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AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$15.03 -3.09% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.92

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $405.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.92 (-0.75%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASIX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASIX SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$16.24+0.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$16.37-4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$15.71-4.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$15.03+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASIX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, ASIX faces multiple-compression risk if 8.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($16.34) or 200D SMA ($19.52) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.23) toward Bear Floor ($11.88).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASIX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASIX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ASIX Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $15.03: 665.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $11.88

$7,904

$-2,096 (-21.0%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $15.23

$10,133

+$133 (+1.3%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $28.07

$18,676

+$8,676 (+86.8%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$16	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$26	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$14	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ASIX Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ASIX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.05%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $15.07H $15.36L $15.03C $15.03VOL 377.1K

RES: $16.69SUP: $10.36SMA50: $16.34SMA200: $19.52

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASIX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASIX Butterfly Map → + Track ASIX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-5.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASIX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASIX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASIX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASIX)

Materials Rank #52 of 270 ⚔️ VHI vs ASIX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ASIX vs. VHI, ADUR, SLI, LXFR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) ranks #52 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #185 by equity capitalization ($405.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASIX leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while LXFR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and 23.2% gross margin. LXFR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with ASIX at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASIX ACTIVE AdvanSix Inc.	C-	61/100	8.2x	—	6.0%	-3.09%	$405.8M	Benchmark Subject
VHI Valhi Inc.	E	34/100	—	14.2%	6.2%	-0.07%	$396.2M	/vhi-vs-asix →
ADUR Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+3.22%	$367.4M	/adur-vs-asix →
SLI Standard Lithium Ltd.	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-3.33%	$358.0M	/sli-vs-asix →
LXFR Luxfer Holdings PLC	C+	68/100	60.0x	23.2%	8.2%	+0.12%	$462.1M	/lxfr-vs-asix →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001673985

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $49.3M, operating cash flow of $122.9M, and free cash flow of $6.4M (+279.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASIX closed FY2025 with $1.71B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$49.3M	$122.9M	$6.4M	$1.71B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$44.1M	$135.4M	$1.7M	$1.59B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$54.6M	$117.5M	$117.5M	—	—

3. ASIX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASIX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE: ASIX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $15.03 (-3.09% 1D, market cap $405.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASIX ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASIX compare to VHI and ADUR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ASIX carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, VHI (Valhi Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $396.2M) and ADUR (Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $367.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASIX?

Per ASIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001673985), AdvanSix Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $49.3M in net income, and $6.4M in free cash flow against $1.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASIX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASIX last traded at $15.03 (-3.09% on volume of 293,213 shares), positioning the stock -8.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.34) and -23.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.52). Across its 52-week range of $14.10 to $26.73, ASIX sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($14.08 to $15.98).

ASIX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ASIX's 12-month stock price target?

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $15.23 (+1.3% from $15.03), with a bull-case target of $28.07 and a bear-case floor of $11.88.