Stock Ratings / Industrials / DCO / options

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Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$168.06 +2.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $168.53

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.54B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $168.53 (+0.28%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DCO SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.43 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$170.56+0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$170.76-7.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$157.26+6.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$168.06-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DCO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DCO currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($170.18) and Max Pain ($176.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $220.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±8.6%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (DCO)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for DCO.

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ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DCO)

✓Walkthrough of DCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.41%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $167.2H $168.1L $159.2C $168.1VOL 193.8K

RES: $169.0SUP: $150.5SMA50: $170.2SMA200: $153.5

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DCO Butterfly Map → + Track DCO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DCO)

Industrials Rank #335 of 485 ⚔️ ATRO vs DCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DCO vs. ATRO, RDW, AADX, FLY)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) ranks #335 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #196 by equity capitalization ($2.54B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATRO leads on earnings valuation at 92.1x trailing P/E, while ATRO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. ATRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with DCO at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DCO ACTIVE Ducommun Incorporated	D	46/100	—	26.9%	-3.1%	+2.61%	$2.54B	Benchmark Subject
ATRO Astronics Corporation	C-	59/100	92.1x	29.9%	13.2%	+3.85%	$2.70B	/atro-vs-dco →
RDW Redwire Corporation	E	32/100	—	5.2%	-17.4%	+1.67%	$2.29B	/rdw-vs-dco →
AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+7.65%	$2.04B	/aadx-vs-dco →
FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc.	E	28/100	—	19.2%	-35.0%	+0.10%	$3.33B	/fly-vs-dco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000030305

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) reported GAAP revenue of $824.8M (+4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $786.4M , and +9.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$37.4M, operating cash flow of -$33.4M, and free cash flow of -$48.6M (-342.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DCO closed FY2025 with $1.19B in total assets against $300.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.43, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$824.8M	-$37.4M	-$33.4M	-$48.6M	$1.19B	$300.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$786.4M	$21.7M	$34.2M	$20.1M	$1.13B	$230.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$757.0M	$15.9M	$31.1M	$31.1M	—	—

3. DCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Ducommun Incorporated (NYSE: DCO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $168.06 (+2.61% 1D, market cap $2.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DCO ranks #335 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DCO compare to ATRO and RDW in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), DCO carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.9%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, ATRO (Astronics Corporation) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 92.1x, ROIC 13.2%, cap $2.70B) and RDW (Redwire Corporation) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.4%, cap $2.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DCO?

Per DCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000030305), Ducommun Incorporated generated $824.8M in revenue (+4.9% YoY), -$37.4M in net income, and -$48.6M in free cash flow against $1.19B in total assets and $300.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DCO last traded at $168.06 (+2.61% on volume of 138,618 shares), positioning the stock -1.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($170.18) and +9.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($153.45). Across its 52-week range of $84.76 to $210.39, DCO sits at the 66.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($153.61 to $182.51).

DCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is DCO's options positioning and volatility profile?

Roarable tracks verified CBOE unusual options sweeps, put/call ratios, and OHLCV realized volatility bands for DCO.

Direct Sub-Reports: DCO RQD Cockpit DCO 12M Forecast DCO Earnings & Move DCO Dividends & DRIP DCO Insiders & 13F DCO Whale Options DCO Profit Sankey DCO News & Why