MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why CMP Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$22.93 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.89
Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $962.6M
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.89 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 15.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CMP SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.9% FCF Margin ($197.7M FCF) & 15.3% Gross Margin
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (21% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.2% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)
Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$22.79-2.3% Next Q
45
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$22.26-4.4% Next Q
48
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$21.27+7.8% Next Q
50
CurrentGrade D+$22.93-0.9% Hist 90D α
53
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMP Turnaround Squeeze
While CMP currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($23.42) and Max Pain ($24.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $36.23.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CMP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why CMP Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) slipped 0.00% to $22.93, trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($16.4 – $34.5). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($16.4 – $34.5) with RSI-14 at 55.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±7.2% around $22.93 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 15.3% gross margin and $197.7M annual free cash flow.
Live CMP Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 6h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMP)
- ✓Walkthrough of CMP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CMP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.15%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $22.38H $23.32L $22.36C $22.93VOL 572.7K
RES: $25.07SUP: $20.07SMA50: $23.42SMA200: $25.94
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
CMP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +11.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMP today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMP)
Materials Rank #127 of 270
⚔️ AESI vs CMP Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CMP vs. AESI, GAU, ELVR, UUUU)
Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) ranks #127 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #137 by equity capitalization ($962.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CMP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.8% ROIC and 15.3% gross margin. CMP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CMP
ACTIVE
Compass Minerals Intl Inc | D+ | 53/100 | — | 15.3% | 1.8% | 0.00% | $962.6M | Benchmark Subject |
| AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. | D- | 39/100 | — | 13.8% | -0.5% | -1.91% | $1.16B | /aesi-vs-cmp → |
| GAU Galiano Gold Inc. | D | 50/100 | — | — | — | -2.37% | $538.9M | /gau-vs-cmp → |
| ELVR Elevra Lithium Limited American Depository Shares | D | 48/100 | — | — | — | -11.99% | $455.5M | /elvr-vs-cmp → |
| UUUU Energy Fuels Inc (Canada) | E | 23/100 | — | 20.9% | -13.0% | -1.91% | $2.06B | /uuuu-vs-cmp → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001227654In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.24B (+11.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.12B , and +3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$79.8M, operating cash flow of $197.7M, and free cash flow of $197.7M (+1272.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMP closed FY2025 with $1.53B in total assets against $883.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-09-30 | $1.24B | -$79.8M | $197.7M | $197.7M | $1.53B | $883.6M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-09-30 | $1.12B | -$206.1M | $14.4M | $14.4M | $1.72B | $965.7M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-09-30 | $1.20B | $10.5M | $106.0M | $106.0M | — | — |
3. CMP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs CMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Compass Minerals Intl Inc (NYSE: CMP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $22.93 (0.00% 1D, market cap $962.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CMP ranks #127 in composite RQD confidence.
How does CMP compare to AESI and GAU in the Materials sector?
Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), CMP carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.3%, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, AESI (Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $1.16B) and GAU (Galiano Gold Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $538.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CMP leads on capital efficiency (1.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMP?
Per CMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001227654), Compass Minerals Intl Inc generated $1.24B in revenue (+11.3% YoY), -$79.8M in net income, and $197.7M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $883.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is CMP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
CMP last traded at $22.93 (0.00% on volume of 393,502 shares), positioning the stock -2.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.42) and -11.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.94). Across its 52-week range of $16.40 to $34.50, CMP sits at the 36.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($21.28 to $24.58).
CMP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is CMP stock moving today?
Why CMP Stock Traded Steady Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (2% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.