Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / DCH / financials

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Dauch Corporation (DCH) Revenue-to-Profit Sankey Flow & SEC XBRL Financials

$4.78 -4.21% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.73

Dauch Corporation (DCH) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 31/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $1.19B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DCH Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DCH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-02, Dauch Corporation (NYSE: DCH) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 31/100 at a spot price of $4.78 (-4.21% 1D, market cap $1.19B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 3/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 3/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, DCH ranks #868 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DCH compare to ADNT and APOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

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Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Auto Parts:O.E.M.), DCH carries a Roarable E (31/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 12.1%, and ROIC of 2.2%. By comparison, ADNT (Adient plc) holds a D- grade (37/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -16.2%, cap $1.34B) and APOG (Apogee Enterprises Inc.) posts a B grade (72/100 RQD, P/E 17.7x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $957.0M). Among the 5-stock peer group, APOG leads on earnings multiple (17.7x) while APOG leads on capital efficiency (9.2% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DCH?

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Per DCH's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001062231), Dauch Corporation generated $5.84B in revenue (-4.7% YoY), -$19.7M in net income, and $155.1M in free cash flow against $6.67B in total assets and $4.08B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $4.73 (-0.95%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 2.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (31/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-9.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk E

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-12.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DCH)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (31/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DCH SCORES 31/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (35% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 2.7% FCF Margin ($155.1M FCF) & 12.1% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (29% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (45) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade E$5.39-11.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade E$4.75-2.9% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$4.61+3.7% Next Q

Current

Grade E$4.78-9.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: E (39) → E (31)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DCH Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DCH currently carries a cautious 31/100 (E) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.68) and Max Pain ($5.02) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $9.71.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DCH• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DCH Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 31%NO 69%Trade / Inspect Odds →

VISUAL REVENUE-TO-PROFIT SANKEY WATERFALL • FY 2025 (10-K)

How DCH Turns Every Dollar of Sales Into Real Bottom-Line Profit

Free Cash Flow:$155.1M (2.7% FCF Margin)

Multi-Year SEC EDGAR XBRL Revenue, Net Profit & Free Cash Flow Trajectory

■ Revenue■ Net Profit■ Free Cash Flow

FY23

Rev $6.08B

FY24

Rev $6.12B

FY25

Rev $5.84B

Fiscal Year	Revenue	Gross Margin	Op Margin	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	ROIC %
FY 2025	$5.84B	12.1%	1.9%	-$19.7M	$155.1M	2.2%
FY 2024	$6.12B	12.1%	3.9%	$35.0M	$207.4M	7.3%
FY 2023	$6.08B	12.1%	2.4%	-$33.6M	$396.1M	2.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DCH)

✓Walkthrough of DCH's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DCH // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -10.82%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-11-02O $4.90H $4.99L $4.78C $4.78VOL 3.19M

RES: $7.81SUP: $4.40SMA50: $5.68SMA200: $6.14

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DCH Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DCH Butterfly Map → + Track DCH →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.7% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DCH today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DCH. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DCH today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DCH)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #868 of 1011 ⚔️ ADNT vs DCH Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (DCH vs. ADNT, APOG, SMP, THRM)

Industry: Auto Parts:O.E.M. (36 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Dauch Corporation (DCH) ranks #868 by composite RQD confidence (31/100, grade E) and #493 by equity capitalization ($1.19B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, APOG leads on earnings valuation at 17.7x trailing P/E, while APOG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 9.2% ROIC and 22.7% gross margin. APOG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 72/100 (B) compared with DCH at 31/100 (E).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DCH ACTIVE Dauch Corporation	E	31/100	—	12.1%	2.2%	-4.21%	$1.19B	Benchmark Subject
ADNT Adient plc	D-	37/100	—	6.6%	-16.2%	-3.80%	$1.34B	/adnt-vs-dch →
APOG Apogee Enterprises Inc.	B	72/100	17.7x	22.7%	9.2%	-1.22%	$957.0M	/apog-vs-dch →
SMP Standard Motor Products Inc.	D+	53/100	20.2x	31.2%	8.6%	+10.88%	$854.5M	/smp-vs-dch →
THRM Gentherm Inc	D+	57/100	—	24.2%	8.7%	-3.88%	$1.69B	/thrm-vs-dch →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001062231

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Dauch Corporation (DCH) reported GAAP revenue of $5.84B (-4.7% vs. FY2024 revenue of $6.12B , and -4.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$19.7M, operating cash flow of $411.6M, and free cash flow of $155.1M (-25.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, DCH closed FY2025 with $6.67B in total assets against $4.08B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.42, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$5.84B	-$19.7M	$411.6M	$155.1M	$6.67B	$4.08B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$6.12B	$35.0M	$455.4M	$207.4M	$5.06B	$2.61B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$6.08B	-$33.6M	$396.1M	$396.1M	—	—

3. DCH Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DCH stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DCH compare to ADNT and APOG in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DCH?

Where is DCH trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DCH last traded at $4.78 (-4.21% on volume of 3,739,725 shares), positioning the stock -15.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.68) and -22.15% below its 200-day simple moving average ($6.14). Across its 52-week range of $4.44 to $9.25, DCH sits at the 7.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($4.26 to $5.30).