CATALYSTBenzinga • 2d ago
Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on Constellium, Raises Price Target to $30Barclays analyst Richard Garchitorena maintains Constellium (NYSE:CSTM) with a Equal-Weight and raises the price target from $28 to $30.
Why CSTM Stock slipped -1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$24.02 -1.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.01
Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.
ROARABLE B- • BUY
Cap $3.23B
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Is CSTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, Constellium SE (France) (NYSE: CSTM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $24.02 (-1.68% 1D, market cap $3.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CSTM ranks #63 in composite RQD confidence.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief)
How does CSTM compare to CXT and MWA in the Industrials sector?
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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), CSTM carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.7%. By comparison, CXT (Crane NXT Co.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 19.1%, cap $3.47B) and MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $3.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CSTM leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while CSTM leads on capital efficiency (28.7% ROIC).
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSTM?
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Per CSTM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001563411), Constellium SE (France) generated $8.45B in revenue (+15.2% YoY), $273.0M in net income, and $159.0M in free cash flow against $5.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
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INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.01 (-0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 1.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CSTM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CSTM SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (26% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.9% FCF Margin ($159.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade A-$25.81-1.3% Next Q
78
Q2 (-2Q)Grade B+$25.47-8.8% Next Q
75
Q3 (-1Q)Grade B$23.22+3.4% Next Q
73
CurrentGrade B-$24.02+6.6% Hist 90D α
70
Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CSTM Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, CSTM faces multiple-compression risk if 11.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($25.56) or 200D SMA ($27.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.32) toward Bear Floor ($19.70).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CSTM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CSTM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CSTM Stock slipped -1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) slipped -1.68% to $24.02, trading at 42% of its 52-week range ($14.62 – $36.99). High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 42% of its 52-week range ($14.62 – $36.99) with RSI-14 at 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.6% around $24.02 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable B- (Buy) backed by 52% gross margin and $159.0M annual free cash flow.
Live CSTM Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 2d ago
Constellium (CSTM) Stock Faces Q3 Earnings Reality After Record EBITDAConstellium came into this Q3 2026 earnings print with a stock that had cooled in recent months, down about 13% over the last quarter, and it slipped another 1.7% to about US$24 after the release. The reaction looks caut
CATALYSTBenzinga • 3d ago
JP Morgan Upgrades Constellium to Overweight, Raises Price Target to $35JP Morgan analyst Bill Peterson upgrades Constellium (NYSE:CSTM) from Neutral to Overweight and raises the price target from $34 to $35.
CATALYSTYahoo • 3d ago
Wall Street Analysts Think Constellium (CSTM) Could Surge 35.08%: Read This Before Placing a BetThe consensus price target hints at a 35.1% upside potential for Constellium (CSTM). While empirical research shows that this sought-after metric is hardly effective, an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions could
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 3d ago
Wells Fargo Maintains Overweight on Constellium, Lowers Price Target to $33Wells Fargo analyst Timna Tanners maintains Constellium (NYSE:CSTM) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $38 to $33.
MARKET WIRESeekingAlpha • 4d ago
Constellium SE 2026 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation2026-10-29. The following slide deck was published by Constellium SE in conjunction with their 2026 Q3 earnings call.
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Constellium: Q3 Earnings SnapshotBALTIMORE (AP) — BALTIMORE (AP) — Constellium NV (CSTM) on Wednesday reported profit of $119 million in its third quarter.On a per-share basis, the Baltimore-based company said it had net income of 84 cents.
MARKET WIREYahoo • 4d ago
Constellium SE Q3 2026 Earnings Call SummaryMoby summary of Constellium SE's Q3 2026 earnings call
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Constellium (CSTM) Q3 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptAerospace demand surged while recycling margins expanded, driving record EBITDA.
CATALYSTYahoo • 4d ago
Constellium Q3 Earnings Call HighlightsConstellium (NYSE:CSTM) reported record third-quarter adjusted EBITDA and raised its full-year outlook again, citing favorable aerospace, transportation, automotive and can-sheet market conditions, stronger pricing and m
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Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CSTM Tape Review)
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CSTM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.21%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $23.44H $24.02L $22.72C $24.02VOL 1.73M
RES: $25.31SUP: $22.33SMA50: $25.56SMA200: $27.94
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CSTM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +15.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CSTM today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CSTM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CSTM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CSTM)
Industrials Rank #63 of 485
⚔️ CXT vs CSTM Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CSTM vs. CXT, MWA, SMR, HLIO)
Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) ranks #63 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #181 by equity capitalization ($3.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CSTM leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while CSTM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.7% ROIC and — gross margin. MWA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with CSTM at 70/100 (B-).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSTM
ACTIVE
Constellium SE (France) | B- | 70/100 | 11.8x | — | 28.7% | -1.68% | $3.23B | Benchmark Subject |
| CXT Crane NXT Co. | B | 74/100 | 23.9x | 42.5% | 19.1% | +3.31% | $3.47B | /cxt-vs-cstm → |
| MWA MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS | B+ | 76/100 | 18.6x | 36.1% | 14.0% | +2.94% | $3.56B | /mwa-vs-cstm → |
| SMR NuScale Power Corporation | E | 26/100 | — | 36.3% | -35.0% | +4.41% | $2.54B | /smr-vs-cstm → |
| HLIO Helios Technologies Inc. | C- | 60/100 | 46.5x | 32.3% | 4.7% | +0.90% | $2.25B | /hlio-vs-cstm → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001563411In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) reported GAAP revenue of $8.45B (+15.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.33B , and +8.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $273.0M, operating cash flow of $489.0M, and free cash flow of $159.0M (+242.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CSTM closed FY2025 with $5.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $8.45B | $273.0M | $489.0M | $159.0M | $5.35B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $7.33B | $56.0M | $301.0M | -$112.0M | $4.73B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $7.83B | $152.0M | $432.0M | $432.0M | — | — |
3. CSTM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CSTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Constellium SE (France) (NYSE: CSTM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $24.02 (-1.68% 1D, market cap $3.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CSTM ranks #63 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CSTM compare to CXT and MWA in the Industrials sector?
Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), CSTM carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.7%. By comparison, CXT (Crane NXT Co.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 19.1%, cap $3.47B) and MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $3.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CSTM leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while CSTM leads on capital efficiency (28.7% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSTM?
Per CSTM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001563411), Constellium SE (France) generated $8.45B in revenue (+15.2% YoY), $273.0M in net income, and $159.0M in free cash flow against $5.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CSTM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CSTM last traded at $24.02 (-1.68% on volume of 2,027,425 shares), positioning the stock -6.03% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.56) and -14.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.94). Across its 52-week range of $14.62 to $36.99, CSTM sits at the 42.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($22.19 to $25.85).
CSTM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CSTM stock moving today?
Why CSTM Stock slipped -1.68% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support.