MARKET WIREYahoo • 3d ago
Stocks making big moves yesterday: Arlo Technologies, Herc, Polaris, Dell, and Euronet WorldwideCheck out the companies making headlines yesterday:
Why ARLO Stock surged +8.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$14.75 +8.14% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.94
Arlo Technologies Inc. (ARLO) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 68/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH
Cap $1.59B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.94 (+1.28%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 14.9% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 68/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.8% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.9% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B+
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE+4.5% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARLO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.6%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (68/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY ARLO SCORES 68/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+18/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 5.60 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (21% of score)
20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±10.6% realized swing band)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)
Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade C$12.40-1.9% Next Q
60
Q2 (-2Q)Grade C+$12.16+7.2% Next Q
63
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C+$13.03+13.2% Next Q
65
CurrentGrade C+$14.75+1.8% Hist 90D α
68
Trajectory: C (60) → C+ (68)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARLO Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 68/100 (C+) score, ARLO faces multiple-compression risk if 106.3x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1
Priced at 106x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 41.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($12.96) or 200D SMA ($13.38) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.41) toward Bear Floor ($12.02).
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARLO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “ARLO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why ARLO Stock surged +8.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Arlo Technologies Inc. (ARLO) surged +8.14% to $14.75, trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($11.05 – $19.35). Solid 44% profit margin (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 106x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 45% of its 52-week range ($11.05 – $19.35) with RSI-14 at 64.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.6% around $14.75 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 44% gross margin and $78.7M annual free cash flow.
Live ARLO Headlines & Catalysts
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
Arlo Technologies (ARLO) shares skyrocket, what you need to knowShares of smart security company Arlo (NYSE:ARLO) jumped 5.8% in the afternoon session after the company announced that its board of directors authorized a stock repurchase program of up to $100 million of its common sto
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
Arlo Technologies Announces Inducement Awards Under NYSE Rule 303A.08Arlo Technologies, Inc. (NYSE: ARLO), a leading smart home security brand, today announced that it has made equity grants to new employees under its 2018 Equity Incentive Plan in accordance with NYSE Rule 303A.08.
CATALYSTYahoo • 5d ago
Arlo Technologies stock rises on $100M buyback programInvesting.com -- Arlo Technologies (NYSE:ARLO) shares gained 4.3% in premarket trading Tuesday following the company's announcement of a $100 million stock repurchase program.
MARKET WIREFintel • 5d ago
Arlo Technologies, Inc. Announces $100 million Stock Repurchase ProgramMARKET WIREYahoo • 5d ago
Arlo Adopts New Stock Repurchase ProgramCARLSBAD, Calif., October 27, 2026--Arlo Technologies, Inc. (NYSE: ARLO), a leading provider of smart home security services, recently announced that its Board of Directors has approved the repurchase of up to an aggrega
MARKET WIREYahoo • 8d ago
Q2 earnings outperformers: Arlo Technologies (NYSE:ARLO) and the rest of the specialized technology stocksQuarterly earnings results are a good time to check in on a company’s progress, especially compared to its peers in the same sector. Today we are looking at Arlo Technologies (NYSE:ARLO) and the best and worst performers
MARKET WIREBenzinga • 12d ago
Piper Sandler Maintains Overweight on Arlo Technologies, Lowers Price Target to $16Piper Sandler analyst James Fish maintains Arlo Technologies (NYSE:ARLO) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $18 to $16.
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ARLO Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
- ✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
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ARLO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +4.98%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $14.55H $14.77L $14.07C $14.75VOL 2.16M
RES: $16.34SUP: $11.10SMA50: $12.96SMA200: $13.38
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
ARLO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
48.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARLO today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARLO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARLO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARLO)
Consumer Discretionary Rank #218 of 1011
⚔️ PRG vs ARLO Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (ARLO vs. PRG, UPBD, KPLT, CTOS)
Industry: Diversified Commercial Services (32 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Arlo Technologies Inc. (ARLO) ranks #218 by composite RQD confidence (68/100, grade C+) and #448 by equity capitalization ($1.59B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, PRG leads on earnings valuation at 8.9x trailing P/E, while PRG leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 37.3% ROIC and — gross margin. PRG currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 80/100 (B+) compared with ARLO at 68/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARLO
ACTIVE
Arlo Technologies Inc. | C+ | 68/100 | 106.3x | 44.0% | 6.0% | +8.14% | $1.59B | Benchmark Subject |
| PRG PROG Holdings Inc. | B+ | 80/100 | 8.9x | — | 37.3% | +8.42% | $1.31B | /prg-vs-arlo → |
| UPBD Upbound Group Inc. | B+ | 79/100 | 16.0x | 48.4% | 30.7% | +18.16% | $1.16B | /upbd-vs-arlo → |
| KPLT Katapult Holdings Inc. | D | 48/100 | — | 17.7% | -0.8% | +37.58% | $1.06B | /kplt-vs-arlo → |
| CTOS Custom Truck One Source Inc. | C- | 61/100 | — | 28.5% | 4.1% | +1.39% | $2.48B | /ctos-vs-arlo → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001736946In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Arlo Technologies Inc. (ARLO) reported GAAP revenue of $529.3M (+3.6% vs. FY2024 revenue of $510.9M ) , GAAP net income of $14.9M, operating cash flow of $78.7M, and free cash flow of $78.7M (+61.9% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARLO closed FY2025 with $310.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 5.60, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $529.3M | $14.9M | $78.7M | $78.7M | $310.5M | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $510.9M | -$30.5M | $51.3M | $48.6M | $298.4M | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $0 | -$22.0M | $38.3M | $38.3M | — | — |
3. ARLO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ARLO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Arlo Technologies Inc. (NYSE: ARLO) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 68/100 at a spot price of $14.75 (+8.14% 1D, market cap $1.59B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 18/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, ARLO ranks #218 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ARLO compare to PRG and UPBD in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Diversified Commercial Services), ARLO carries a Roarable C+ (68/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 106.3x, gross margin of 44.0%, and ROIC of 6.0%. By comparison, PRG (PROG Holdings Inc.) holds a B+ grade (80/100 RQD, P/E 8.9x, ROIC 37.3%, cap $1.31B) and UPBD (Upbound Group Inc.) posts a B+ grade (79/100 RQD, P/E 16.0x, ROIC 30.7%, cap $1.16B). Among the 5-stock peer group, PRG leads on earnings multiple (8.9x) while PRG leads on capital efficiency (37.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARLO?
Per ARLO's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001736946), Arlo Technologies Inc. generated $529.3M in revenue (+3.6% YoY), $14.9M in net income, and $78.7M in free cash flow against $310.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Clean SEC annual filing review with no major hidden accounting time-bombs.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 106x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ARLO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ARLO last traded at $14.75 (+8.14% on volume of 2,347,169 shares), positioning the stock +13.81% above its 50-day simple moving average ($12.96) and +10.24% above its 200-day simple moving average ($13.38). Across its 52-week range of $11.05 to $19.35, ARLO sits at the 44.6% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 64.1 (BULLISH MOMENTUM) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.6% ($13.19 to $16.31).
ARLO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ARLO stock moving today?
Why ARLO Stock surged +8.14% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 44% profit margin (6% return on capital), mixed timing at 106x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.