Stock Ratings / Consumer Discretionary / AERO / earnings

ALGT (50) ULCC (36) SKYW (75) ALK (43) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±10.9% Move

$15.22 +0.07% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.19

Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID Cap $2.22B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $15.19 (-0.18%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 12/20 (C-) • 1.6% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 58/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.0% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 52.7% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AERO)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±10.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (58/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AERO SCORES 58/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (26% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 27% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 46.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+13/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B-$15.57+2.6% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C+$15.98-5.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$15.16+0.4% Next Q

Current

Grade D+$15.22+0% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B- (66) → D+ (58)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the AERO Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 58/100 (D+) score, AERO faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($15.35) or 200D SMA ($16.24) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($15.22) toward Bear Floor ($11.87).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AERO• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AERO Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Upcoming Quarter) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 58%NO 42%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Upcoming Quarter (~28 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±10.9% Swing Band

±$1.66 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

AERO Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 58/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (58/100)Model Risk Weight (42/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AERO)

✓Walkthrough of AERO's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

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AERO // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +0.20%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-10-30O $14.94H $15.33L $14.72C $15.22VOL 256.3K

RES: $16.69SUP: $14.04SMA50: $15.35SMA200: $16.24

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AERO Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AERO Butterfly Map → + Track AERO →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AERO today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AERO. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AERO today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AERO)

Consumer Discretionary Rank #442 of 1011 ⚔️ ALGT vs AERO Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (AERO vs. ALGT, ULCC, SKYW, ALK)

Industry: Air Freight/Delivery Services (20 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) ranks #442 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #404 by equity capitalization ($2.22B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, SKYW leads on earnings valuation at 8.8x trailing P/E, while SKYW leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 10.9% ROIC and — gross margin. SKYW currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 75/100 (B) compared with AERO at 58/100 (D+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AERO ACTIVE Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) )	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+0.07%	$2.22B	Benchmark Subject
ALGT Allegiant Travel Company	D	50/100	—	—	1.1%	+0.83%	$1.99B	/algt-vs-aero →
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings Inc.	D-	36/100	—	—	-35.0%	+5.02%	$1.49B	/ulcc-vs-aero →
SKYW SkyWest Inc.	B	75/100	8.8x	—	10.9%	+1.33%	$3.75B	/skyw-vs-aero →
ALK Alaska Air Group Inc.	D-	43/100	40.3x	—	2.9%	+1.60%	$4.03B	/alk-vs-aero →

2. AERO Fundamental Profitability, Capital Efficiency & Balance-Sheet Forensics

TRAILING 12M & FORWARD QUANTITATIVE SNAPSHOT

Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO) operates in Air Freight/Delivery Services (Consumer Discretionary) with an equity capitalization of $2.22B, trailing P/E of N/A, forward P/E of N/A, and EV/EBITDA of N/A. Operating profitability registers a gross margin of —, operating margin of —, net profit margin of —, ROIC of —, and free cash flow yield of —, alongside an Altman Z-Score of N/A and Piotroski F-Score of N/A.

3. AERO Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AERO stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (NYSE: AERO) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $15.22 (+0.07% 1D, market cap $2.22B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 12/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, AERO ranks #442 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AERO compare to ALGT and ULCC in the Consumer Discretionary sector?

Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Air Freight/Delivery Services), AERO carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, ALGT (Allegiant Travel Company) holds a D grade (50/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 1.1%, cap $1.99B) and ULCC (Frontier Group Holdings Inc.) posts a D- grade (36/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $1.49B). Among the 5-stock peer group, SKYW leads on earnings multiple (8.8x) while SKYW leads on capital efficiency (10.9% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AERO?

For Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO), key quantitative strengths include Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity. and sector rank #442 in Consumer Discretionary, while primary risk factors center on Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately. and implied 5-year growth hurdle of 8.0%/yr. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AERO trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AERO last traded at $15.22 (+0.07% on volume of 209,682 shares), positioning the stock -0.85% below its 50-day simple moving average ($15.35) and -6.28% below its 200-day simple moving average ($16.24). Across its 52-week range of $12.26 to $23.05, AERO sits at the 27.4% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.1 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±10.9% ($13.56 to $16.88).

AERO Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is AERO's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, Grupo Aeromexico S.A.B. de C.V. (each representing ten (10) ) (AERO)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Upcoming Quarter.

How much is AERO stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±10.9% event move for AERO, spanning a range between $13.56 and $16.88.

Direct Sub-Reports: AERO RQD Cockpit AERO 12M Forecast AERO Earnings & Move AERO Dividends & DRIP AERO Insiders & 13F AERO Whale Options AERO Profit Sankey AERO News & Why