Why AMR Stock slipped -0.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

$161.81 -0.89% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) carries a Roarable Rating of D (Sell) with 50/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

ROARABLE D • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.05B
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12M PRICE TARGET CONE-3.6% Base Target
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WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMR)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.8%
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Why AMR Stock slipped -0.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash

Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) slipped -0.89% to $161.81, trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($133.64 – $253.82). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

  • ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 23% of its 52-week range ($133.64 – $253.82) with RSI-14 at 40.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
  • ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±10.8% around $161.81 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
  • ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $144.9M annual free cash flow.
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AMR // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -13.22%🛡️ HOLDING TREND SUPPORT
2026-10-30O $158.4H $161.8L $156.3C $161.8VOL 180.4K
RES: $255.6SUP: $154.7SMA50: $187.6SMA200: $185.0
$250.1$218.6$187.0$155.4$123.8RES $255.6SUP $154.7$161.82026-04-302026-06-152026-07-312026-09-162026-10-30
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AMR Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. -28.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMR today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMR. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

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🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMR today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMR)

Energy Rank #146 of 211 ⚔️ BTU vs AMR Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Energy Peer Comparison (AMR vs. BTU, NRP, CNR, HCC)

Industry: Coal Mining (10 Tracked Issuers)

Across 211 tracked Energy securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) ranks #146 by composite RQD confidence (50/100, grade D) and #119 by equity capitalization ($2.05B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, HCC leads on earnings valuation at 79.3x trailing P/E, while NRP leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 18.4% ROIC and — gross margin. NRP currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 69/100 (C+) compared with AMR at 50/100 (D).

Ticker / Company Roarable Grade RQD Score Trailing P/E Gross Margin ROIC 1D Change Market Cap Head-to-Head
AMR ACTIVE
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc.
D 50/100 — — -4.1% -0.89% $2.05B Benchmark Subject
BTU
Peabody Energy Corporation
D- 36/100 — — -2.1% -1.24% $2.71B /btu-vs-amr →
NRP
Natural Resource Partners LP
C+ 69/100 — — 18.4% -0.88% $1.54B /nrp-vs-amr →
CNR
Core Natural Resources Inc.
D 46/100 — — -4.0% -1.41% $4.33B /cnr-vs-amr →
HCC
Warrior Met Coal Inc.
D+ 56/100 79.3x 22.4% 1.8% +2.63% $4.52B /hcc-vs-amr →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001704715

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (AMR) reported GAAP revenue of $2.12B (-28.0% vs. FY2024 revenue of $2.95B , and -38.6% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$61.7M, operating cash flow of $144.9M, and free cash flow of $144.9M (-75.0% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMR closed FY2025 with $2.28B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 4.18, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period Filing Date Revenue Net Income Operating Cash Flow Free Cash Flow Total Assets Total Debt
FY2025 (FY) 2025-12-31 $2.12B -$61.7M $144.9M $144.9M $2.28B —
FY2024 (FY) 2024-12-31 $2.95B $187.6M $579.9M $579.9M $2.44B —
FY2023 (FY) 2023-12-31 $3.46B $722.0M $851.2M $851.2M — —

3. AMR Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMR stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. (NYSE: AMR) is rated D (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 50/100 at a spot price of $161.81 (-0.89% 1D, market cap $2.05B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 211 tracked Energy issuers, AMR ranks #146 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMR compare to BTU and NRP in the Energy sector?

Within the Energy sector (Coal Mining), AMR carries a Roarable D (50/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -4.1%. By comparison, BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) holds a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -2.1%, cap $2.71B) and NRP (Natural Resource Partners LP) posts a C+ grade (69/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 18.4%, cap $1.54B). Among the 5-stock peer group, HCC leads on earnings multiple (79.3x) while NRP leads on capital efficiency (18.4% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMR?

Per AMR's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001704715), Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc. generated $2.12B in revenue (-28.0% YoY), -$61.7M in net income, and $144.9M in free cash flow against $2.28B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Energy with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMR trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMR last traded at $161.81 (-0.89% on volume of 234,329 shares), positioning the stock -13.73% below its 50-day simple moving average ($187.56) and -12.54% below its 200-day simple moving average ($185.02). Across its 52-week range of $133.64 to $253.82, AMR sits at the 23.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 40.2 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.8% ($144.33 to $179.29).

AMR Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

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Why is AMR stock moving today?

Why AMR Stock slipped -0.89% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-4% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

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