MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why FRMI Stock dropped -5.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$2.86 -5.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.83
Fermi Inc. (FRMI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE E • RED ALERT
Cap $1.83B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.83 (-1.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FRMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY FRMI SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)
Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (29% of score)
FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$3.43-7.9% Next Q
42
Q2 (-2Q)Grade E$3.16-19.3% Next Q
39
Q3 (-1Q)Grade E$2.55+12.2% Next Q
37
CurrentGrade E$2.86-8.7% Hist 90D α
34
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FRMI Turnaround Squeeze
While FRMI currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.26) and Max Pain ($3.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.78.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FRMI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “FRMI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why FRMI Stock dropped -5.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Fermi Inc. (FRMI) dropped -5.30% to $2.86, trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2.44 – $29.31). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-20% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 2% of its 52-week range ($2.44 – $29.31) with RSI-14 at 33.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±12.5% around $2.86 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable E (Strong Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $0 annual free cash flow.
Live FRMI Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FRMI)
- ✓Walkthrough of FRMI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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FRMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.25%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $2.72H $2.86L $2.52C $2.86VOL 15.76M
RES: $3.96SUP: $2.22SMA50: $4.26SMA200: $6.46
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
FRMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FRMI today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FRMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FRMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FRMI)
Financials Rank #1039 of 1096
⚔️ BXMT vs FRMI Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FRMI vs. BXMT, ARR, DHC, RLJ)
Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fermi Inc. (FRMI) ranks #1039 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #444 by equity capitalization ($1.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARR leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while ARR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and — gross margin. BXMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with FRMI at 34/100 (E).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRMI
ACTIVE
Fermi Inc. | E | 34/100 | — | — | -20.4% | -5.30% | $1.83B | Benchmark Subject |
| BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc. | C | 64/100 | 16.7x | — | 3.1% | +2.94% | $1.83B | /bxmt-vs-frmi → |
| ARR ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc. | C | 63/100 | 5.9x | — | 14.3% | +0.95% | $1.90B | /arr-vs-frmi → |
| DHC Diversified Healthcare Trust of | D- | 36/100 | — | — | -17.2% | +2.18% | $1.93B | /dhc-vs-frmi → |
| RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value | D+ | 53/100 | 67.9x | — | 1.3% | +1.68% | $1.94B | /rlj-vs-frmi → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002071778In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fermi Inc. (FRMI) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of -$486.4M, operating cash flow of -$34.2M, and free cash flow of -$603.5M . On the balance sheet, FRMI closed FY2025 with $1.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $0 | -$486.4M | -$34.2M | -$603.5M | $1.41B | — |
3. FRMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs FRMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Fermi Inc. (NASDAQ: FRMI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $2.86 (-5.30% 1D, market cap $1.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FRMI ranks #1039 in composite RQD confidence.
How does FRMI compare to BXMT and ARR in the Financials sector?
Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), FRMI carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -20.4%. By comparison, BXMT (Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 16.7x, ROIC 3.1%, cap $1.83B) and ARR (ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $1.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while ARR leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRMI?
Per FRMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002071778), Fermi Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$486.4M in net income, and -$603.5M in free cash flow against $1.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is FRMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
FRMI last traded at $2.86 (-5.30% on volume of 16,047,418 shares), positioning the stock -32.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.26) and -55.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.46). Across its 52-week range of $2.44 to $29.31, FRMI sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.50 to $3.22).
FRMI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is FRMI stock moving today?
Why FRMI Stock dropped -5.30% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-20% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.