Forestar Group Inc (FOR) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$25.03 -3.43% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Forestar Group Inc (FOR) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.28B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
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RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
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Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D+
Cash (6)Whales (7)SEC (10)Macro (12)CEO (7)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$34 Bull$23 Base$18 Bear
📬 FREE FOR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FOR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.9%
SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

FOR Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →
▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (FOR)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on FOR. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

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Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring FOR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of FOR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
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FOR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -11.43%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $24.99H $25.23L $23.82C $25.03VOL 348.7K
RES: $26.26SUP: $24.84SMA50: $26.51SMA200: $27.42
$32.64$30.25$27.86$25.47$23.08RES $26.26SUP $24.84$25.032026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FOR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-6.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +10.1% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FOR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FOR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FOR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FOR)

Financials Rank #964 of 1096 ⚔️ IIPR vs FOR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (FOR vs. IIPR, EFC, MMI, BXDC)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Forestar Group Inc (FOR) ranks #964 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #514 by equity capitalization ($1.28B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FOR leads on earnings valuation at 7.6x trailing P/E, while FOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.4% ROIC and — gross margin. IIPR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with FOR at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
FOR ACTIVE
Forestar Group Inc
D- 42/100 7.6x — 9.4% -3.43% $1.28B Benchmark Subject
IIPR
Innovative Industrial Properties Inc.
C 65/100 12.5x — 5.4% +1.14% $1.47B /iipr-vs-for →
EFC
Ellington Financial Inc.
D 51/100 10.1x — 8.2% +0.77% $1.52B /efc-vs-for →
MMI
Marcus & Millichap Inc.
D 50/100 — — -1.8% +0.65% $1.06B /mmi-vs-for →
BXDC
Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust Inc.
C 62/100 — — — +0.37% $1.63B /bxdc-vs-for →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001406587

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Forestar Group Inc (FOR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.66B (+10.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.51B , and +15.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $167.9M, operating cash flow of -$197.7M, and free cash flow of -$199.9M (-24.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, FOR closed FY2025 with $3.18B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.66B $167.9M -$197.7M -$199.9M $3.18B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.51B $203.4M -$158.4M -$160.6M $2.96B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.44B $166.9M $364.1M $364.1M — —

3. FOR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FOR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Forestar Group Inc (NYSE: FOR) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $25.03 (-3.43% 1D, market cap $1.28B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 6/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 7/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, FOR ranks #964 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FOR compare to IIPR and EFC in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), FOR carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 7.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 9.4%. By comparison, IIPR (Innovative Industrial Properties Inc.) holds a C grade (65/100 RQD, P/E 12.5x, ROIC 5.4%, cap $1.47B) and EFC (Ellington Financial Inc.) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 10.1x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $1.52B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOR leads on earnings multiple (7.6x) while FOR leads on capital efficiency (9.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FOR?

Per FOR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001406587), Forestar Group Inc generated $1.66B in revenue (+10.1% YoY), $167.9M in net income, and -$199.9M in free cash flow against $3.18B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FOR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FOR last traded at $25.03 (-3.43% on volume of 345,625 shares), positioning the stock -5.58% below its 50-day simple moving average ($26.51) and -8.72% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.42). Across its 52-week range of $22.81 to $32.06, FOR sits at the 24.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 35.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.9% ($23.30 to $26.76).

FOR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are FOR insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies FOR leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

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