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Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$17.27 +0.12% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.24

Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $462.1M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.24 (-0.17%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 14/20 (B-) • 6.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C- · Rk B+

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for LXFR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±1.8%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY LXFR SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+18/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 73% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+14/20 pts (21% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 6.8% FCF Margin ($26.2M FCF) & 23.2% Gross Margin

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C$17.24-0.1% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$17.23+0.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$17.28-0.1% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$17.27+1.8% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the LXFR Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, LXFR faces multiple-compression risk if 60.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 60x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 20.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($17.24) or 200D SMA ($15.82) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($18.05) toward Bear Floor ($14.08).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $LXFR• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “LXFR Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 68%NO 32%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

47.430 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.79>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCORESOLID CORE (5–6)

6 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE73% OF RANGE

L: $11$17.27H: $19

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (23% profit margin), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: B-RQD 14 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● NEUTRAL

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Big funds and company insiders are mostly holding steady without aggressive buying or panic selling.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 22 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● ALL CLEAR

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

Clean SEC fine-print check with low hidden accounting risk and favorable interest-rate weather.

Factor Grade: B+RQD 32 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish on LXFR

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BULLISH (70)

8.2% ROIC with 23.2% gross margin and 5.67% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 3.79 and Piotroski 6/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BULLISH (67)

22/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 18/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like LXFR

✓Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Priced at 60x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (LXFR Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

LXFR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +14.75%▼ SUPPORT BREAKDOWN

2026-10-30O $17.26H $17.28L $17.20C $17.27VOL 730.3K

RES: $17.24SUP: $17.39SMA50: $17.24SMA200: $15.82

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

LXFR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 LXFR Butterfly Map → + Track LXFR →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

41.4%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -1.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on LXFR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for LXFR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for LXFR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (LXFR)

Materials Rank #24 of 270 ⚔️ BAK vs LXFR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (LXFR vs. BAK, ASIX, VHI, ADUR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR) ranks #24 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #177 by equity capitalization ($462.1M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASIX leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while LXFR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and 23.2% gross margin. LXFR currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 68/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
LXFR ACTIVE Luxfer Holdings PLC	C+	68/100	60.0x	23.2%	8.2%	+0.12%	$462.1M	Benchmark Subject
BAK Braskem SA ADR	D+	58/100	—	—	—	-2.52%	$462.4M	/bak-vs-lxfr →
ASIX AdvanSix Inc.	C-	61/100	8.2x	—	6.0%	-3.09%	$405.8M	/asix-vs-lxfr →
VHI Valhi Inc.	E	34/100	—	14.2%	6.2%	-0.07%	$396.2M	/vhi-vs-lxfr →
ADUR Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+3.22%	$367.4M	/adur-vs-lxfr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001096056

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR) reported GAAP revenue of $384.6M (-1.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $391.9M , and -5.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.7M, operating cash flow of $34.0M, and free cash flow of $26.2M (-35.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, LXFR closed FY2025 with $369.7M in total assets against $14.4M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 3.79, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$384.6M	$7.7M	$34.0M	$26.2M	$369.7M	$14.4M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$391.9M	$18.4M	$51.1M	$40.8M	$382.4M	$42.0M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$405.0M	-$1.9M	$26.3M	$26.3M	—	—

3. LXFR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is LXFR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Luxfer Holdings PLC (NYSE: LXFR) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $17.27 (+0.12% 1D, market cap $462.1M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 14/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 18/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, LXFR ranks #24 in composite RQD confidence.

How does LXFR compare to BAK and ASIX in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), LXFR carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 60.0x, gross margin of 23.2%, and ROIC of 8.2%. By comparison, BAK (Braskem SA ADR) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $462.4M) and ASIX (AdvanSix Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 8.2x, ROIC 6.0%, cap $405.8M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for LXFR?

Per LXFR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001096056), Luxfer Holdings PLC generated $384.6M in revenue (-1.9% YoY), $7.7M in net income, and $26.2M in free cash flow against $369.7M in total assets and $14.4M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Materials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 60x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is LXFR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

LXFR last traded at $17.27 (+0.12% on volume of 1,524,434 shares), positioning the stock +0.17% above its 50-day simple moving average ($17.24) and +9.17% above its 200-day simple moving average ($15.82). Across its 52-week range of $11.26 to $19.45, LXFR sits at the 73.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 47.4 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±1.8% ($16.96 to $17.58).

LXFR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell LXFR stock right now?

Luxfer Holdings PLC (LXFR) currently earns a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold — HOLD) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. Solid 23% profit margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 60x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.

What is LXFR's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

LXFR's 12-month base price target is $18.05 (range $14.08 to $21.3), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: LXFR RQD Cockpit LXFR 12M Forecast LXFR Earnings & Move LXFR Dividends & DRIP LXFR Insiders & 13F LXFR Whale Options LXFR Profit Sankey LXFR News & Why