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Deswell Industries Inc. (DSWL) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$2.95 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.94

Deswell Industries Inc. (DSWL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $46.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.94 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 7.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DSWL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DSWL SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$3.03+2.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$3.11-4.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$2.98-1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$2.95-0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DSWL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DSWL currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.07) and Max Pain ($3.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.26.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DSWL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DSWL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

37.330 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

3 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE9% OF RANGE

L: $3$2.95H: $4

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WATCH

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

No major SEC filing blowups, though current interest rates and Fed liquidity call for normal position sizing.

Factor Grade: C-RQD 24 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on DSWL

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (40)

14.0% ROIC with 22.4% gross margin and 10.06% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (50)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

NEUTRAL (60)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 14/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like DSWL

✓Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DSWL)

✓Walkthrough of DSWL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

DSWL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.49%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $2.94H $2.95L $2.89C $2.95VOL 8.4K

RES: $3.09SUP: $2.62SMA50: $3.07SMA200: $3.30

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DSWL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DSWL Butterfly Map → + Track DSWL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DSWL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DSWL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DSWL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DSWL)

Industrials Rank #254 of 485 ⚔️ CMT vs DSWL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DSWL vs. CMT, SWIM, KRT, MYE)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Deswell Industries Inc. (DSWL) ranks #254 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #408 by equity capitalization ($46.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DSWL leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with DSWL at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DSWL ACTIVE Deswell Industries Inc.	D+	54/100	4.4x	22.4%	—	0.00%	$46.9M	Benchmark Subject
CMT Core Molding Technologies Inc	C-	60/100	17.8x	17.4%	8.2%	+1.49%	$199.3M	/cmt-vs-dswl →
SWIM Latham Group Inc.	C-	60/100	76.8x	33.4%	3.5%	+2.98%	$854.1M	/swim-vs-dswl →
KRT Karat Packaging Inc.	B	74/100	34.4x	36.8%	29.3%	+1.85%	$1.08B	/krt-vs-dswl →
MYE Myers Industries Inc.	C-	59/100	32.7x	33.4%	10.4%	-5.62%	$1.14B	/mye-vs-dswl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000946936

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Deswell Industries Inc. (DSWL) reported GAAP revenue of $61.3M (-9.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $67.6M , and -11.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.6M, operating cash flow of $5.2M, and free cash flow of $4.7M (-64.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, DSWL closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$61.3M	$10.6M	$5.2M	$4.7M	—	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$67.6M	$11.1M	$13.5M	$13.2M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$69.4M	$7.7M	$13.2M	$13.2M	—	—

3. DSWL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DSWL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Deswell Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: DSWL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $2.95 (0.00% 1D, market cap $46.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DSWL ranks #254 in composite RQD confidence.

How does DSWL compare to CMT and SWIM in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), DSWL carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.4x, gross margin of 22.4%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CMT (Core Molding Technologies Inc) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $199.3M) and SWIM (Latham Group Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 76.8x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $854.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DSWL leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DSWL?

Per DSWL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000946936), Deswell Industries Inc. generated $61.3M in revenue (-9.3% YoY), $10.6M in net income, and $4.7M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is DSWL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DSWL last traded at $2.95 (0.00% on volume of 4,519 shares), positioning the stock -3.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.07) and -10.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.30). Across its 52-week range of $2.84 to $4.06, DSWL sits at the 9.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($2.76 to $3.14).

DSWL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell DSWL stock right now?

Deswell Industries Inc. (DSWL) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell — SELL) with 54/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at 4x P/E (22% profit margin) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is DSWL's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

DSWL's 12-month base price target is $2.9 (range $2.26 to $4.26), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: DSWL RQD Cockpit DSWL 12M Forecast DSWL Earnings & Move DSWL Dividends & DRIP DSWL Insiders & 13F DSWL Whale Options DSWL Profit Sankey DSWL News & Why