Stock Ratings / Industrials / ARCB / options

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ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) Options Positioning, Max Pain & Unusual Sweeps

$126.41 +0.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $126.28

ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.83B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $126.28 (-0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARCB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ARCB SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 57% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$129.36+0.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$129.98-2.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$127.01-0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$126.41+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARCB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, ARCB faces multiple-compression risk if 47.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($131.63) or 200D SMA ($124.57) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($130.96) toward Bear Floor ($102.15).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARCB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ARCB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

CALL VS. PUT WHALE SHARE

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

Put/Call Ratio: — (No Active Options Snapshot)

MAX-PAIN EXPIRATION MAGNET

— (No Active Options Snapshot)

No active options chain max-pain snapshot on file

HISTORICAL 20D VOLATILITY SWING

±7%

Derived from 20D OHLCV bars (No Active Options Snapshot)

Active Strike Call vs. Put Concentration Ladder (ARCB)

— (No Active Options Snapshot) — No unusual CBOE strike concentration anomalies recorded in the current database snapshot for ARCB.

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Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ARCB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ARCB
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✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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ARCB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.91%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $126.5H $126.5L $123.6C $126.4VOL 186.2K

RES: $131.3SUP: $116.7SMA50: $131.6SMA200: $124.6

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARCB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ARCB Butterfly Map → + Track ARCB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

34.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARCB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARCB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARCB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARCB)

Industrials Rank #102 of 485 ⚔️ LSTR vs ARCB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ARCB vs. LSTR, WERN, SNDR, MRTN)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) ranks #102 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #186 by equity capitalization ($2.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LSTR leads on earnings valuation at 41.4x trailing P/E, while LSTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ARCB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ARCB ACTIVE ArcBest Corporation	C+	66/100	47.0x	—	5.4%	+0.48%	$2.83B	Benchmark Subject
LSTR Landstar System Inc.	C-	59/100	41.4x	—	16.4%	+1.85%	$4.77B	/lstr-vs-arcb →
WERN Werner Enterprises Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	0.4%	+1.84%	$1.66B	/wern-vs-arcb →
SNDR Schneider National Inc.	D+	56/100	49.8x	—	4.2%	-0.87%	$5.16B	/sndr-vs-arcb →
MRTN Marten Transport Ltd.	C	65/100	55.1x	—	2.5%	+0.86%	$960.3M	/mrtn-vs-arcb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000894405

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) reported GAAP revenue of $4.01B (-4.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.18B , and -9.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $60.1M, operating cash flow of $229.0M, and free cash flow of $114.2M (+82.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARCB closed FY2025 with $2.45B in total assets against $136.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.01B	$60.1M	$229.0M	$114.2M	$2.45B	$136.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.18B	$174.0M	$285.8M	$62.7M	$2.43B	$125.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.43B	$195.4M	$322.2M	$322.2M	—	—

3. ARCB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARCB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ArcBest Corporation (NASDAQ: ARCB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $126.41 (+0.48% 1D, market cap $2.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ARCB ranks #102 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARCB compare to LSTR and WERN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), ARCB carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, LSTR (Landstar System Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 41.4x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $4.77B) and WERN (Werner Enterprises Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $1.66B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LSTR leads on earnings multiple (41.4x) while LSTR leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARCB?

Per ARCB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000894405), ArcBest Corporation generated $4.01B in revenue (-4.0% YoY), $60.1M in net income, and $114.2M in free cash flow against $2.45B in total assets and $136.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARCB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARCB last traded at $126.41 (+0.48% on volume of 233,844 shares), positioning the stock -3.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($131.63) and +1.48% above its 200-day simple moving average ($124.57). Across its 52-week range of $59.43 to $176.69, ARCB sits at the 57.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($117.56 to $135.26).