Stock Ratings / Energy / BTU / dividends

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Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) Dividend Safety Gauge & 10-Year DRIP Compounder

$22.23 -1.24% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.14

Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $2.71B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $22.14 (-0.41%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 4/20 (E) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BTU)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY BTU SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+10/20 pts (28% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±9.3% realized swing band)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+10/20 pts (28% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 10% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 36 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$25.13-4.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$23.89-4.2% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$22.89-2.9% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$22.23-8.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a BTU Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While BTU currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($25.81) and Max Pain ($23.34) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $43.20.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BTU• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “BTU Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CASH DIVIDEND + BUYBACK YIELD

1.95% Total Yield

1.35% Cash ($0.30/yr) + 0.6% Buybacks

PAYOUT SAFETY SPEEDOMETER

41/100 • ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH

FREE CASH FLOW PAYOUT RATIO

96% of FCF

8 consecutive years of payout growth

INTERACTIVE DRIP & SHAREHOLDER-YIELD COMPOUNDER (5.5% EST. ANNUAL)

$10,000 Compounded Over 10 Years → $17,081

Est. Year-10 Shareholder Yield: $333/yr

Starting Investment: $10,000

Compounding Horizon: 10 Years

$10.6K

Yr 1

$11.1K

Yr 2

$11.7K

Yr 3

$12.4K

Yr 4

$13.1K

Yr 5

$13.8K

Yr 6

$14.5K

Yr 7

$15.3K

Yr 8

$16.2K

Yr 9

$17.1K

Yr 10

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BTU)

✓Walkthrough of BTU's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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BTU // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -16.62%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $22.10H $22.55L $21.84C $22.23VOL 1.71M

RES: $29.30SUP: $15.57SMA50: $25.81SMA200: $28.09

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BTU Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 BTU Butterfly Map → + Track BTU →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -8.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BTU today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BTU. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BTU today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BTU)

Energy Rank #188 of 211 ⚔️ AMR vs BTU Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (BTU vs. AMR, CNR, HCC, NRP)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) ranks #188 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #112 by equity capitalization ($2.71B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCC leads on earnings valuation at 79.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with BTU at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
BTU ACTIVE Peabody Energy Corporation	D-	36/100	—	—	-2.1%	-1.24%	$2.71B	Benchmark Subject
AMR Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.	D	50/100	—	—	-4.1%	-0.89%	$2.05B	/amr-vs-btu →
CNR Core Natural Resources Inc.	D	46/100	—	—	-4.0%	-1.41%	$4.33B	/cnr-vs-btu →
HCC Warrior Met Coal Inc.	D+	56/100	79.3x	22.4%	1.8%	+2.63%	$4.52B	/hcc-vs-btu →
NRP Natural Resource Partners LP	C+	69/100	—	—	18.4%	-0.88%	$1.54B	/nrp-vs-btu →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001064728

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) reported GAAP revenue of $3.86B (-8.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.24B , and -21.9% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $333.7M, and free cash flow of -$77.7M (-137.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, BTU closed FY2025 with $5.81B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.83, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$3.86B	$0	$333.7M	-$77.7M	$5.81B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.24B	$0	$606.5M	$205.2M	$5.95B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.95B	$0	$1.04B	$1.04B	—	—

3. BTU Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BTU stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Peabody Energy Corporation (NYSE: BTU) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $22.23 (-1.24% 1D, market cap $2.71B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 4/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 10/20, Executive Insider Alignment 9/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, BTU ranks #188 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BTU compare to AMR and CNR in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), BTU carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -2.1%. By comparison, AMR (Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.1%, cap $2.05B) and CNR (Core Natural Resources Inc.) posts a D grade (46/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -4.0%, cap $4.33B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BTU?

Per BTU's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001064728), Peabody Energy Corporation generated $3.86B in revenue (-8.9% YoY), $0 in net income, and -$77.7M in free cash flow against $5.81B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BTU trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BTU last traded at $22.23 (-1.24% on volume of 2,924,828 shares), positioning the stock -13.87% below its 50-day simple moving average ($25.81) and -20.86% below its 200-day simple moving average ($28.09). Across its 52-week range of $20.06 to $41.14, BTU sits at the 10.3% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.3% ($20.16 to $24.30).

BTU Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Does BTU pay a dividend and is it safe?

Peabody Energy Corporation (BTU) offers a 1.35% cash dividend yield ($0.30 annualized) and 1.95% total shareholder yield including buybacks. Roarable rates its payout coverage as ELEVATED PAYOUT WATCH.

Direct Sub-Reports: BTU RQD Cockpit BTU 12M Forecast BTU Earnings & Move BTU Dividends & DRIP BTU Insiders & 13F BTU Whale Options BTU Profit Sankey BTU News & Why