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Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$22.93 0.00% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.89

Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $962.6M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.89 (-0.19%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 15.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for CMP)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.2%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY CMP SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+13/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 15.9% FCF Margin ($197.7M FCF) & 15.3% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+11/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.2% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$22.79-2.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$22.26-4.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C-$21.27+7.8% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$22.93-0.9% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a CMP Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While CMP currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (9/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($23.42) and Max Pain ($24.08) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $36.23.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $CMP• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “CMP Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 29, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 53%NO 47%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

CMP Smart-Money Thermometer: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (CMP)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on CMP. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring CMP)

✓Walkthrough of CMP's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

CMP // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -14.15%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $22.38H $23.32L $22.36C $22.93VOL 572.7K

RES: $25.07SUP: $20.07SMA50: $23.42SMA200: $25.94

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

CMP Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 CMP Butterfly Map → + Track CMP →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +11.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on CMP today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for CMP. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for CMP today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (CMP)

Materials Rank #127 of 270 ⚔️ AESI vs CMP Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (CMP vs. AESI, GAU, ELVR, UUUU)

Industry: Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) (24 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) ranks #127 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #137 by equity capitalization ($962.6M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, CMP leads on earnings valuation at N/A trailing P/E, while CMP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 1.8% ROIC and 15.3% gross margin. CMP currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 53/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
CMP ACTIVE Compass Minerals Intl Inc	D+	53/100	—	15.3%	1.8%	0.00%	$962.6M	Benchmark Subject
AESI Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.	D-	39/100	—	13.8%	-0.5%	-1.91%	$1.16B	/aesi-vs-cmp →
GAU Galiano Gold Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	—	-2.37%	$538.9M	/gau-vs-cmp →
ELVR Elevra Lithium Limited American Depository Shares	D	48/100	—	—	—	-11.99%	$455.5M	/elvr-vs-cmp →
UUUU Energy Fuels Inc (Canada)	E	23/100	—	20.9%	-13.0%	-1.91%	$2.06B	/uuuu-vs-cmp →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-09-30 • CIK 0001227654

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30), Compass Minerals Intl Inc (CMP) reported GAAP revenue of $1.24B (+11.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $1.12B , and +3.3% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$79.8M, operating cash flow of $197.7M, and free cash flow of $197.7M (+1272.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, CMP closed FY2025 with $1.53B in total assets against $883.6M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-09-30	$1.24B	-$79.8M	$197.7M	$197.7M	$1.53B	$883.6M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-09-30	$1.12B	-$206.1M	$14.4M	$14.4M	$1.72B	$965.7M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-09-30	$1.20B	$10.5M	$106.0M	$106.0M	—	—

3. CMP Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is CMP stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Compass Minerals Intl Inc (NYSE: CMP) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $22.93 (0.00% 1D, market cap $962.6M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 11/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, CMP ranks #127 in composite RQD confidence.

How does CMP compare to AESI and GAU in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)), CMP carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 15.3%, and ROIC of 1.8%. By comparison, AESI (Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.) holds a D- grade (39/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -0.5%, cap $1.16B) and GAU (Galiano Gold Inc.) posts a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $538.9M). Among the 5-stock peer group, CMP leads on earnings multiple (N/A) while CMP leads on capital efficiency (1.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for CMP?

Per CMP's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-09-30, CIK 0001227654), Compass Minerals Intl Inc generated $1.24B in revenue (+11.3% YoY), -$79.8M in net income, and $197.7M in free cash flow against $1.53B in total assets and $883.6M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is CMP trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

CMP last traded at $22.93 (0.00% on volume of 393,502 shares), positioning the stock -2.09% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.42) and -11.60% below its 200-day simple moving average ($25.94). Across its 52-week range of $16.40 to $34.50, CMP sits at the 36.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 55.5 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.2% ($21.28 to $24.58).

CMP Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are CMP insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies CMP leadership and institutional positioning as: BALANCED INSTITUTIONAL POSITIONING.

Direct Sub-Reports: CMP RQD Cockpit CMP 12M Forecast CMP Earnings & Move CMP Dividends & DRIP CMP Insiders & 13F CMP Whale Options CMP Profit Sankey CMP News & Why