Stock Ratings / Financials / FPH / financials

HPP (50) AGNT (46) CRESY (59) SKYH (37) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$4.20 +2.69% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.21

Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 65/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $621.7M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on FPH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is FPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (NYSE: FPH) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 65/100 at a spot price of $4.20 (+2.69% 1D, market cap $621.7M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 12/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FPH ranks #327 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does FPH compare to HPP and AGNT in the Financials sector?

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Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), FPH carries a Roarable C (65/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 7.7%. By comparison, HPP (Hudson Pacific Properties Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -19.9%, cap $601.8M) and AGNT (AGNT Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -14.3%, cap $665.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYH leads on earnings multiple (43.2x) while FPH leads on capital efficiency (7.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPH?

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Per FPH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001574197), Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) generated $108.2M in revenue (-54.2% YoY), $183.5M in net income, and $105.0M in free cash flow against $3.25B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.21 (+0.29%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 97.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 65/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 55.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FPH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (65/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FPH SCORES 65/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (20% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 0% operating margin leave 11 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$4.48-2.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$4.35-3.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$4.20+0% Next Q

Current

Grade C$4.20+1.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (73) → C (65)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FPH Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 65/100 (C) score, FPH faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($4.71) or 200D SMA ($5.05) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($4.33) toward Bear Floor ($3.38).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FPH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FPH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 65%NO 35%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How FPH Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$105.0M (97.1% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $209.9M

FY24

Rev $236.0M

FY25

Rev $108.2M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$108.2M	52%	0%	$183.5M	$105.0M	7.7%
FY 2024	$236.0M	52%	0%	$177.6M	$115.2M	7.7%
FY 2023	$209.9M	52%	0%	$113.7M	$154.1M	7.7%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FPH)

✓Walkthrough of FPH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FPH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.66%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $4.21H $4.28L $4.14C $4.20VOL 146.6K

RES: $4.68SUP: $3.98SMA50: $4.71SMA200: $5.05

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FPH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FPH Butterfly Map → + Track FPH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -54.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FPH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FPH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FPH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FPH)

Financials Rank #327 of 1096 ⚔️ HPP vs FPH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FPH vs. HPP, AGNT, CRESY, SKYH)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) ranks #327 by composite RQD confidence (65/100, grade C) and #659 by equity capitalization ($621.7M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYH leads on earnings valuation at 43.2x trailing P/E, while FPH leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 7.7% ROIC and — gross margin. FPH currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 65/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FPH ACTIVE Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A)	C	65/100	—	—	7.7%	+2.69%	$621.7M	Benchmark Subject
HPP Hudson Pacific Properties Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	-19.9%	+0.64%	$601.8M	/hpp-vs-fph →
AGNT AGNT Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-14.3%	+1.53%	$665.1M	/agnt-vs-fph →
CRESY Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.	C-	59/100	—	—	—	+0.83%	$776.0M	/cresy-vs-fph →
SKYH Sky Harbour Group Corporation (Class A)	D-	37/100	43.2x	—	-12.9%	+0.61%	$813.0M	/skyh-vs-fph →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001574197

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH) reported GAAP revenue of $108.2M (-54.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $236.0M , and -48.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $183.5M, operating cash flow of $105.2M, and free cash flow of $105.0M (-8.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, FPH closed FY2025 with $3.25B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$108.2M	$183.5M	$105.2M	$105.0M	$3.25B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$236.0M	$177.6M	$116.0M	$115.2M	$3.08B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$209.9M	$113.7M	$154.1M	$154.1M	—	—

3. FPH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FPH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does FPH compare to HPP and AGNT in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FPH?

Where is FPH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FPH last traded at $4.20 (+2.69% on volume of 299,710 shares), positioning the stock -10.83% below its 50-day simple moving average ($4.71) and -16.83% below its 200-day simple moving average ($5.05). Across its 52-week range of $4.02 to $6.47, FPH sits at the 7.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.4% ($3.89 to $4.51).

FPH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Five Point Holdings LLC (Class A) (FPH)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), FPH converted $108.2M of revenue into a 52% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $105.0M in free cash flow (97.1% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: FPH RQD Cockpit FPH 12M Forecast FPH Earnings & Move FPH Dividends & DRIP FPH Insiders & 13F FPH Whale Options FPH Profit Sankey FPH News & Why