Marcus & Millichap Inc. (MMI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$27.92 +0.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.90

Marcus & Millichap Inc. (MMI) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $1.06B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $27.90 (-0.07%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 7.8% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 50/100 (D) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 49.3% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D
025507510050
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk D+
Cash (12)Whales (8)SEC (11)Macro (10)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
$35 Bull$27 Base$21 Bear
📬 FREE MMI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for MMI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±5.1%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (50/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY MMI SCORES 50/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+12/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 7.8% FCF Margin ($58.8M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+11/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
58
Grade C$28.24-0.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
55
Grade C$28.04-1.6% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
53
Grade C-$27.59+1.2% Next Q
Current
50
Grade D$27.92-1.4% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: C (58) → D (50)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a MMI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While MMI currently carries a cautious 50/100 (D) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($29.71) and Max Pain ($29.32) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $35.23.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $MMI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “MMI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
44.830 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)
6 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE38% OF RANGE
L: $24$27.92H: $34
1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 12 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 17 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 21 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground) on MMI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
NEUTRAL (60)

-1.8% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 5.56% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
NEUTRAL (55)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (45)

17/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 10/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like MMI
  • ✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring MMI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of MMI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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MMI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.47%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $28.12H $28.42L $27.83C $27.92VOL 144.0K
RES: $34.83SUP: $26.52SMA50: $29.71SMA200: $28.75
$34.04$32.02$30.00$27.98$25.96RES $34.83SUP $26.52$27.922026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

MMI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +8.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on MMI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for MMI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for MMI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (MMI)

Financials Rank #848 of 1096 ⚔️ FOR vs MMI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (MMI vs. FOR, SKYH, CRESY, IIPR)

Industry: Real Estate (54 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Marcus & Millichap Inc. (MMI) ranks #848 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #540 by equity capitalization ($1.06B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FOR leads on earnings valuation at 7.6x trailing P/E, while FOR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.4% ROIC and — gross margin. IIPR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 65/100 (C) compared with MMI at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
MMI ACTIVE
Marcus & Millichap Inc.
D 50/100 — — -1.8% +0.65% $1.06B Benchmark Subject
FOR
Forestar Group Inc
D- 42/100 7.6x — 9.4% -3.43% $1.28B /for-vs-mmi →
SKYH
Sky Harbour Group Corporation (Class A)
D- 37/100 43.2x — -12.9% +0.61% $813.0M /skyh-vs-mmi →
CRESY
Cresud S.A.C.I.F. y A.
C- 59/100 — — — +0.83% $776.0M /cresy-vs-mmi →
IIPR
Innovative Industrial Properties Inc.
C 65/100 12.5x — 5.4% +1.14% $1.47B /iipr-vs-mmi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001578732

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Marcus & Millichap Inc. (MMI) reported GAAP revenue of $755.2M (+8.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $696.1M , and +16.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$1.9M, operating cash flow of $66.7M, and free cash flow of $58.8M (+324.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, MMI closed FY2025 with $827.2M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $755.2M -$1.9M $66.7M $58.8M $827.2M —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $696.1M -$12.4M $21.7M $13.8M $869.8M —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $645.9M -$34.0M -$72.4M -$72.4M — —

3. MMI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is MMI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Marcus & Millichap Inc. (NYSE: MMI) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $27.92 (+0.65% 1D, market cap $1.06B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 11/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, MMI ranks #848 in composite RQD confidence.

How does MMI compare to FOR and SKYH in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate), MMI carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -1.8%. By comparison, FOR (Forestar Group Inc) holds a D- grade (42/100 RQD, P/E 7.6x, ROIC 9.4%, cap $1.28B) and SKYH (Sky Harbour Group Corporation (Class A)) posts a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E 43.2x, ROIC -12.9%, cap $813.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, FOR leads on earnings multiple (7.6x) while FOR leads on capital efficiency (9.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for MMI?

Per MMI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001578732), Marcus & Millichap Inc. generated $755.2M in revenue (+8.5% YoY), -$1.9M in net income, and $58.8M in free cash flow against $827.2M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is MMI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

MMI last traded at $27.92 (+0.65% on volume of 179,152 shares), positioning the stock -6.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($29.71) and -2.89% below its 200-day simple moving average ($28.75). Across its 52-week range of $24.43 to $33.55, MMI sits at the 38.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±5.1% ($26.50 to $29.34).

MMI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell MMI stock right now?

Marcus & Millichap Inc. (MMI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D (Sell — SELL) with 50/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is MMI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

MMI's 12-month base price target is $26.91 (range $20.99 to $35.23), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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