Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DSGR / financials

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Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$35.01 +0.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.95

Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.62B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.95 (-0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 3.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DSGR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DSGR SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.45 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±1.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 4% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$35.03+0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$35.06-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$35.01+0% Next Q

Current

Grade C$35.01+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DSGR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, DSGR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.92) or 200D SMA ($30.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($35.80) toward Bear Floor ($27.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DSGR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DSGR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How DSGR Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$62.8M (3.2% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $1.57B

FY24

Rev $1.80B

FY25

Rev $1.98B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$1.98B	33.4%	4%	$8.3M	$62.8M	4.9%
FY 2024	$1.80B	34%	3.1%	-$7.3M	$42.8M	3.5%
FY 2023	$1.57B	33.4%	2.7%	-$9.0M	$102.3M	4.9%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DSGR)

✓Walkthrough of DSGR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DSGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.38%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $34.98H $35.02L $34.90C $35.01VOL 429.0K

RES: $35.39SUP: $26.71SMA50: $34.92SMA200: $30.28

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DSGR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DSGR Butterfly Map → + Track DSGR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

22.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DSGR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DSGR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DSGR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DSGR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #328 of 1011 ⚔️ WLFC vs DSGR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DSGR vs. WLFC, PII, ADSE, DOO)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) ranks #328 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #446 by equity capitalization ($1.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WLFC leads on earnings valuation at 8.4x trailing P/E, while WLFC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. DSGR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DSGR ACTIVE Distribution Solutions Group Inc.	C	63/100	—	33.4%	4.9%	+0.09%	$1.62B	Benchmark Subject
WLFC Willis Lease Finance Corporation	D+	58/100	8.4x	—	12.8%	+4.05%	$955.0M	/wlfc-vs-dsgr →
PII Polaris Inc.	D-	40/100	—	19.1%	-11.5%	+2.78%	$3.43B	/pii-vs-dsgr →
ADSE ADS-TEC ENERGY PLC	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+0.10%	$731.8M	/adse-vs-dsgr →
DOO BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+2.00%	$4.38B	/doo-vs-dsgr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000703604

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.98B (+9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and +26.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.3M, operating cash flow of $83.8M, and free cash flow of $62.8M (+46.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, DSGR closed FY2025 with $1.75B in total assets against $664.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.45, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.98B	$8.3M	$83.8M	$62.8M	$1.75B	$664.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.80B	-$7.3M	$56.5M	$42.8M	$1.73B	$693.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.57B	-$9.0M	$102.3M	$102.3M	—	—

3. DSGR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DSGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (NASDAQ: DSGR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $35.01 (+0.09% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DSGR ranks #328 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DSGR compare to WLFC and PII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), DSGR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, WLFC (Willis Lease Finance Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 8.4x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $955.0M) and PII (Polaris Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.5%, cap $3.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WLFC leads on earnings multiple (8.4x) while WLFC leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DSGR?

Per DSGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000703604), Distribution Solutions Group Inc. generated $1.98B in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $8.3M in net income, and $62.8M in free cash flow against $1.75B in total assets and $664.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DSGR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DSGR last traded at $35.01 (+0.09% on volume of 254,945 shares), positioning the stock +0.26% above its 50-day simple moving average ($34.92) and +15.62% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.28). Across its 52-week range of $19.02 to $35.30, DSGR sits at the 98.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($34.38 to $35.64).

DSGR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), DSGR converted $2.0B of revenue into a 33.4% gross margin, 4% operating margin, and $62.8M in free cash flow (3.2% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: DSGR RQD Cockpit DSGR 12M Forecast DSGR Earnings & Move DSGR Dividends & DRIP DSGR Insiders & 13F DSGR Whale Options DSGR Profit Sankey DSGR News & Why