Stock Ratings / Consumer Staples / FLO / earnings

SENEB (57) SENEA (51) BRBR (75) NOMD (61) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Flowers Foods Inc. (FLO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±8.5% Move

$6.18 +0.65% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.20

Flowers Foods Inc. (FLO) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 5% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $1.31B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $6.20 (+0.36%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 6.1% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for FLO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY FLO SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+16/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 80% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (20% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.1% FCF Margin ($319.1M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk13/20 pts (-7 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 7 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$5.81+5.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$6.11+0.7% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$6.15+0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$6.18+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the FLO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, FLO faces multiple-compression risk if 15.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.36% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($6.17) or 200D SMA ($8.01) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($6.51) toward Bear Floor ($5.07).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $FLO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “FLO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Jan 2, 2027) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Jan 2, 2027 (~61 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±8.5% Swing Band

±$0.53 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

FLO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $0.40 • YoY Revenue Growth: 3%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-01-03	$5.26B	$83.8M	$319.1M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-28	$5.10B	$248.1M	$280.6M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-30	$5.09B	$123.4M	$349.4M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating FLO & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on FLO
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

FLO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -31.79%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $6.27H $6.33L $6.16C $6.18VOL 4.71M

RES: $6.29SUP: $4.65SMA50: $6.17SMA200: $8.01

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

FLO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 FLO Butterfly Map → + Track FLO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on FLO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for FLO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for FLO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (FLO)

Consumer Staples Rank #14 of 146 ⚔️ SENEB vs FLO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Staples Peer Comparison (FLO vs. SENEB, SENEA, BRBR, NOMD)

Industry: Packaged Foods (41 Tracked Issuers)

Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Flowers Foods Inc. (FLO) ranks #14 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #65 by equity capitalization ($1.31B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BRBR leads on earnings valuation at 4.9x trailing P/E, while BRBR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 46.3% ROIC and 33.3% gross margin. BRBR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with FLO at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
FLO ACTIVE Flowers Foods Inc.	B-	70/100	15.6x	—	5.2%	+0.65%	$1.31B	Benchmark Subject
SENEB Seneca Foods Corp. (Class B)	D+	57/100	9.4x	—	16.1%	0.00%	$1.08B	/seneb-vs-flo →
SENEA Seneca Foods Corp. (Class A)	D	51/100	9.4x	—	16.1%	+1.54%	$1.08B	/senea-vs-flo →
BRBR BellRing Brands Inc.	B	75/100	4.9x	33.3%	46.3%	-2.48%	$1.05B	/brbr-vs-flo →
NOMD Nomad Foods Limited	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+1.02%	$1.69B	/nomd-vs-flo →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-01-03 • CIK 0001128928

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03), Flowers Foods Inc. (FLO) reported GAAP revenue of $5.26B (+3.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $5.10B , and +3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $83.8M, operating cash flow of $446.2M, and free cash flow of $319.1M (+13.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, FLO closed FY2025 with $4.18B in total assets against $1.36B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-01-03	$5.26B	$83.8M	$446.2M	$319.1M	$4.18B	$1.36B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-28	$5.10B	$248.1M	$412.7M	$280.6M	$3.40B	$1.02B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-30	$5.09B	$123.4M	$349.4M	$349.4M	—	—

3. FLO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is FLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Flowers Foods Inc. (NYSE: FLO) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $6.18 (+0.65% 1D, market cap $1.31B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 16/20. Across 146 tracked Consumer Staples issuers, FLO ranks #14 in composite RQD confidence.

How does FLO compare to SENEB and SENEA in the Consumer Staples sector?

Within the Consumer Staples sector (Packaged Foods), FLO carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 15.6x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.2%. By comparison, SENEB (Seneca Foods Corp. (Class B)) holds a D+ grade (57/100 RQD, P/E 9.4x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.08B) and SENEA (Seneca Foods Corp. (Class A)) posts a D grade (51/100 RQD, P/E 9.4x, ROIC 16.1%, cap $1.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BRBR leads on earnings multiple (4.9x) while BRBR leads on capital efficiency (46.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for FLO?

Per FLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-01-03, CIK 0001128928), Flowers Foods Inc. generated $5.26B in revenue (+3.0% YoY), $83.8M in net income, and $319.1M in free cash flow against $4.18B in total assets and $1.36B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is FLO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

FLO last traded at $6.18 (+0.65% on volume of 3,687,432 shares), positioning the stock +0.16% above its 50-day simple moving average ($6.17) and -22.85% below its 200-day simple moving average ($8.01). Across its 52-week range of $5.40 to $12.21, FLO sits at the 11.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.9 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.5% ($5.65 to $6.71).

FLO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is FLO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Flowers Foods Inc. (FLO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Jan 2, 2027.

How much is FLO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±8.5% event move for FLO, spanning a range between $5.65 and $6.71.

Direct Sub-Reports: FLO RQD Cockpit FLO 12M Forecast FLO Earnings & Move FLO Dividends & DRIP FLO Insiders & 13F FLO Whale Options FLO Profit Sankey FLO News & Why