Stock Ratings / Industrials / DCO / financials

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Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$168.06 +2.61% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $168.53

Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 46/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.54B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DCO Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Ducommun Incorporated (NYSE: DCO) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 46/100 at a spot price of $168.06 (+2.61% 1D, market cap $2.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 12/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DCO ranks #335 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DCO compare to ATRO and RDW in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Military/Government/Technical), DCO carries a Roarable D (46/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 26.9%, and ROIC of -3.1%. By comparison, ATRO (Astronics Corporation) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 92.1x, ROIC 13.2%, cap $2.70B) and RDW (Redwire Corporation) posts a E grade (32/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -17.4%, cap $2.29B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ATRO leads on earnings multiple (92.1x) while ATRO leads on capital efficiency (13.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DCO?

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Per DCO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000030305), Ducommun Incorporated generated $824.8M in revenue (+4.9% YoY), -$37.4M in net income, and -$48.6M in free cash flow against $1.19B in total assets and $300.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $168.53 (+0.28%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (46/100 · D) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-6.1% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DCO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±8.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (46/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DCO SCORES 46/100 (D) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±8.6% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+12/20 pts (26% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.43 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$170.56+0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C-$170.76-7.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$157.26+6.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D$168.06-6.1% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (54) → D (46)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DCO Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DCO currently carries a cautious 46/100 (D) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($170.18) and Max Pain ($176.46) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $220.91.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DCO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DCO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 46%NO 54%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How DCO Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$0 (0% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $757.0M

FY24

Rev $786.4M

FY25

Rev $824.8M

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$824.8M	26.9%	-4.3%	-$37.4M	-$48.6M	-3.1%
FY 2024	$786.4M	25.1%	5.4%	$21.7M	$20.1M	3.8%
FY 2023	$757.0M	26.9%	3.8%	$15.9M	$31.1M	-3.1%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DCO)

✓Walkthrough of DCO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DCO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +18.41%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $167.2H $168.1L $159.2C $168.1VOL 193.8K

RES: $169.0SUP: $150.5SMA50: $170.2SMA200: $153.5

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DCO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DCO Butterfly Map → + Track DCO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +4.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DCO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DCO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DCO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DCO)

Industrials Rank #335 of 485 ⚔️ ATRO vs DCO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DCO vs. ATRO, RDW, AADX, FLY)

Industry: Military/Government/Technical (43 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) ranks #335 by composite RQD confidence (46/100, grade D) and #196 by equity capitalization ($2.54B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ATRO leads on earnings valuation at 92.1x trailing P/E, while ATRO leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.2% ROIC and 29.9% gross margin. ATRO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with DCO at 46/100 (D).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DCO ACTIVE Ducommun Incorporated	D	46/100	—	26.9%	-3.1%	+2.61%	$2.54B	Benchmark Subject
ATRO Astronics Corporation	C-	59/100	92.1x	29.9%	13.2%	+3.85%	$2.70B	/atro-vs-dco →
RDW Redwire Corporation	E	32/100	—	5.2%	-17.4%	+1.67%	$2.29B	/rdw-vs-dco →
AADX Applied Aerospace & Defense Inc.	D+	52/100	—	—	—	+7.65%	$2.04B	/aadx-vs-dco →
FLY Firefly Aerospace Inc.	E	28/100	—	19.2%	-35.0%	+0.10%	$3.33B	/fly-vs-dco →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000030305

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Ducommun Incorporated (DCO) reported GAAP revenue of $824.8M (+4.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $786.4M , and +9.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$37.4M, operating cash flow of -$33.4M, and free cash flow of -$48.6M (-342.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, DCO closed FY2025 with $1.19B in total assets against $300.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.43, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$824.8M	-$37.4M	-$33.4M	-$48.6M	$1.19B	$300.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$786.4M	$21.7M	$34.2M	$20.1M	$1.13B	$230.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$757.0M	$15.9M	$31.1M	$31.1M	—	—

3. DCO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DCO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DCO compare to ATRO and RDW in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DCO?

Where is DCO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DCO last traded at $168.06 (+2.61% on volume of 138,618 shares), positioning the stock -1.25% below its 50-day simple moving average ($170.18) and +9.52% above its 200-day simple moving average ($153.45). Across its 52-week range of $84.76 to $210.39, DCO sits at the 66.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±8.6% ($153.61 to $182.51).

DCO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

How profitable is Ducommun Incorporated (DCO)?

In FY 2025 (10-K), DCO converted $824.8M of revenue into a 26.9% gross margin, 0% operating margin, and $0 in free cash flow (0% FCF margin).

Direct Sub-Reports: DCO RQD Cockpit DCO 12M Forecast DCO Earnings & Move DCO Dividends & DRIP DCO Insiders & 13F DCO Whale Options DCO Profit Sankey DCO News & Why