.84SUP: $51.39SMA50: $60.61SMA200: $61.77
$78.60$71.97$65.35$58.72$52.09RES $65.84SUP $51.39$64.962026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AIN Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -3.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AIN today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AIN. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AIN today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AIN)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #699 of 1011 ⚔️ CSWC vs AIN Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AIN vs. CSWC, GLAD, UFI, CULP)

Industry: Textiles (6 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Albany International Corporation (AIN) ranks #699 by composite RQD confidence (47/100, grade D) and #423 by equity capitalization ($1.84B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, GLAD leads on earnings valuation at 7.6x trailing P/E, while CSWC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.6% ROIC and — gross margin. UFI currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with AIN at 47/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AIN ACTIVE
Albany International Corporation
D 47/100 — 20.6% -2.7% +3.99% $1.84B Benchmark Subject
CSWC
Capital Southwest Corporation
D 48/100 10.7x — 13.6% +1.74% $1.45B /cswc-vs-ain →
GLAD
Gladstone Capital Corporation
D 47/100 7.6x — 12.0% +1.97% $432.2M /glad-vs-ain →
UFI
Unifi Inc.
C- 61/100 — 5.7% -5.8% +12.37% $118.2M /ufi-vs-ain →
CULP
Culp Inc.
D- 40/100 — 12.4% -14.0% +3.43% $46.1M /culp-vs-ain →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000819793

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Albany International Corporation (AIN) reported GAAP revenue of $1.18B (-3.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.23B , and +3.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$57.3M, operating cash flow of $152.5M, and free cash flow of $82.6M (-40.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, AIN closed FY2025 with $1.72B in total assets against $455.7M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.88, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.18B -$57.3M $152.5M $82.6M $1.72B $455.7M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.23B $87.6M $218.4M $138.2M $1.65B $318.5M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.15B $111.1M $148.1M $148.1M — —

3. AIN Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AIN stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Albany International Corporation (NYSE: AIN) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 47/100 at a spot price of $64.96 (+3.99% 1D, market cap $1.84B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 7/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 9/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 8/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AIN ranks #699 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AIN compare to CSWC and GLAD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Textiles), AIN carries a Roarable D (47/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 20.6%, and ROIC of -2.7%. By comparison, CSWC (Capital Southwest Corporation) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 10.7x, ROIC 13.6%, cap $1.45B) and GLAD (Gladstone Capital Corporation) posts a D grade (47/100 RQD, P/E 7.6x, ROIC 12.0%, cap $432.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, GLAD leads on earnings multiple (7.6x) while CSWC leads on capital efficiency (13.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AIN?

Per AIN's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000819793), Albany International Corporation generated $1.18B in revenue (-3.9% YoY), -$57.3M in net income, and $82.6M in free cash flow against $1.72B in total assets and $455.7M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AIN trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AIN last traded at $64.96 (+3.99% on volume of 299,898 shares), positioning the stock +7.18% above its 50-day simple moving average ($60.61) and +5.16% above its 200-day simple moving average ($61.77). Across its 52-week range of $41.15 to $77.00, AIN sits at the 66.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 68.3 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.8% ($60.54 to $69.38).

AIN Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AIN stock right now?

Albany International Corporation (AIN) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 47/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-3% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is AIN's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AIN's 12-month base price target is $61.74 (range $48.16 to $80.85), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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