Stock Ratings / Industrials / DSWL / earnings

CMT (60) SWIM (60) KRT (74) MYE (59) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Deswell Industries Inc. (DSWL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.5% Move

$2.95 0.00% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.94

Deswell Industries Inc. (DSWL) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 54/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $46.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on DSWL Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is DSWL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

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As of 2026-11-01, Deswell Industries Inc. (NASDAQ: DSWL) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 54/100 at a spot price of $2.95 (0.00% 1D, market cap $46.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 14/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, DSWL ranks #254 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does DSWL compare to CMT and SWIM in the Industrials sector?

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Within the Industrials sector (Plastic Products), DSWL carries a Roarable D+ (54/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 4.4x, gross margin of 22.4%, and ROIC of —. By comparison, CMT (Core Molding Technologies Inc) holds a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 17.8x, ROIC 8.2%, cap $199.3M) and SWIM (Latham Group Inc.) posts a C- grade (60/100 RQD, P/E 76.8x, ROIC 3.5%, cap $854.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, DSWL leads on earnings multiple (4.4x) while KRT leads on capital efficiency (29.3% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DSWL?

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Per DSWL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31, CIK 0000946936), Deswell Industries Inc. generated $61.3M in revenue (-9.3% YoY), $10.6M in net income, and $4.7M in free cash flow against $0 in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $2.94 (-0.19%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 7.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 54/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 51.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-1.7% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for DSWL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (54/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY DSWL SCORES 54/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+14/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 9% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 37.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+14/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 70% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C+$3.03+2.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$3.11-4.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$2.98-1% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$2.95-0.7% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C+ (62) → D+ (54)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a DSWL Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While DSWL currently carries a cautious 54/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($3.07) and Max Pain ($3.10) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $4.26.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $DSWL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “DSWL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 54%NO 46%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.5% Swing Band

±$0.19 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

DSWL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 54/100

Trailing EPS: $0.67 • YoY Revenue Growth: -9.3%

Model Bullish Setup (54/100)Model Risk Weight (46/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2026-03-31	$61.3M	$10.6M	$4.7M	22.4%
FY 2024	2025-03-31	$67.6M	$11.1M	$13.2M	20.2%
FY 2023	2024-03-31	$69.4M	$7.7M	$13.2M	22.4%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring DSWL)

✓Walkthrough of DSWL's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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DSWL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.49%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $2.94H $2.95L $2.89C $2.95VOL 8.4K

RES: $3.09SUP: $2.62SMA50: $3.07SMA200: $3.30

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

DSWL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 DSWL Butterfly Map → + Track DSWL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-15.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -9.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on DSWL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for DSWL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for DSWL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (DSWL)

Industrials Rank #254 of 485 ⚔️ CMT vs DSWL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (DSWL vs. CMT, SWIM, KRT, MYE)

Industry: Plastic Products (9 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Deswell Industries Inc. (DSWL) ranks #254 by composite RQD confidence (54/100, grade D+) and #408 by equity capitalization ($46.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, DSWL leads on earnings valuation at 4.4x trailing P/E, while KRT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 29.3% ROIC and 36.8% gross margin. KRT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 74/100 (B) compared with DSWL at 54/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
DSWL ACTIVE Deswell Industries Inc.	D+	54/100	4.4x	22.4%	—	0.00%	$46.9M	Benchmark Subject
CMT Core Molding Technologies Inc	C-	60/100	17.8x	17.4%	8.2%	+1.49%	$199.3M	/cmt-vs-dswl →
SWIM Latham Group Inc.	C-	60/100	76.8x	33.4%	3.5%	+2.98%	$854.1M	/swim-vs-dswl →
KRT Karat Packaging Inc.	B	74/100	34.4x	36.8%	29.3%	+1.85%	$1.08B	/krt-vs-dswl →
MYE Myers Industries Inc.	C-	59/100	32.7x	33.4%	10.4%	-5.62%	$1.14B	/mye-vs-dswl →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2026-03-31 • CIK 0000946936

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2026-03-31), Deswell Industries Inc. (DSWL) reported GAAP revenue of $61.3M (-9.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $67.6M , and -11.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $10.6M, operating cash flow of $5.2M, and free cash flow of $4.7M (-64.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, DSWL closed FY2025 with $0 in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2026-03-31	$61.3M	$10.6M	$5.2M	$4.7M	—	—
FY2024 (FY)	2025-03-31	$67.6M	$11.1M	$13.5M	$13.2M	—	—
FY2023 (FY)	2024-03-31	$69.4M	$7.7M	$13.2M	$13.2M	—	—

3. DSWL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is DSWL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does DSWL compare to CMT and SWIM in the Industrials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for DSWL?

Where is DSWL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

DSWL last traded at $2.95 (0.00% on volume of 4,519 shares), positioning the stock -3.91% below its 50-day simple moving average ($3.07) and -10.61% below its 200-day simple moving average ($3.30). Across its 52-week range of $2.84 to $4.06, DSWL sits at the 9.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 37.3 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.5% ($2.76 to $3.14).

DSWL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is DSWL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Deswell Industries Inc. (DSWL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is DSWL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.5% event move for DSWL, spanning a range between $2.76 and $3.14.

Direct Sub-Reports: DSWL RQD Cockpit DSWL 12M Forecast DSWL Earnings & Move DSWL Dividends & DRIP DSWL Insiders & 13F DSWL Whale Options DSWL Profit Sankey DSWL News & Why