Stock Ratings / Financials / FRMI / dividends

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Fermi Inc. (FRMI) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$2.86 -5.30% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.83

Fermi Inc. (FRMI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.83B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.83 (-1.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FRMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FRMI SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+10/20 pts (29% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (29% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 2% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 33.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 16 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$3.43-7.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$3.16-19.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$2.55+12.2% Next Q

Current

Grade E$2.86-8.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a FRMI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While FRMI currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Cash Engine Quality (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($4.26) and Max Pain ($3.00) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $30.78.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.72% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FRMI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FRMI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 34%NO 66%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (6.8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $19,307

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $348/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.7K

Yr 1

$11.4K

Yr 2

$12.2K

Yr 3

$13.0K

Yr 4

$13.9K

Yr 5

$14.8K

Yr 6

$15.8K

Yr 7

$16.9K

Yr 8

$18.1K

Yr 9

$19.3K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FRMI)

✓Walkthrough of FRMI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FRMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -44.25%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT

2026-10-30O $2.72H $2.86L $2.52C $2.86VOL 15.76M

RES: $3.96SUP: $2.22SMA50: $4.26SMA200: $6.46

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FRMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FRMI Butterfly Map → + Track FRMI →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FRMI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FRMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FRMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FRMI)

Financials Rank #1039 of 1096 ⚔️ BXMT vs FRMI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FRMI vs. BXMT, ARR, DHC, RLJ)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Fermi Inc. (FRMI) ranks #1039 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #444 by equity capitalization ($1.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ARR leads on earnings valuation at 5.9x trailing P/E, while ARR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 14.3% ROIC and — gross margin. BXMT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with FRMI at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FRMI ACTIVE Fermi Inc.	E	34/100	—	—	-20.4%	-5.30%	$1.83B	Benchmark Subject
BXMT Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc.	C	64/100	16.7x	—	3.1%	+2.94%	$1.83B	/bxmt-vs-frmi →
ARR ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc.	C	63/100	5.9x	—	14.3%	+0.95%	$1.90B	/arr-vs-frmi →
DHC Diversified Healthcare Trust of	D-	36/100	—	—	-17.2%	+2.18%	$1.93B	/dhc-vs-frmi →
RLJ RLJ Lodging Trust of $0.01 par value	D+	53/100	67.9x	—	1.3%	+1.68%	$1.94B	/rlj-vs-frmi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002071778

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Fermi Inc. (FRMI) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of -$486.4M, operating cash flow of -$34.2M, and free cash flow of -$603.5M . On the balance sheet, FRMI closed FY2025 with $1.41B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	-$486.4M	-$34.2M	-$603.5M	$1.41B	—

3. FRMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FRMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Fermi Inc. (NASDAQ: FRMI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $2.86 (-5.30% 1D, market cap $1.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 5/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FRMI ranks #1039 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FRMI compare to BXMT and ARR in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), FRMI carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -20.4%. By comparison, BXMT (Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc.) holds a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E 16.7x, ROIC 3.1%, cap $1.83B) and ARR (ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E 5.9x, ROIC 14.3%, cap $1.90B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ARR leads on earnings multiple (5.9x) while ARR leads on capital efficiency (14.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FRMI?

Per FRMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002071778), Fermi Inc. generated $0 in revenue, -$486.4M in net income, and -$603.5M in free cash flow against $1.41B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FRMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FRMI last traded at $2.86 (-5.30% on volume of 16,047,418 shares), positioning the stock -32.86% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.26) and -55.73% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.46). Across its 52-week range of $2.44 to $29.31, FRMI sits at the 1.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 33.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.50 to $3.22).

FRMI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does FRMI pay a dividend and is it safe?

Fermi Inc. (FRMI) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: FRMI RQD Cockpit FRMI 12M Forecast FRMI Earnings & Move FRMI Dividends & DRIP FRMI Insiders & 13F FRMI Whale Options FRMI Profit Sankey FRMI News & Why