Stock Ratings / Materials / ASIX / earnings

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AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.3% Move

$15.03 -3.09% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.92

AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 61/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $405.8M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.92 (-0.75%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 0.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 61/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.5% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+1.3% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ASIX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.3%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (61/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ASIX SCORES 61/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 7% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+15/20 pts (25% of score)

SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 75% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning7/20 pts (-13 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-13 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$16.24+0.8% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B-$16.37-4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C+$15.71-4.3% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$15.03+0.5% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (69) → C- (61)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ASIX Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 61/100 (C-) score, ASIX faces multiple-compression risk if 8.2x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.88% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($16.34) or 200D SMA ($19.52) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.23) toward Bear Floor ($11.88).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ASIX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ASIX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 61%NO 39%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.3% Swing Band

±$0.95 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ASIX Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 61/100

Trailing EPS: $1.83 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (61/100)Model Risk Weight (39/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$49.3M	$6.4M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$0	$44.1M	$1.7M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$0	$54.6M	$117.5M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ASIX & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ASIX
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ASIX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -39.05%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $15.07H $15.36L $15.03C $15.03VOL 377.1K

RES: $16.69SUP: $10.36SMA50: $16.34SMA200: $19.52

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ASIX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ASIX Butterfly Map → + Track ASIX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

-5.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ASIX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ASIX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ASIX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ASIX)

Materials Rank #52 of 270 ⚔️ VHI vs ASIX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Materials Peer Comparison (ASIX vs. VHI, ADUR, SLI, LXFR)

Industry: Major Chemicals (67 Tracked Issuers)

Across 270 tracked Materials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) ranks #52 by composite RQD confidence (61/100, grade C-) and #185 by equity capitalization ($405.8M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ASIX leads on earnings valuation at 8.2x trailing P/E, while LXFR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.2% ROIC and 23.2% gross margin. LXFR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 68/100 (C+) compared with ASIX at 61/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ASIX ACTIVE AdvanSix Inc.	C-	61/100	8.2x	—	6.0%	-3.09%	$405.8M	Benchmark Subject
VHI Valhi Inc.	E	34/100	—	14.2%	6.2%	-0.07%	$396.2M	/vhi-vs-asix →
ADUR Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.	C-	61/100	—	—	—	+3.22%	$367.4M	/adur-vs-asix →
SLI Standard Lithium Ltd.	D+	56/100	—	—	—	-3.33%	$358.0M	/sli-vs-asix →
LXFR Luxfer Holdings PLC	C+	68/100	60.0x	23.2%	8.2%	+0.12%	$462.1M	/lxfr-vs-asix →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001673985

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX) reported GAAP revenue of $0 (N/A vs. FY2024 revenue of $0 ) , GAAP net income of $49.3M, operating cash flow of $122.9M, and free cash flow of $6.4M (+279.5% YoY). On the balance sheet, ASIX closed FY2025 with $1.71B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$49.3M	$122.9M	$6.4M	$1.71B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$0	$44.1M	$135.4M	$1.7M	$1.59B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$0	$54.6M	$117.5M	$117.5M	—	—

3. ASIX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ASIX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, AdvanSix Inc. (NYSE: ASIX) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 61/100 at a spot price of $15.03 (-3.09% 1D, market cap $405.8M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 7/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 15/20. Across 270 tracked Materials issuers, ASIX ranks #52 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ASIX compare to VHI and ADUR in the Materials sector?

Within the Materials sector (Major Chemicals), ASIX carries a Roarable C- (61/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.2x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, VHI (Valhi Inc.) holds a E grade (34/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 6.2%, cap $396.2M) and ADUR (Aduro Clean Technologies Inc.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $367.4M). Among the 5-stock peer group, ASIX leads on earnings multiple (8.2x) while LXFR leads on capital efficiency (8.2% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ASIX?

Per ASIX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001673985), AdvanSix Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $49.3M in net income, and $6.4M in free cash flow against $1.71B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ASIX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ASIX last traded at $15.03 (-3.09% on volume of 293,213 shares), positioning the stock -8.02% below its 50-day simple moving average ($16.34) and -23.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($19.52). Across its 52-week range of $14.10 to $26.73, ASIX sits at the 7.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 39.6 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.3% ($14.08 to $15.98).

ASIX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ASIX's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, AdvanSix Inc. (ASIX)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ASIX stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.3% event move for ASIX, spanning a range between $14.08 and $15.98.

Direct Sub-Reports: ASIX RQD Cockpit ASIX 12M Forecast ASIX Earnings & Move ASIX Dividends & DRIP ASIX Insiders & 13F ASIX Whale Options ASIX Profit Sankey ASIX News & Why