MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
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Why DSGR Stock advanced +0.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$35.01 +0.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.95
Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $1.62B
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Is DSGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (NASDAQ: DSGR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $35.01 (+0.09% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DSGR ranks #328 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does DSGR compare to WLFC and PII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), DSGR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, WLFC (Willis Lease Finance Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 8.4x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $955.0M) and PII (Polaris Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.5%, cap $3.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WLFC leads on earnings multiple (8.4x) while WLFC leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DSGR?
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Per DSGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000703604), Distribution Solutions Group Inc. generated $1.98B in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $8.3M in net income, and $62.8M in free cash flow against $1.75B in total assets and $664.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.95 (-0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 3.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DSGR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY DSGR SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)
Altman Z-Score 2.45 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±1.8% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Capital intensity & 4% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade B$35.03+0.1% Next Q
71
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B-$35.06-0.1% Next Q
68
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B-$35.01+0% Next Q
66
CurrentGrade C$35.01+0.9% Hist 90D α
63
Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DSGR Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 63/100 (C) score, DSGR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.92) or 200D SMA ($30.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($35.80) toward Bear Floor ($27.92).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DSGR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “DSGR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why DSGR Stock advanced +0.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) advanced +0.09% to $35.01, trading at 98% of its 52-week range ($19.02 – $35.3). Solid 33% profit margin (5% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 98% of its 52-week range ($19.02 – $35.3) with RSI-14 at 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±1.8% around $35.01 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C (Hold) backed by 33.4% gross margin and $62.8M annual free cash flow.
Live DSGR Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIREReuters • 3h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
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MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
MARKET WIRECNBC • 8h ago
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RISK WATCHReuters • 10h ago
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MARKET WIREReuters • 11h ago
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DSGR Tape Review)
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DSGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.38%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $34.98H $35.02L $34.90C $35.01VOL 429.0K
RES: $35.39SUP: $26.71SMA50: $34.92SMA200: $30.28
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
DSGR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
22.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DSGR today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DSGR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DSGR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DSGR)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #328 of 1011
⚔️ WLFC vs DSGR Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DSGR vs. WLFC, PII, ADSE, DOO)
Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) ranks #328 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #446 by equity capitalization ($1.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WLFC leads on earnings valuation at 8.4x trailing P/E, while WLFC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. DSGR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DSGR
ACTIVE
Distribution Solutions Group Inc. | C | 63/100 | — | 33.4% | 4.9% | +0.09% | $1.62B | Benchmark Subject |
| WLFC Willis Lease Finance Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | 8.4x | — | 12.8% | +4.05% | $955.0M | /wlfc-vs-dsgr → |
| PII Polaris Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 19.1% | -11.5% | +2.78% | $3.43B | /pii-vs-dsgr → |
| ADSE ADS-TEC ENERGY PLC | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +0.10% | $731.8M | /adse-vs-dsgr → |
| DOO BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares | D+ | 52/100 | — | — | — | +2.00% | $4.38B | /doo-vs-dsgr → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000703604In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.98B (+9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and +26.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.3M, operating cash flow of $83.8M, and free cash flow of $62.8M (+46.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, DSGR closed FY2025 with $1.75B in total assets against $664.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.45, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.98B | $8.3M | $83.8M | $62.8M | $1.75B | $664.2M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $1.80B | -$7.3M | $56.5M | $42.8M | $1.73B | $693.9M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $1.57B | -$9.0M | $102.3M | $102.3M | — | — |
3. DSGR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs DSGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (NASDAQ: DSGR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $35.01 (+0.09% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DSGR ranks #328 in composite RQD confidence.
How does DSGR compare to WLFC and PII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), DSGR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, WLFC (Willis Lease Finance Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 8.4x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $955.0M) and PII (Polaris Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.5%, cap $3.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WLFC leads on earnings multiple (8.4x) while WLFC leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DSGR?
Per DSGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000703604), Distribution Solutions Group Inc. generated $1.98B in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $8.3M in net income, and $62.8M in free cash flow against $1.75B in total assets and $664.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is DSGR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
DSGR last traded at $35.01 (+0.09% on volume of 254,945 shares), positioning the stock +0.26% above its 50-day simple moving average ($34.92) and +15.62% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.28). Across its 52-week range of $19.02 to $35.30, DSGR sits at the 98.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($34.38 to $35.64).
DSGR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is DSGR stock moving today?
Why DSGR Stock advanced +0.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 33% profit margin (5% return on capital), mixed timing at current multiples—hold if owned, no rush to chase.