Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DSGR / dividends

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Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$35.01 +0.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.95

Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.62B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DSGR Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DSGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (NASDAQ: DSGR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $35.01 (+0.09% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DSGR ranks #328 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DSGR compare to WLFC and PII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), DSGR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, WLFC (Willis Lease Finance Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 8.4x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $955.0M) and PII (Polaris Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.5%, cap $3.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WLFC leads on earnings multiple (8.4x) while WLFC leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DSGR?

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Per DSGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000703604), Distribution Solutions Group Inc. generated $1.98B in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $8.3M in net income, and $62.8M in free cash flow against $1.75B in total assets and $664.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $34.95 (-0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 3.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 63/100 (C) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 54.8% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DSGR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (63/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DSGR SCORES 63/100 (C) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 2.45 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 9/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±1.8% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 4% operating margin leave 10 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$35.03+0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$35.06-0.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$35.01+0% Next Q

Current

Grade C$35.01+0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (71) → C (63)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the DSGR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 63/100 (C) score, DSGR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 30.9% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($34.92) or 200D SMA ($30.28) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($35.80) toward Bear Floor ($27.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DSGR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DSGR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 63%NO 37%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.8% Total Yield

0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

0% (100% Reinvested)

Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (7.2% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $20,042

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $361/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.7K

Yr 1

$11.5K

Yr 2

$12.3K

Yr 3

$13.2K

Yr 4

$14.2K

Yr 5

$15.2K

Yr 6

$16.3K

Yr 7

$17.4K

Yr 8

$18.7K

Yr 9

$20.0K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Cash-Flow & Quality Compounder Desk

Cash-Fortress Compounders: Auditing Free Cash Flow & Yield Safety in DSGR & A-Rated Leaders

✓12-month Bull/Base/Bear fair-value walkthrough on DSGR and its top sector peer
✓Top Roarable A-Rated cash compounders with verified executive & 13F accumulation
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DSGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.38%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $34.98H $35.02L $34.90C $35.01VOL 429.0K

RES: $35.39SUP: $26.71SMA50: $34.92SMA200: $30.28

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DSGR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DSGR Butterfly Map → + Track DSGR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

22.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DSGR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DSGR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DSGR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DSGR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #328 of 1011 ⚔️ WLFC vs DSGR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DSGR vs. WLFC, PII, ADSE, DOO)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) ranks #328 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #446 by equity capitalization ($1.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WLFC leads on earnings valuation at 8.4x trailing P/E, while WLFC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. DSGR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DSGR ACTIVE Distribution Solutions Group Inc.	C	63/100	—	33.4%	4.9%	+0.09%	$1.62B	Benchmark Subject
WLFC Willis Lease Finance Corporation	D+	58/100	8.4x	—	12.8%	+4.05%	$955.0M	/wlfc-vs-dsgr →
PII Polaris Inc.	D-	40/100	—	19.1%	-11.5%	+2.78%	$3.43B	/pii-vs-dsgr →
ADSE ADS-TEC ENERGY PLC	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+0.10%	$731.8M	/adse-vs-dsgr →
DOO BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+2.00%	$4.38B	/doo-vs-dsgr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000703604

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.98B (+9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and +26.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.3M, operating cash flow of $83.8M, and free cash flow of $62.8M (+46.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, DSGR closed FY2025 with $1.75B in total assets against $664.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.45, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$1.98B	$8.3M	$83.8M	$62.8M	$1.75B	$664.2M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$1.80B	-$7.3M	$56.5M	$42.8M	$1.73B	$693.9M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$1.57B	-$9.0M	$102.3M	$102.3M	—	—

3. DSGR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DSGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DSGR compare to WLFC and PII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DSGR?

Where is DSGR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DSGR last traded at $35.01 (+0.09% on volume of 254,945 shares), positioning the stock +0.26% above its 50-day simple moving average ($34.92) and +15.62% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.28). Across its 52-week range of $19.02 to $35.30, DSGR sits at the 98.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($34.38 to $35.64).

DSGR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does DSGR pay a dividend and is it safe?

Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

Direct Sub-Reports: DSGR RQD Cockpit DSGR 12M Forecast DSGR Earnings & Move DSGR Dividends & DRIP DSGR Insiders & 13F DSGR Whale Options DSGR Profit Sankey DSGR News & Why