Stock Ratings / Industrials / CSTM / earnings

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Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.6% Move

$24.02 -1.68% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.01

Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) earns a Roarable Rating of B- (Buy) with 70/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (steady margins, 29% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B- • BUY Cap $3.23B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CSTM Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CSTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Constellium SE (France) (NYSE: CSTM) is rated B- (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 70/100 at a spot price of $24.02 (-1.68% 1D, market cap $3.23B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 15/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 18/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CSTM ranks #63 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CSTM compare to CXT and MWA in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Metal Fabrications), CSTM carries a Roarable B- (70/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 11.8x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 28.7%. By comparison, CXT (Crane NXT Co.) holds a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 23.9x, ROIC 19.1%, cap $3.47B) and MWA (MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS) posts a B+ grade (76/100 RQD, P/E 18.6x, ROIC 14.0%, cap $3.56B). Among the 5-stock peer group, CSTM leads on earnings multiple (11.8x) while CSTM leads on capital efficiency (28.7% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSTM?

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Per CSTM's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001563411), Constellium SE (France) generated $8.45B in revenue (+15.2% YoY), $273.0M in net income, and $159.0M in free cash flow against $5.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (steady margins)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $24.01 (-0.06%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 15/20 (B) • 1.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 70/100 (B-) historically ranked in the Top 15% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+6.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 68.1% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B · Rk C+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+5.4% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CSTM)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (70/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CSTM SCORES 70/100 (B-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+18/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 86% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+15/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 1.9% FCF Margin ($159.0M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning10/20 pts (-10 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-10 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade A-$25.81-1.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$25.47-8.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B$23.22+3.4% Next Q

Current

Grade B-$24.02+6.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: A- (78) → B- (70)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CSTM Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 70/100 (B-) score, CSTM faces multiple-compression risk if 11.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.92% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($25.56) or 200D SMA ($27.94) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($25.32) toward Bear Floor ($19.70).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CSTM• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CSTM Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 70%NO 30%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.6% Swing Band

±$1.83 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CSTM Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 70/100

Trailing EPS: $2.03 • YoY Revenue Growth: 15.2%

Model Bullish Setup (70/100)Model Risk Weight (30/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$8.45B	$273.0M	$159.0M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$7.33B	$56.0M	-$112.0M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$7.83B	$152.0M	$432.0M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating CSTM & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on CSTM
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CSTM // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -23.21%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $23.44H $24.02L $22.72C $24.02VOL 1.73M

RES: $25.31SUP: $22.33SMA50: $25.56SMA200: $27.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CSTM Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CSTM Butterfly Map → + Track CSTM →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

2.2%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +15.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CSTM today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CSTM. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CSTM today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CSTM)

Industrials Rank #63 of 485 ⚔️ CXT vs CSTM Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CSTM vs. CXT, MWA, SMR, HLIO)

Industry: Metal Fabrications (47 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) ranks #63 by composite RQD confidence (70/100, grade B-) and #181 by equity capitalization ($3.23B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CSTM leads on earnings valuation at 11.8x trailing P/E, while CSTM leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 28.7% ROIC and — gross margin. MWA currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 76/100 (B+) compared with CSTM at 70/100 (B-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CSTM ACTIVE Constellium SE (France)	B-	70/100	11.8x	—	28.7%	-1.68%	$3.23B	Benchmark Subject
CXT Crane NXT Co.	B	74/100	23.9x	42.5%	19.1%	+3.31%	$3.47B	/cxt-vs-cstm →
MWA MUELLER WATER PRODUCTS	B+	76/100	18.6x	36.1%	14.0%	+2.94%	$3.56B	/mwa-vs-cstm →
SMR NuScale Power Corporation	E	26/100	—	36.3%	-35.0%	+4.41%	$2.54B	/smr-vs-cstm →
HLIO Helios Technologies Inc.	C-	60/100	46.5x	32.3%	4.7%	+0.90%	$2.25B	/hlio-vs-cstm →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001563411

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Constellium SE (France) (CSTM) reported GAAP revenue of $8.45B (+15.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.33B , and +8.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $273.0M, operating cash flow of $489.0M, and free cash flow of $159.0M (+242.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, CSTM closed FY2025 with $5.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$8.45B	$273.0M	$489.0M	$159.0M	$5.35B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$7.33B	$56.0M	$301.0M	-$112.0M	$4.73B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$7.83B	$152.0M	$432.0M	$432.0M	—	—

3. CSTM Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CSTM stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does CSTM compare to CXT and MWA in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CSTM?

Where is CSTM trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CSTM last traded at $24.02 (-1.68% on volume of 2,027,425 shares), positioning the stock -6.03% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.56) and -14.03% below its 200-day simple moving average ($27.94). Across its 52-week range of $14.62 to $36.99, CSTM sits at the 42.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 34.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.6% ($22.19 to $25.85).

CSTM Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CSTM's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Constellium SE (France) (CSTM)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is CSTM stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.6% event move for CSTM, spanning a range between $22.19 and $25.85.

Direct Sub-Reports: CSTM RQD Cockpit CSTM 12M Forecast CSTM Earnings & Move CSTM Dividends & DRIP CSTM Insiders & 13F CSTM Whale Options CSTM Profit Sankey CSTM News & Why