Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$35.01 +0.09% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) carries a Roarable Rating of C (Hold) with 63/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.62B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C
025507510063
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk C+
Cash (10)Whales (13)SEC (14)Macro (13)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+2.3% Base Target
$42 Bull$36 Base$28 Bear
📬 FREE DSGR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DSGR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your DSGR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $35.01: 285.6 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $27.92
$7,975
$-2,025 (-20.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $35.80
$10,226
+$226 (+2.3%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $42.24
$12,065
+$2,065 (+20.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$3774%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadBUY$4069%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchHOLD$3258%C
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (DSGR Tape Review)

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DSGR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +29.38%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE
2026-10-30O $34.98H $35.02L $34.90C $35.01VOL 429.0K
RES: $35.39SUP: $26.71SMA50: $34.92SMA200: $30.28
$35.95$33.26$30.58$27.89$25.21RES $35.39SUP $26.71$35.012026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DSGR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
22.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +9.8% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DSGR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DSGR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DSGR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DSGR)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #328 of 1011 ⚔️ WLFC vs DSGR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DSGR vs. WLFC, PII, ADSE, DOO)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) ranks #328 by composite RQD confidence (63/100, grade C) and #446 by equity capitalization ($1.62B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WLFC leads on earnings valuation at 8.4x trailing P/E, while WLFC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. DSGR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 63/100 (C).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
DSGR ACTIVE
Distribution Solutions Group Inc.
C 63/100 — 33.4% 4.9% +0.09% $1.62B Benchmark Subject
WLFC
Willis Lease Finance Corporation
D+ 58/100 8.4x — 12.8% +4.05% $955.0M /wlfc-vs-dsgr →
PII
Polaris Inc.
D- 40/100 — 19.1% -11.5% +2.78% $3.43B /pii-vs-dsgr →
ADSE
ADS-TEC ENERGY PLC
C- 61/100 — — — +0.10% $731.8M /adse-vs-dsgr →
DOO
BRP Inc. Common Subordinate Voting Shares
D+ 52/100 — — — +2.00% $4.38B /doo-vs-dsgr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000703604

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) reported GAAP revenue of $1.98B (+9.8% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.80B , and +26.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $8.3M, operating cash flow of $83.8M, and free cash flow of $62.8M (+46.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, DSGR closed FY2025 with $1.75B in total assets against $664.2M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 2.45, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $1.98B $8.3M $83.8M $62.8M $1.75B $664.2M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $1.80B -$7.3M $56.5M $42.8M $1.73B $693.9M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.57B -$9.0M $102.3M $102.3M — —

3. DSGR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DSGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (NASDAQ: DSGR) is rated C (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 63/100 at a spot price of $35.01 (+0.09% 1D, market cap $1.62B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DSGR ranks #328 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DSGR compare to WLFC and PII in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), DSGR carries a Roarable C (63/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.4%, and ROIC of 4.9%. By comparison, WLFC (Willis Lease Finance Corporation) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E 8.4x, ROIC 12.8%, cap $955.0M) and PII (Polaris Inc.) posts a D- grade (40/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -11.5%, cap $3.43B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WLFC leads on earnings multiple (8.4x) while WLFC leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DSGR?

Per DSGR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000703604), Distribution Solutions Group Inc. generated $1.98B in revenue (+9.8% YoY), $8.3M in net income, and $62.8M in free cash flow against $1.75B in total assets and $664.2M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DSGR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DSGR last traded at $35.01 (+0.09% on volume of 254,945 shares), positioning the stock +0.26% above its 50-day simple moving average ($34.92) and +15.62% above its 200-day simple moving average ($30.28). Across its 52-week range of $19.02 to $35.30, DSGR sits at the 98.2% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($34.38 to $35.64).

DSGR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is DSGR's 12-month stock price target?

Distribution Solutions Group Inc. (DSGR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $35.8 (+2.3% from $35.01), with a bull-case target of $42.24 and a bear-case floor of $27.92.

Is DSGR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates DSGR C (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 63/100.

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