Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DCH / insiders

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Dauch Corporation (DCH) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$4.99 +1.84% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.00

Dauch Corporation (DCH) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.19B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.00 (+0.14%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DCH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DCH SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (28% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.7% FCF Margin ($155.1M FCF) & 12.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (25% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±11% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Balance-sheet & 10-K footnote risk deducts 16 pts from forensic ceiling

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$5.67-14.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$4.84-4.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$4.63+7.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$4.99-7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DCH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DCH currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to SEC 10-K Forensic Risk (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.72) and Max Pain ($5.24) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.71.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DCH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DCH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

DCH Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (DCH)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on DCH. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DCH)

✓Walkthrough of DCH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DCH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -12.61%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $4.88H $5.00L $4.70C $4.99VOL 3.73M

RES: $7.81SUP: $4.41SMA50: $5.72SMA200: $6.15

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DCH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DCH Butterfly Map → + Track DCH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DCH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DCH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DCH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DCH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #823 of 1011 ⚔️ ADNT vs DCH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DCH vs. ADNT, APOG, SMP, THRM)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dauch Corporation (DCH) ranks #823 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #493 by equity capitalization ($1.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 22.7% gross margin. APOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 70/100 (B-) compared with DCH at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DCH ACTIVE Dauch Corporation	D-	40/100	—	12.1%	2.2%	+1.84%	$1.19B	Benchmark Subject
ADNT Adient plc	D	50/100	—	6.6%	-16.2%	+0.52%	$1.34B	/adnt-vs-dch →
APOG Apogee Enterprises Inc.	B-	70/100	17.7x	22.7%	9.2%	+2.39%	$957.0M	/apog-vs-dch →
SMP Standard Motor Products Inc.	C	65/100	20.2x	31.2%	8.6%	+0.98%	$854.5M	/smp-vs-dch →
THRM Gentherm Inc	C	65/100	—	24.2%	8.7%	-2.89%	$1.69B	/thrm-vs-dch →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001062231

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dauch Corporation (DCH) reported GAAP revenue of $5.84B (-4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.12B , and -4.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$19.7M, operating cash flow of $411.6M, and free cash flow of $155.1M (-25.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, DCH closed FY2025 with $6.67B in total assets against $4.08B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.42, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$5.84B	-$19.7M	$411.6M	$155.1M	$6.67B	$4.08B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$6.12B	$35.0M	$455.4M	$207.4M	$5.06B	$2.61B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$6.08B	-$33.6M	$396.1M	$396.1M	—	—

3. DCH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DCH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Dauch Corporation (NYSE: DCH) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $4.99 (+1.84% 1D, market cap $1.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 7/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DCH ranks #823 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DCH compare to ADNT and APOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DCH carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, ADNT (Adient plc) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.2%, cap $1.34B) and APOG (Apogee Enterprises Inc.) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $957.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DCH?

Per DCH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001062231), Dauch Corporation generated $5.84B in revenue (-4.7% YoY), -$19.7M in net income, and $155.1M in free cash flow against $6.67B in total assets and $4.08B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DCH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DCH last traded at $4.99 (+1.84% on volume of 3,190,433 shares), positioning the stock -12.76% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.72) and -18.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.15). Across its 52-week range of $4.44 to $9.25, DCH sits at the 11.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 38.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.0% ($4.44 to $5.54).

DCH Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are DCH insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies DCH leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: DCH RQD Cockpit DCH 12M Forecast DCH Earnings & Move DCH Dividends & DRIP DCH Insiders & 13F DCH Whale Options DCH Profit Sankey DCH News & Why