Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$22.93 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.89

Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 42/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D- • SELL / AVOID Cap $962.6M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on CMP Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude
🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is CMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-02, Compass Minerals Intl Inc (NYSE: CMP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $22.93 (0.00% 1D, market cap $962.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CMP ranks #188 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does CMP compare to AESI and GAU in the Materials sector?
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Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), CMP carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.3%, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, AESI (Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $1.16B) and GAU (Galiano Gold Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $538.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CMP leads on capital efficiency (1.8% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMP?
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Per CMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001227654), Compass Minerals Intl Inc generated $1.24B in revenue (+11.3% YoY), -$79.8M in net income, and $197.7M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $883.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief
🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.89 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 15.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (42/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D-
025507510042
2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk E
Cash (13)Whales (7)SEC (9)Macro (4)CEO (9)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-7.2% Base Target
$36 Bull$21 Base$17 Bear
📬 FREE CMP RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (42/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY CMP SCORES 42/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.9% FCF Margin ($197.7M FCF) & 15.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+9/20 pts (21% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 6/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Macro Regime Fit4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Macro rate sensitivity & RSI-14 (51.5) create a -16 pt regime headwind

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
34
Grade E$22.88-4.6% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
37
Grade E$21.83+1.9% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
39
Grade E$22.25+3.1% Next Q
Current
42
Grade D-$22.93-7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: E (34) → D- (42)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CMP currently carries a cautious 42/100 (D-) rating due to Macro Regime Fit (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($23.36) and Max Pain ($24.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $36.23.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “CMP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD
1.8% Total Yield
0% Cash ($0.00/yr) + 1.8% Buybacks
PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER
74/100 • REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS
FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO
0% (100% Reinvested)
Retains cash flow for R&D and share repurchases
INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (8% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $21,589

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $389/yr
$10.8K
Yr 1
$11.7K
Yr 2
$12.6K
Yr 3
$13.6K
Yr 4
$14.7K
Yr 5
$15.9K
Yr 6
$17.1K
Yr 7
$18.5K
Yr 8
$20.0K
Yr 9
$21.6K
Yr 10
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMP)

  • ✓Walkthrough of CMP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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CMP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -9.90%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-11-02O $22.93H $22.93L $22.93C $22.93VOL 393.5K
RES: $24.98SUP: $20.02SMA50: $23.36SMA200: $25.94
$35.48$31.44$27.40$23.36$19.32RES $24.98SUP $20.02$22.932026-05-042026-06-172026-08-042026-09-172026-11-02
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMP)

Materials Rank #188 of 270 ⚔️ AESI vs CMP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CMP vs. AESI, GAU, ELVR, UUUU)

Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) ranks #188 by composite RQD confidence (42/100, grade D-) and #137 by equity capitalization ($962.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CMP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.8% ROIC and 15.3% gross margin. GAU currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 49/100 (D) compared with CMP at 42/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
CMP ACTIVE
Compass Minerals Intl Inc
D- 42/100 — 15.3% 1.8% 0.00% $962.6M Benchmark Subject
AESI
Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
E 27/100 — 13.8% -0.5% -1.91% $1.16B /aesi-vs-cmp →
GAU
Galiano Gold Inc.
D 49/100 — — — -2.37% $538.9M /gau-vs-cmp →
ELVR
Elevra Lithium Limited American Depository Shares
D 45/100 — — — -11.99% $455.5M /elvr-vs-cmp →
UUUU
Energy Fuels Inc (Canada)
E 16/100 — 20.9% -13.0% -1.91% $2.06B /uuuu-vs-cmp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001227654

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.24B (+11.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.12B , and +3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$79.8M, operating cash flow of $197.7M, and free cash flow of $197.7M (+1272.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMP closed FY2025 with $1.53B in total assets against $883.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-09-30 $1.24B -$79.8M $197.7M $197.7M $1.53B $883.6M
FY2024 (FY) 2024-09-30 $1.12B -$206.1M $14.4M $14.4M $1.72B $965.7M
FY2023 (FY) 2023-09-30 $1.20B $10.5M $106.0M $106.0M — —

3. CMP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-02, Compass Minerals Intl Inc (NYSE: CMP) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 42/100 at a spot price of $22.93 (0.00% 1D, market cap $962.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 4/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CMP ranks #188 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMP compare to AESI and GAU in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), CMP carries a Roarable D- (42/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.3%, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, AESI (Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.) holds a E grade (27/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $1.16B) and GAU (Galiano Gold Inc.) posts a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $538.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CMP leads on capital efficiency (1.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMP?

Per CMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001227654), Compass Minerals Intl Inc generated $1.24B in revenue (+11.3% YoY), -$79.8M in net income, and $197.7M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $883.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMP last traded at $22.93 (0.00% on volume of 393,502 shares), positioning the stock -1.84% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.36) and -11.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.94). Across its 52-week range of $16.40 to $34.50, CMP sits at the 36.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 51.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.6% ($21.42 to $24.44).

CMP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does CMP pay a dividend and is it safe?

Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) offers a 0% cash dividend yield ($0.00 annualized) and 1.8% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as REINVESTING IN GROWTH + BUYBACKS.

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