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Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$5.08 -2.49% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.05

Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.16B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.05 (-0.64%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 3.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NWL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NWL SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.44 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$5.64+0.2% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$5.65-5.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$5.36-5.2% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$5.08-7.6% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NWL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NWL currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.68) and Max Pain ($5.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.49.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NWL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NWL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 39%NO 61%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

40.130 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDDISTRESS RISK (<1.8)

0.44>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

5 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE50% OF RANGE

L: $3$5.08H: $7

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 7 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 16 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NWL

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (35)

0.5% ROIC with 33.8% gross margin and 12.20% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 0.44 and Piotroski 5/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (40)

16/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 8/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NWL

✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NWL)

✓Walkthrough of NWL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NWL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.51%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $4.93H $5.47L $4.93C $5.08VOL 13.41M

RES: $5.71SUP: $4.69SMA50: $5.68SMA200: $4.84

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NWL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NWL Butterfly Map → + Track NWL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NWL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NWL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NWL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NWL)

Industrials Rank #382 of 485 ⚔️ MYE vs NWL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NWL vs. MYE, KRT, SWIM, AWI)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) ranks #382 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #205 by equity capitalization ($2.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AWI leads on earnings valuation at 22.5x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with NWL at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NWL ACTIVE Newell Brands Inc.	D-	39/100	—	33.8%	0.5%	-2.49%	$2.16B	Benchmark Subject
MYE Myers Industries Inc.	C-	59/100	32.7x	33.4%	10.4%	-5.62%	$1.14B	/mye-vs-nwl →
KRT Karat Packaging Inc.	B	74/100	34.4x	36.8%	29.3%	+1.85%	$1.08B	/krt-vs-nwl →
SWIM Latham Group Inc.	C-	60/100	76.8x	33.4%	3.5%	+2.98%	$854.1M	/swim-vs-nwl →
AWI Armstrong World Industries Inc	B-	71/100	22.5x	40.6%	28.7%	+5.93%	$6.94B	/awi-vs-nwl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000814453

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) reported GAAP revenue of $7.20B (-5.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.58B , and -11.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$285.0M, operating cash flow of $264.0M, and free cash flow of $264.0M (-46.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, NWL closed FY2025 with $10.71B in total assets against $4.54B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.44, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$7.20B	-$285.0M	$264.0M	$264.0M	$10.71B	$4.54B
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$7.58B	-$216.0M	$496.0M	$496.0M	$11.00B	$4.51B
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$8.13B	-$388.0M	$930.0M	$930.0M	—	—

3. NWL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NWL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Newell Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: NWL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $5.08 (-2.49% 1D, market cap $2.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NWL ranks #382 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NWL compare to MYE and KRT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), NWL carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.8%, and ROIC of 0.5%. By comparison, MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.14B) and KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 34.4x, ROIC 29.3%, cap $1.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWI leads on earnings multiple (22.5x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NWL?

Per NWL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000814453), Newell Brands Inc. generated $7.20B in revenue (-5.0% YoY), -$285.0M in net income, and $264.0M in free cash flow against $10.71B in total assets and $4.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NWL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NWL last traded at $5.08 (-2.49% on volume of 12,531,232 shares), positioning the stock -10.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.68) and +4.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.84). Across its 52-week range of $3.07 to $7.13, NWL sits at the 49.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($4.59 to $5.57).

NWL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NWL stock right now?

Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 39/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NWL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NWL's 12-month base price target is $4.65 (range $3.63 to $7.49), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NWL RQD Cockpit NWL 12M Forecast NWL Earnings & Move NWL Dividends & DRIP NWL Insiders & 13F NWL Whale Options NWL Profit Sankey NWL News & Why