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Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$22.52 +1.49% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.54

Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $199.3M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.54 (+0.08%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.1%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CMT SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 49% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 4.38 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Cash Engine Quality8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Capital intensity & 5.2% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$23.27-1.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$22.91+1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$23.13-2.6% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$22.52+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (68) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the CMT Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, CMT faces multiple-compression risk if 17.8x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (+0.24% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 15.0% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.59) or 200D SMA ($23.07) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($22.72) toward Bear Floor ($17.72).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CMT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your CMT Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $22.52: 444.0 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $17.72

$7,869

$-2,131 (-21.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $22.72

$10,089

+$89 (+0.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $30.12

$13,375

+$3,375 (+33.7%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$24	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$28	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$20	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (CMT Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CMT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.44%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE

2026-10-30O $22.71H $23.11L $22.23C $22.52VOL 26.1K

RES: $29.35SUP: $21.80SMA50: $23.59SMA200: $23.07

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CMT Butterfly Map → + Track CMT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

10.9%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.5% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMT)

Industrials Rank #170 of 485 ⚔️ DSWL vs CMT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (CMT vs. DSWL, SWIM, KRT, MYE)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) ranks #170 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #352 by equity capitalization ($199.3M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DSWL leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with CMT at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CMT ACTIVE Core Molding Technologies Inc	C-	60/100	17.8x	17.4%	8.2%	+1.49%	$199.3M	Benchmark Subject
DSWL Deswell Industries Inc.	D+	54/100	4.4x	22.4%	—	0.00%	$46.9M	/dswl-vs-cmt →
SWIM Latham Group Inc.	C-	60/100	76.8x	33.4%	3.5%	+2.98%	$854.1M	/swim-vs-cmt →
KRT Karat Packaging Inc.	B	74/100	34.4x	36.8%	29.3%	+1.85%	$1.08B	/krt-vs-cmt →
MYE Myers Industries Inc.	C-	59/100	32.7x	33.4%	10.4%	-5.62%	$1.14B	/mye-vs-cmt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001026655

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) reported GAAP revenue of $273.8M (-9.5% vs. FY2024 revenue of $302.4M , and -23.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $11.2M, operating cash flow of $19.2M, and free cash flow of $1.9M (-91.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMT closed FY2025 with $228.1M in total assets against $17.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.38, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$273.8M	$11.2M	$19.2M	$1.9M	$228.1M	$17.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$302.4M	$13.3M	$35.2M	$23.6M	$209.6M	$19.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$357.7M	$20.3M	$34.8M	$34.8M	—	—

3. CMT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Core Molding Technologies Inc (NYSE: CMT) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $22.52 (+1.49% 1D, market cap $199.3M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, CMT ranks #170 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMT compare to DSWL and SWIM in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), CMT carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 17.8x, gross margin of 17.4%, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, DSWL (Deswell Industries Inc.) holds a D+ grade (54/100 RQD, P/E 4.4x, ROIC —, cap $46.9M) and SWIM (Latham Group Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 76.8x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $854.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DSWL leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMT?

Per CMT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001026655), Core Molding Technologies Inc generated $273.8M in revenue (-9.5% YoY), $11.2M in net income, and $1.9M in free cash flow against $228.1M in total assets and $17.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMT last traded at $22.52 (+1.49% on volume of 29,154 shares), positioning the stock -4.54% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.59) and -2.38% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.07). Across its 52-week range of $16.60 to $28.69, CMT sits at the 49.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 43.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.1% ($20.92 to $24.12).

CMT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is CMT's 12-month stock price target?

Core Molding Technologies Inc (CMT) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $22.72 (+0.9% from $22.52), with a bull-case target of $30.12 and a bear-case floor of $17.72.