Stock Ratings / Energy / EP / insiders

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Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$2.64 -2.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.62

Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 27/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $112.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on EP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is EP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Empire Petroleum Corporation (NYSE: EP) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 27/100 at a spot price of $2.64 (-2.22% 1D, market cap $112.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, EP ranks #200 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does EP compare to GLND and CRT in the Energy sector?

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Within the Energy sector (Oil & Gas Production), EP carries a Roarable E (27/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, GLND (Greenland Energy Company) holds a D+ grade (52/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $144.7M) and CRT (Cross Timbers Royalty Trust) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $84.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, EPM leads on earnings multiple (105.4x) while EPM leads on capital efficiency (5.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EP?

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Per EP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000887396), Empire Petroleum Corporation generated $34.2M in revenue (-21.6% YoY), -$72.1M in net income, and -$3.9M in free cash flow against $65.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.62 (-0.59%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (27/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-10.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-14% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for EP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (27/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY EP SCORES 27/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (30% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 1/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+7/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$3.25+4.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$3.39-9.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$3.07-14% Next Q

Current

Grade E$2.64-10.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (35) → E (27)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a EP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While EP currently carries a cautious 27/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($2.82) and Max Pain ($2.77) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $EP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “EP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 27%NO 73%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

EP Smart-Money Thermometer: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (EP)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on EP. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring EP)

✓Walkthrough of EP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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EP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -5.04%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $2.83H $2.83L $2.64C $2.64VOL 19.3K

RES: $3.59SUP: $1.99SMA50: $2.82SMA200: $2.85

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

EP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 EP Butterfly Map → + Track EP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -21.6% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on EP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for EP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for EP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (EP)

Energy Rank #200 of 211 ⚔️ GLND vs EP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (EP vs. GLND, CRT, BSIN, EPM)

Industry: Oil & Gas Production (106 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) ranks #200 by composite RQD confidence (27/100, grade E) and #185 by equity capitalization ($112.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, EPM leads on earnings valuation at 105.4x trailing P/E, while EPM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 5.2% ROIC and 42.5% gross margin. CRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with EP at 27/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
EP ACTIVE Empire Petroleum Corporation	E	27/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.22%	$112.3M	Benchmark Subject
GLND Greenland Energy Company	D+	52/100	—	—	—	-6.65%	$144.7M	/glnd-vs-ep →
CRT Cross Timbers Royalty Trust	C	63/100	—	—	—	-6.96%	$84.4M	/crt-vs-ep →
BSIN Big Sky Industrial Inc.	D-	36/100	—	—	-35.0%	-2.56%	$81.9M	/bsin-vs-ep →
EPM Evolution Petroleum Corporation Inc.	D	51/100	105.4x	42.5%	5.2%	-0.52%	$155.3M	/epm-vs-ep →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000887396

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) reported GAAP revenue of $34.2M (-21.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $43.6M , and -14.7% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$72.1M, operating cash flow of -$3.9M, and free cash flow of -$3.9M (-164.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, EP closed FY2025 with $65.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 1/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$34.2M	-$72.1M	-$3.9M	-$3.9M	$65.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$43.6M	-$16.2M	$6.2M	$6.2M	$123.9M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$40.1M	-$12.5M	-$9.9M	-$9.9M	—	—

3. EP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is EP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does EP compare to GLND and CRT in the Energy sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for EP?

Where is EP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

EP last traded at $2.64 (-2.22% on volume of 8,051 shares), positioning the stock -6.38% below its 50-day simple moving average ($2.82) and -7.37% below its 200-day simple moving average ($2.85). Across its 52-week range of $2.08 to $4.00, EP sits at the 29.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 42.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($2.31 to $2.97).

EP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are EP insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies EP leadership and institutional positioning as: NET EXECUTIVE TRIMMING / PROFIT-TAKING.

Direct Sub-Reports: EP RQD Cockpit EP 12M Forecast EP Earnings & Move EP Dividends & DRIP EP Insiders & 13F EP Whale Options EP Profit Sankey EP News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 27/100 (E) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

EP — Empire Petroleum Corporation: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: Haiku 5.5 Dossier Pipeline

As of: 2026-11-02T14:20Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD 5-pillar rating engine, Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) carries a composite score of 27/100 (E — Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) at a current price of $2.64 (-2.22%). Fundamental cash generation scores 7/20 (ROIC -35.0%, FCF yield -3.51%), institutional 13F whale accumulation scores 5/20, insider conviction scores 3/20, macro regime alignment scores 4/20 (Beta 1.00), and forensic balance-sheet protection scores 8/20 (Altman Z-Score N/A, Piotroski F-Score 1/9).

