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ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) 12-Month Stock Forecast & Price Target Cone

$17.69 +2.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.73

ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.34B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.73 (+0.20%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADIG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ADIG SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 17% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$16.80-7.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$15.48+4.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$16.23+9% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$17.69+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ADIG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, ADIG faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.02) or 200D SMA ($20.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.85) toward Bear Floor ($13.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADIG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ADIG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

INTERACTIVE 12-MONTH POSITION SIMULATOR

Drag to Test Your ADIG Position Size: $10,000

Shares at $17.69: 565.3 sh

$1,000$10,000$25,000$50,000$100,000

12M Bear Case FloorTarget $13.92

$7,869

$-2,131 (-21.3%)

12M Consensus BaseTarget $17.85

$10,090

+$90 (+0.9%)

12M Bull Case BreakoutTarget $32.54

$18,395

+$8,395 (+83.9%)

Wall Street Analyst Breakdown & Historical Accuracy Audit (28 Desks)

Street Historical Accuracy: 64/100

● Strong Buy / Buy: 17● Hold: 9● Sell: 2

Wall Street Firm	Stance	12M Target	1Y Accuracy	Track Grade
Morgan StanleyInstitutional Equity Desk	HOLD	$19	74%	A
Goldman SachsSector Coverage Lead	BUY	$31	69%	B
JP MorganUS Large-Cap Research	HOLD	$16	58%	C

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ADIG Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ADIG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.76%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $16.64H $17.79L $16.48C $17.69VOL 531.9K

RES: $20.28SUP: $13.18SMA50: $19.02SMA200: $20.13

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADIG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ADIG Butterfly Map → + Track ADIG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADIG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADIG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADIG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADIG)

Industrials Rank #166 of 485 ⚔️ REZI vs ADIG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ADIG vs. REZI, BXC, AMPX, TRS)

Industry: Wholesale Distributors (3 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) ranks #166 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #231 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while REZI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.8% ROIC and 29.4% gross margin. BXC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ADIG at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ADIG ACTIVE ADI Global Distribution Inc.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+2.19%	$1.34B	Benchmark Subject
REZI Resideo Technologies Inc.	D	45/100	—	29.4%	8.8%	+2.68%	$2.85B	/rezi-vs-adig →
BXC Bluelinx Holdings Inc.	C	64/100	—	15.3%	4.9%	+4.47%	$615.1M	/bxc-vs-adig →
AMPX Amprius Technologies Inc.	D-	40/100	—	11.5%	-35.0%	-0.22%	$1.34B	/ampx-vs-adig →
TRS TriMas Corporation	D+	55/100	11.5x	21.4%	4.8%	-1.73%	$1.39B	/trs-vs-adig →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002105139

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, ADIG closed FY2025 with $4.15B in total assets against $1.19B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$4.15B	$1.19B

3. ADIG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADIG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ADI Global Distribution Inc. (NYSE: ADIG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $17.69 (+2.19% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ADIG ranks #166 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADIG compare to REZI and BXC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Wholesale Distributors), ADIG carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, REZI (Resideo Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.8%, cap $2.85B) and BXC (Bluelinx Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $615.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while REZI leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADIG?

Per ADIG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002105139), ADI Global Distribution Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.15B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADIG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADIG last traded at $17.69 (+2.19% on volume of 367,164 shares), positioning the stock -6.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.02) and -12.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.13). Across its 52-week range of $15.00 to $30.99, ADIG sits at the 16.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.0% ($15.57 to $19.81).

ADIG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

What is ADIG's 12-month stock price target?

ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) carries a 12-month consensus base price target of $17.85 (+0.9% from $17.69), with a bull-case target of $32.54 and a bear-case floor of $13.92.

Is ADIG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now?

Roarable's 5-Pillar RQD Quant Engine rates ADIG C- (Hold — HOLD) with an RQD Confidence score of 60/100.

Direct Sub-Reports: ADIG RQD Cockpit ADIG 12M Forecast ADIG Earnings & Move ADIG Dividends & DRIP ADIG Insiders & 13F ADIG Whale Options ADIG Profit Sankey ADIG News & Why