Banner Corporation (BANR) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$69.32 +0.93% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.30

Banner Corporation (BANR) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 57/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.54B
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $69.31 (-0.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 6.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 57/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.2% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
025507510057
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk C
Cash (11)Whales (8)SEC (13)Macro (12)CEO (13)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-0.4% Base Target
$81 Bull$69 Base$54 Bear
📬 FREE BANR RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for BANR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±4.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (57/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY BANR SCORES 57/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (23% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 5/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (23% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
49
Grade D$66.43+1.7% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
52
Grade C-$67.57+4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
54
Grade C-$70.28-1.4% Next Q
Current
57
Grade D+$69.32-0.2% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (49) → D+ (57)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the BANR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 57/100 (D+) score, BANR faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($69.10) or 200D SMA ($66.12) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($69.01) toward Bear Floor ($53.83).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $BANR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “BANR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your BANR Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $69.32: 144.3 sh
$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000
12M Bear Case FloorTarget $53.83
$7,765
$-2,235 (-22.3%)
12M Consensus BaseTarget $69.01
$9,955
$-45 (-0.4%)
12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $81.43
$11,747
+$1,747 (+17.5%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (32 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100
● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 6
Wall Street FirmStance12M Target1Y AccuracyTrack Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity DeskHOLD$7274%A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage LeadUNDERPERFORM$7769%B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap ResearchSELL$6158%C
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring BANR)

  • ✓Walkthrough of BANR's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
BANR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +3.60%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $69.71H $69.71L $68.51C $69.32VOL 372.8K
RES: $70.95SUP: $65.39SMA50: $69.10SMA200: $66.12
$75.74$72.00$68.25$64.50$60.76RES $70.95SUP $65.39$69.322026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

BANR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
25.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on BANR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for BANR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for BANR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (BANR)

Financials Rank #631 of 1096 ⚔️ FRME vs BANR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (BANR vs. FRME, TRMK, BUSE, SYBT)

Industry: Major Banks (248 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Banner Corporation (BANR) ranks #631 by composite RQD confidence (57/100, grade D+) and #394 by equity capitalization ($2.54B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, FRME leads on earnings valuation at 11.4x trailing P/E, while SYBT leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SYBT currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 73/100 (B) compared with BANR at 57/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
BANR ACTIVE
Banner Corporation
D+ 57/100 — — 3.8% +0.93% $2.54B Benchmark Subject
FRME
First Merchants Corporation
B- 71/100 11.4x — 9.2% +1.06% $2.58B /frme-vs-banr →
TRMK
Trustmark Corporation
B- 70/100 11.6x — 10.6% -0.36% $2.60B /trmk-vs-banr →
BUSE
First Busey Corporation (Class A)
C+ 69/100 18.1x — 5.5% +0.79% $2.45B /buse-vs-banr →
SYBT
Stock Yards Bancorp Inc.
B 73/100 17.4x — 13.0% +2.46% $2.44B /sybt-vs-banr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000946673

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Banner Corporation (BANR) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $195.4K, operating cash flow of $257.5M, and free cash flow of $247.9M (-11.3% YoY). On the balance sheet, BANR closed FY2025 with $16.35B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $195.4K $257.5M $247.9M $16.35B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $168.9K $293.2M $279.4M $16.20B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $183.6K $257.2M $257.2M — —

3. BANR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is BANR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Banner Corporation (NASDAQ: BANR) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 57/100 at a spot price of $69.32 (+0.93% 1D, market cap $2.54B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 12/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, BANR ranks #631 in composite RQD confidence.

How does BANR compare to FRME and TRMK in the Financials sector?

Within the Financials sector (Major Banks), BANR carries a Roarable D+ (57/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 3.8%. By comparison, FRME (First Merchants Corporation) holds a B- grade (71/100 RQD, P/E 11.4x, ROIC 9.2%, cap $2.58B) and TRMK (Trustmark Corporation) posts a B- grade (70/100 RQD, P/E 11.6x, ROIC 10.6%, cap $2.60B). Among the 5-stock peer group, FRME leads on earnings multiple (11.4x) while SYBT leads on capital efficiency (13.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for BANR?

Per BANR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000946673), Banner Corporation generated $0 in revenue, $195.4K in net income, and $247.9M in free cash flow against $16.35B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is BANR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

BANR last traded at $69.32 (+0.93% on volume of 206,088 shares), positioning the stock +0.32% above its 50-day simple moving average ($69.10) and +4.84% above its 200-day simple moving average ($66.12). Across its 52-week range of $57.05 to $74.84, BANR sits at the 69.0% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 53.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±4.3% ($66.34 to $72.30).

BANR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is BANR's 12-month stock price target?

Banner Corporation (BANR) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $69.01 (-0.4% from $69.32), with a bull-case target of $81.43 and a bear-case floor of $53.83.

Is BANR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates BANR D+ (Sell — SELL) with an RQD Confidence score of 57/100.

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