Why ASIX Stock dropped -3.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$15.03 -3.09% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.92

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $405.8M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.92 (-0.75%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.2% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-
025507510061
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-
Cash (11)Whales (7)SEC (13)Macro (15)CEO (15)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target
$28 Bull$15 Base$12 Bear
📬 FREE ASIX RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASIX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ASIX SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
69
Grade B-$16.24+0.8% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
66
Grade B-$16.37-4% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
64
Grade C+$15.71-4.3% Next Q
Current
61
Grade C-$15.03+0.5% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASIX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, ASIX faces multiple-compression risk if 8.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($16.34) or 200D SMA ($19.52) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.23) toward Bear Floor ($11.88).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASIX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ASIX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →

Why ASIX Stock dropped -3.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) dropped -3.09% to $15.03, trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($14.1 – $26.73). Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 7% of its 52-week range ($14.1 – $26.73) with RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.3% around $15.03 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C- (Hold) backed by 52% gross margin and $6.4M annual free cash flow.
Live ASIX Headlines & Catalysts
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ASIX Tape Review)

  • ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
  • ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
  • ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ASIX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.05%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL
2026-10-30O $15.07H $15.36L $15.03C $15.03VOL 377.1K
RES: $16.69SUP: $10.36SMA50: $16.34SMA200: $19.52
$27.57$24.10$20.63$17.16$13.69RES $16.69SUP $10.36$15.032026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASIX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
-5.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASIX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASIX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASIX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASIX)

Materials Rank #52 of 270 ⚔️ VHI vs ASIX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ASIX vs. VHI, ADUR, SLI, LXFR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) ranks #52 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #185 by equity capitalization ($405.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASIX leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while LXFR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and 23.2% gross margin. LXFR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with ASIX at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
ASIX ACTIVE
AdvanSix Inc.
C- 61/100 8.2x — 6.0% -3.09% $405.8M Benchmark Subject
VHI
Valhi Inc.
E 34/100 — 14.2% 6.2% -0.07% $396.2M /vhi-vs-asix →
ADUR
Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.
C- 61/100 — — — +3.22% $367.4M /adur-vs-asix →
SLI
Standard Lithium Ltd.
D+ 56/100 — — — -3.33% $358.0M /sli-vs-asix →
LXFR
Luxfer Holdings PLC
C+ 68/100 60.0x 23.2% 8.2% +0.12% $462.1M /lxfr-vs-asix →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001673985

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $49.3M, operating cash flow of $122.9M, and free cash flow of $6.4M (+279.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASIX closed FY2025 with $1.71B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $0 $49.3M $122.9M $6.4M $1.71B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $0 $44.1M $135.4M $1.7M $1.59B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $0 $54.6M $117.5M $117.5M — —

3. ASIX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASIX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE: ASIX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $15.03 (-3.09% 1D, market cap $405.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASIX ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASIX compare to VHI and ADUR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ASIX carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, VHI (Valhi Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $396.2M) and ADUR (Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $367.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASIX?

Per ASIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001673985), AdvanSix Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $49.3M in net income, and $6.4M in free cash flow against $1.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASIX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASIX last traded at $15.03 (-3.09% on volume of 293,213 shares), positioning the stock -8.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.34) and -23.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.52). Across its 52-week range of $14.10 to $26.73, ASIX sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($14.08 to $15.98).

ASIX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Why is ASIX stock moving today?

Why ASIX Stock dropped -3.09% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid steady margins (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 8x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

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