Stock Ratings / Industrials / ARCB / earnings

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ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±7% Move

$126.41 +0.48% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $126.28

ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C+ • HOLD / WATCH Cap $2.83B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $126.28 (-0.10%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 13/20 (C) • 2.8% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 66/100 (C+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+1.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 56.0% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw C · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+3.6% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ARCB)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±7%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (66/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ARCB SCORES 66/100 (C+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (23% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 57% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 41.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+14/20 pts (21% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±7% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 9 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B+$129.36+0.5% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B$129.98-2.3% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B-$127.01-0.5% Next Q

Current

Grade C+$126.41+1.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B+ (74) → C+ (66)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ARCB Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, ARCB faces multiple-compression risk if 47.0x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-0.96% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($131.63) or 200D SMA ($124.57) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($130.96) toward Bear Floor ($102.15).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ARCB• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ARCB Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 66%NO 34%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±7% Swing Band

±$8.85 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ARCB Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 66/100

Trailing EPS: $2.69 • YoY Revenue Growth: -4%

Model Bullish Setup (66/100)Model Risk Weight (34/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$4.01B	$60.1M	$114.2M	52%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$4.18B	$174.0M	$62.7M	52%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$4.43B	$195.4M	$322.2M	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ARCB & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ARCB
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ARCB // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -0.91%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $126.5H $126.5L $123.6C $126.4VOL 186.2K

RES: $131.3SUP: $116.7SMA50: $131.6SMA200: $124.6

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ARCB Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ARCB Butterfly Map → + Track ARCB →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

34.7%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -4.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ARCB today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ARCB. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ARCB today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ARCB)

Industrials Rank #102 of 485 ⚔️ LSTR vs ARCB Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ARCB vs. LSTR, WERN, SNDR, MRTN)

Industry: Trucking Freight/Courier Services (19 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) ranks #102 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #186 by equity capitalization ($2.83B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, LSTR leads on earnings valuation at 41.4x trailing P/E, while LSTR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 16.4% ROIC and — gross margin. ARCB currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ARCB ACTIVE ArcBest Corporation	C+	66/100	47.0x	—	5.4%	+0.48%	$2.83B	Benchmark Subject
LSTR Landstar System Inc.	C-	59/100	41.4x	—	16.4%	+1.85%	$4.77B	/lstr-vs-arcb →
WERN Werner Enterprises Inc.	D	45/100	—	—	0.4%	+1.84%	$1.66B	/wern-vs-arcb →
SNDR Schneider National Inc.	D+	56/100	49.8x	—	4.2%	-0.87%	$5.16B	/sndr-vs-arcb →
MRTN Marten Transport Ltd.	C	65/100	55.1x	—	2.5%	+0.86%	$960.3M	/mrtn-vs-arcb →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0000894405

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ArcBest Corporation (ARCB) reported GAAP revenue of $4.01B (-4.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $4.18B , and -9.4% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $60.1M, operating cash flow of $229.0M, and free cash flow of $114.2M (+82.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, ARCB closed FY2025 with $2.45B in total assets against $136.0M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 5/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$4.01B	$60.1M	$229.0M	$114.2M	$2.45B	$136.0M
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$4.18B	$174.0M	$285.8M	$62.7M	$2.43B	$125.2M
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$4.43B	$195.4M	$322.2M	$322.2M	—	—

3. ARCB Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ARCB stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ArcBest Corporation (NASDAQ: ARCB) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $126.41 (+0.48% 1D, market cap $2.83B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 13/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 11/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ARCB ranks #102 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ARCB compare to LSTR and WERN in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Trucking Freight/Courier Services), ARCB carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 47.0x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 5.4%. By comparison, LSTR (Landstar System Inc.) holds a C- grade (59/100 RQD, P/E 41.4x, ROIC 16.4%, cap $4.77B) and WERN (Werner Enterprises Inc.) posts a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.4%, cap $1.66B). Among the 5-stock peer group, LSTR leads on earnings multiple (41.4x) while LSTR leads on capital efficiency (16.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ARCB?

Per ARCB's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0000894405), ArcBest Corporation generated $4.01B in revenue (-4.0% YoY), $60.1M in net income, and $114.2M in free cash flow against $2.45B in total assets and $136.0M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Priced at 47x earnings—high expectations leave less room for a lukewarm quarter.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ARCB trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ARCB last traded at $126.41 (+0.48% on volume of 233,844 shares), positioning the stock -3.97% below its 50-day simple moving average ($131.63) and +1.48% above its 200-day simple moving average ($124.57). Across its 52-week range of $59.43 to $176.69, ARCB sits at the 57.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 41.9 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±7.0% ($117.56 to $135.26).

ARCB Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ARCB's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, ArcBest Corporation (ARCB)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ARCB stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±7% event move for ARCB, spanning a range between $117.56 and $135.26.

Direct Sub-Reports: ARCB RQD Cockpit ARCB 12M Forecast ARCB Earnings & Move ARCB Dividends & DRIP ARCB Insiders & 13F ARCB Whale Options ARCB Profit Sankey ARCB News & Why