Stock Ratings / Materials / CMP / earnings

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Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7.2% Move

$22.93 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.89

Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $962.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.89 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 15.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CMP SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.9% FCF Margin ($197.7M FCF) & 15.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$22.79-2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$22.26-4.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$21.27+7.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$22.93-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CMP currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($23.42) and Max Pain ($24.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $36.23.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CMP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 29, 2026 (~57 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7.2% Swing Band

±$1.65 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

CMP Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 53/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 11.3%

Model Bullish Setup (53/100)Model Risk Weight (47/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-09-30	$1.24B	-$79.8M	$197.7M	15.3%
FY 2024	2024-09-30	$1.12B	-$206.1M	$14.4M	17.5%
FY 2023	2023-09-30	$1.20B	$10.5M	$106.0M	15.3%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMP)

✓Walkthrough of CMP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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CMP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.15%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $22.38H $23.32L $22.36C $22.93VOL 572.7K

RES: $25.07SUP: $20.07SMA50: $23.42SMA200: $25.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CMP Butterfly Map → + Track CMP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMP)

Materials Rank #127 of 270 ⚔️ AESI vs CMP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CMP vs. AESI, GAU, ELVR, UUUU)

Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) ranks #127 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #137 by equity capitalization ($962.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CMP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.8% ROIC and 15.3% gross margin. CMP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CMP ACTIVE Compass Minerals Intl Inc	D+	53/100	—	15.3%	1.8%	0.00%	$962.6M	Benchmark Subject
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.	D-	39/100	—	13.8%	-0.5%	-1.91%	$1.16B	/aesi-vs-cmp →
GAU Galiano Gold Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.37%	$538.9M	/gau-vs-cmp →
ELVR Elevra Lithium Limited American Depository Shares	D	48/100	—	—	—	-11.99%	$455.5M	/elvr-vs-cmp →
UUUU Energy Fuels Inc (Canada)	E	23/100	—	20.9%	-13.0%	-1.91%	$2.06B	/uuuu-vs-cmp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001227654

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.24B (+11.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.12B , and +3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$79.8M, operating cash flow of $197.7M, and free cash flow of $197.7M (+1272.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMP closed FY2025 with $1.53B in total assets against $883.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$1.24B	-$79.8M	$197.7M	$197.7M	$1.53B	$883.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$1.12B	-$206.1M	$14.4M	$14.4M	$1.72B	$965.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$1.20B	$10.5M	$106.0M	$106.0M	—	—

3. CMP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Compass Minerals Intl Inc (NYSE: CMP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $22.93 (0.00% 1D, market cap $962.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CMP ranks #127 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMP compare to AESI and GAU in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), CMP carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.3%, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, AESI (Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $1.16B) and GAU (Galiano Gold Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $538.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CMP leads on capital efficiency (1.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMP?

Per CMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001227654), Compass Minerals Intl Inc generated $1.24B in revenue (+11.3% YoY), -$79.8M in net income, and $197.7M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $883.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMP last traded at $22.93 (0.00% on volume of 393,502 shares), positioning the stock -2.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.42) and -11.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.94). Across its 52-week range of $16.40 to $34.50, CMP sits at the 36.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($21.28 to $24.58).

CMP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is CMP's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 29, 2026.

How much is CMP stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7.2% event move for CMP, spanning a range between $21.28 and $24.58.

Direct Sub-Reports: CMP RQD Cockpit CMP 12M Forecast CMP Earnings & Move CMP Dividends & DRIP CMP Insiders & 13F CMP Whale Options CMP Profit Sankey CMP News & Why