Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±9.6% Move

$5.08 -2.49% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.05

Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 39/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.16B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $5.05 (-0.64%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 7/20 (D-) • 3.7% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (39/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.6% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-
025507510039
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-
Cash (7)Whales (7)SEC (8)Macro (8)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.5% Base Target
$7 Bull$5 Base$4 Bear
📬 FREE NWL RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NWL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (39/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY NWL SCORES 39/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+9/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 45% Net Buy • Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 0.44 (DISTRESS RISK (<1.8)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
47
Grade D$5.64+0.2% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
44
Grade D$5.65-5.1% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
42
Grade D$5.36-5.2% Next Q
Current
39
Grade D-$5.08-7.6% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (47) → D- (39)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NWL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NWL currently carries a cautious 39/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (7/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.68) and Max Pain ($5.33) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $7.49.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NWL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “NWL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±9.6% Swing Band

±$0.49 Expected Swing
$4.59 (-9.6%)Spot $5.08$5.57 (+9.6%)
MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

NWL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 39/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: -5%

Model Bullish Setup (39/100)Model Risk Weight (61/100)
Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).
LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

PeriodFiledRevenueNet ProfitFree Cash FlowGross Margin
FY 20252025-12-31$7.20B-$285.0M$264.0M33.8%
FY 20242024-12-31$7.58B-$216.0M$496.0M33.6%
FY 20232023-12-31$8.13B-$388.0M$930.0M33.8%
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NWL)

  • ✓Walkthrough of NWL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
NWL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +24.51%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $4.93H $5.47L $4.93C $5.08VOL 13.41M
RES: $5.71SUP: $4.69SMA50: $5.68SMA200: $4.84
$7.41$6.27$5.13$3.99$2.85RES $5.71SUP $4.69$5.082026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NWL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -5.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NWL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NWL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NWL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NWL)

Industrials Rank #382 of 485 ⚔️ MYE vs NWL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (NWL vs. MYE, KRT, SWIM, AWI)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) ranks #382 by composite RQD confidence (39/100, grade D-) and #205 by equity capitalization ($2.16B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, AWI leads on earnings valuation at 22.5x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with NWL at 39/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
NWL ACTIVE
Newell Brands Inc.
D- 39/100 — 33.8% 0.5% -2.49% $2.16B Benchmark Subject
MYE
Myers Industries Inc.
C- 59/100 32.7x 33.4% 10.4% -5.62% $1.14B /mye-vs-nwl →
KRT
Karat Packaging Inc.
B 74/100 34.4x 36.8% 29.3% +1.85% $1.08B /krt-vs-nwl →
SWIM
Latham Group Inc.
C- 60/100 76.8x 33.4% 3.5% +2.98% $854.1M /swim-vs-nwl →
AWI
Armstrong World Industries Inc
B- 71/100 22.5x 40.6% 28.7% +5.93% $6.94B /awi-vs-nwl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000814453

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Newell Brands Inc. (NWL) reported GAAP revenue of $7.20B (-5.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $7.58B , and -11.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$285.0M, operating cash flow of $264.0M, and free cash flow of $264.0M (-46.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, NWL closed FY2025 with $10.71B in total assets against $4.54B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.44, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $7.20B -$285.0M $264.0M $264.0M $10.71B $4.54B
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $7.58B -$216.0M $496.0M $496.0M $11.00B $4.51B
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $8.13B -$388.0M $930.0M $930.0M — —

3. NWL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NWL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Newell Brands Inc. (NASDAQ: NWL) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 39/100 at a spot price of $5.08 (-2.49% 1D, market cap $2.16B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 7/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 8/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, NWL ranks #382 in composite RQD confidence.

How does NWL compare to MYE and KRT in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), NWL carries a Roarable D- (39/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 33.8%, and ROIC of 0.5%. By comparison, MYE (Myers Industries Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 32.7x, ROIC 10.4%, cap $1.14B) and KRT (Karat Packaging Inc.) posts a B grade (74/100 RQD, P/E 34.4x, ROIC 29.3%, cap $1.08B). Among the 5-stock peer group, AWI leads on earnings multiple (22.5x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NWL?

Per NWL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000814453), Newell Brands Inc. generated $7.20B in revenue (-5.0% YoY), -$285.0M in net income, and $264.0M in free cash flow against $10.71B in total assets and $4.54B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is NWL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NWL last traded at $5.08 (-2.49% on volume of 12,531,232 shares), positioning the stock -10.56% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.68) and +4.96% above its 200-day simple moving average ($4.84). Across its 52-week range of $3.07 to $7.13, NWL sits at the 49.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.6% ($4.59 to $5.57).

NWL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is NWL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Newell Brands Inc. (NWL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is NWL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±9.6% event move for NWL, spanning a range between $4.59 and $5.57.

LIVE TAPE SPY $755.72 -0.38% QQQ $690.49 -1.44% DIA $517.13 -0.37% IWM $279.33 +0.96% NVDA $213.66 -0.80% AAPL $348.91 +1.48% MSFT $530.14 -0.16% TSLA $403.30 -0.23% PLTR $196.42 -0.20% SOFI $17.61 +2.74% IBIT $43.36 -0.94% GLD $355.78 -1.34%