Investor Implication: At current trailing P/E and current forward P/E within Oil & Gas Production, upside depends on sustained operating margin expansion (-60.0%) and free cash flow conversion relative to the 52-week range of $2.08 – $4.00.

Butterfly Effect: Supply-Chain, Sector & Catalyst Ripples

Operating in Oil & Gas Production (Energy), EP is sensitive to 2nd-order capital expenditure cycles, input cost spreads (gross margin —), and institutional positioning across its peer cohort. Prospective investors should monitor quarterly order backlog conversion, sector capex guidance, and Form 4 insider cluster activity (0 recent filings tracked).

Open Questions to Watch: (1) Margin trajectory vs. peer median; (2) FCF conversion sustainability over the next 4 quarters; (3) Institutional 13F rebalancing around upcoming earnings.

EP Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for Empire Petroleum Corporation (EP) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to EP Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 19d ago

The Zacks Analyst Blog Highlights Walmart, Visa, Novo Nordisk, Village Super Market and Empire Petroleum

Walmart, Visa and Novo Nordisk headline Zacks' latest analyst reports, with digital growth, rising competition and earnings pressures shaping their outlooks.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo • 19d ago

Top Analyst Reports for Walmart, Visa & Novo Nordisk

Walmart, Visa and Novo Nordisk headline today's analyst reports, with digital growth, payment innovation and obesity-drug demand offset by rising costs and competition.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 77d ago

Empire Petroleum Marks Strategic Milestone With Successful 21,006-Foot Well in the Western Haynesville in Texas to Accelerate Revenue Development

TULSA, Okla., August 17, 2026--Empire Petroleum Corporation (NYSE American: EP) ("Empire" or the "Company"), an oil and gas company with current producing assets in New Mexico, North Dakota, Montana, Texas, and Louisiana

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 131d ago

NRP vs. EP: Which Energy Stock Offers Better Prospects?

Empire Petroleum is gaining momentum with rising production, lower debt and fresh capital, while Natural Resource Partners remains pressured by prolonged weakness in the soda ash markets.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 136d ago

Zacks Initiates Coverage of Empire With Neutral Recommendation

Discover why Zacks, being the first on Wall Street to initiate the stock coverage, rates Empire as "Neutral." Explore how EP's infrastructure expansion, multi-basin growth opportunities and proprietary technology are bal

Read Full Source ↗

🔴 RISK WATCH Yahoo Finance • 190d ago

Lawsuit claims Exxon Mobil, Empire Petroleum defrauded taxpayers in orphan well scheme

Abandoned oil and gas wells present a potential billion-dollar problem for taxpayers. A Colorado accountant and a Taos-based data analyst have put forth a lawsuit that shows, they believe, one way to hold even the larges

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 215d ago

Empire Petroleum (EP) To Participate in Louisiana Oil and Gas Development Program

Empire Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:EP) is included among the 8 Best Oil and Gas Penny Stocks to Buy Now. Empire Petroleum Corporation (NYSE:EP) is a conventional oil and natural gas producer with a main focus in the US o

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 62d ago

EP Stock Jumps 16% as Q2 Loss Narrows, Revenues Rise Y/Y

Empire Petroleum's stock climbs as Q2 product revenues rise 27% y/y and its net loss narrows despite lower production and derivative losses.

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

EP Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $2.64?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON EP 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.38 (-11.9%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is EP (E • RQD 27/100) a Buy at $2.70?

Welcome to the EP (Empire Petroleum Corporation) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 27/100 (Roarable Strong Sell — Forensic Risk / Avoid) in Oil & Gas Production. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

RE RedlineAuditor Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $2.19 (-18.9%)

Spot @ $2.70

Pump the brakes on EP — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on EP, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless Empire Petroleum Corporation expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $3.16 (+17.0%)

Spot @ $2.70

EP cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on EP, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Oil & Gas Production and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $2.70 (52-wk range $2.08 - $4.00), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.