Valhi Inc. (VHI) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$13.99 -0.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.96

Valhi Inc. (VHI) carries a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell) with 34/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE E • RED ALERT Cap $396.2M
📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $13.96 (-0.20%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 9/20 (D) • 0% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →
📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (34/100 · E) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.7% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).
Audit Bucket Track Record →
RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • E
025507510034
3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning
Cash
SEC
Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D-
Cash (9)Whales (8)SEC (8)Macro (6)CEO (3)
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-10.8% Base Target
$20 Bull$12 Base$10 Bear
📬 FREE VHI RATING-CHANGE & BRIEFING ALERTSManage / Unsubscribe
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VHI)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7.7%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (34/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VHI SCORES 34/100 (E) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+9/20 pts (26% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 0% FCF Margin ($0 FCF) & 14.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+8/20 pts (24% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7.7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)
42
Grade D$14.21+3.3% Next Q
Q2 (-2Q)
39
Grade E$14.68-2.5% Next Q
Q3 (-1Q)
37
Grade E$14.32-2.3% Next Q
Current
34
Grade E$13.99-8.7% Hist 90D α
Trajectory: D (42) → E (34)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VHI Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While VHI currently carries a cautious 34/100 (E) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($16.06) and Max Pain ($14.69) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $20.15.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VHI• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VHI Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE
39.430 Oversold · 70 Hot
ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)
3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe
PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)
2 / 99-Pt Accounting
52-WEEK LASER RANGE33% OF RANGE
L: $11$13.99H: $19
1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK
Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: DRQD 9 / 20
2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING
Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40
3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING
SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40
MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on VHI

Cash & Moat Bull AI
ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model
BEARISH (45)

6.2% ROIC with 14.2% gross margin and -20.72% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI
10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard
BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 2/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI
Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq
BEARISH (28)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like VHI
  • ✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.
Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong
  • !Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
  • !Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
  • !Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VHI)

  • ✓Walkthrough of VHI's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
  • ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
  • ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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VHI // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -7.04%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $14.36H $14.36L $13.99C $13.99VOL 7.7K
RES: $21.40SUP: $13.81SMA50: $16.06SMA200: $14.74
$19.69$17.61$15.52$13.44$11.35RES $21.40SUP $13.81$13.992026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

VHI Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VHI today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VHI. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VHI today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VHI)

Materials Rank #246 of 270 ⚔️ ASIX vs VHI Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (VHI vs. ASIX, ADUR, SLI, NL)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Valhi Inc. (VHI) ranks #246 by composite RQD confidence (34/100, grade E) and #186 by equity capitalization ($396.2M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASIX leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while VHI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 6.2% ROIC and 14.2% gross margin. ASIX currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 61/100 (C-) compared with VHI at 34/100 (E).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
VHI ACTIVE
Valhi Inc.
E 34/100 — 14.2% 6.2% -0.07% $396.2M Benchmark Subject
ASIX
AdvanSix Inc.
C- 61/100 8.2x — 6.0% -3.09% $405.8M /asix-vs-vhi →
ADUR
Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.
C- 61/100 — — — +3.22% $367.4M /adur-vs-vhi →
SLI
Standard Lithium Ltd.
D+ 56/100 — — — -3.33% $358.0M /sli-vs-vhi →
NL
NLI Holdings Inc.
D 44/100 — 30.4% 3.4% -0.71% $341.8M /nl-vs-vhi →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000059255

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Valhi Inc. (VHI) reported GAAP revenue of $2.08B (-1.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.10B , and +8.1% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$57.6M, operating cash flow of -$35.5M, and free cash flow of -$82.1M (-726.7% YoY). On the balance sheet, VHI closed FY2025 with $2.63B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 2/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.08B -$57.6M -$35.5M -$82.1M $2.63B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.10B $108.0M $44.0M $13.1M $2.80B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $1.92B -$9.9M $3.9M $3.9M — —

3. VHI Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is VHI stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Valhi Inc. (NYSE: VHI) is rated E (Strong Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 34/100 at a spot price of $13.99 (-0.07% 1D, market cap $396.2M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 9/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, VHI ranks #246 in composite RQD confidence.

How does VHI compare to ASIX and ADUR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), VHI carries a Roarable E (34/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 14.2%, and ROIC of 6.2%. By comparison, ASIX (AdvanSix Inc.) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $405.8M) and ADUR (Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $367.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while VHI leads on capital efficiency (6.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VHI?

Per VHI's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000059255), Valhi Inc. generated $2.08B in revenue (-1.3% YoY), -$57.6M in net income, and -$82.1M in free cash flow against $2.63B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is VHI trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

VHI last traded at $13.99 (-0.07% on volume of 10,087 shares), positioning the stock -12.89% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.06) and -5.09% below its 200-day simple moving average ($14.74). Across its 52-week range of $11.44 to $19.19, VHI sits at the 32.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.7% ($12.91 to $15.07).

VHI Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell VHI stock right now?

Valhi Inc. (VHI) currently earns a Roarable Rating of E (Strong Sell — SELL) with 34/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (6% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is VHI's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

VHI's 12-month base price target is $12.48 (range $9.73 to $20.15), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

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