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Amprius Technologies Inc. (AMPX) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$9.14 -0.22% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.12

Amprius Technologies Inc. (AMPX) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 40/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $1.34B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $9.12 (-0.23%)🧬 Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 0% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (40/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-7.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw E · Rk D

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-8.1% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for AMPX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12.5%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (40/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY AMPX SCORES 40/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (35% of score)

Altman Z-Score 13.45 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 4/9

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+9/20 pts (23% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12.5% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution4/20 pts (-16 pt drag)

Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 16 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$9.44-18.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$7.71+6.1% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade D$8.18+11.7% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$9.14-7.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (48) → D- (40)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a AMPX Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While AMPX currently carries a cautious 40/100 (D-) rating due to Insider Conviction & Share Dilution (4/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($9.29) and Max Pain ($9.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $25.44.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Dilution Drag (+2.48% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $AMPX• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “AMPX Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 40%NO 60%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

46.730 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

13.45>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

4 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE11% OF RANGE

L: $7$9.14H: $24

1. Money & Cash Health● WEAK

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Weak cash conversion or heavy valuation strain compared to actual cash earned.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 8 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 12 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: DRQD 20 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on AMPX

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

BEARISH (40)

-35.0% ROIC with 11.5% gross margin and -2.66% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BULLISH (70)

Altman-Z 13.45 and Piotroski 4/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (30)

12/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like AMPX

✓Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring AMPX)

✓Walkthrough of AMPX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

AMPX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -56.60%⚡ TESTING RESISTANCE

2026-10-30O $8.57H $9.14L $8.28C $9.14VOL 4.94M

RES: $9.48SUP: $6.75SMA50: $9.29SMA200: $13.41

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

AMPX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 AMPX Butterfly Map → + Track AMPX →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +180.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on AMPX today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for AMPX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for AMPX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (AMPX)

Industrials Rank #375 of 485 ⚔️ LYNX vs AMPX Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (AMPX vs. LYNX, TNC, ENR, FLNC)

Industry: Industrial Machinery/Components (208 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Amprius Technologies Inc. (AMPX) ranks #375 by composite RQD confidence (40/100, grade D-) and #232 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ENR leads on earnings valuation at 6.6x trailing P/E, while ENR leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and 41.7% gross margin. TNC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 66/100 (C+) compared with AMPX at 40/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
AMPX ACTIVE Amprius Technologies Inc.	D-	40/100	—	11.5%	-35.0%	-0.22%	$1.34B	Benchmark Subject
LYNX Lyntris Inc.	D+	58/100	—	—	—	+8.56%	$1.41B	/lynx-vs-ampx →
TNC Tennant Company	C+	66/100	25.9x	40.2%	9.0%	+0.83%	$1.14B	/tnc-vs-ampx →
ENR Energizer Holdings Inc.	D+	58/100	6.6x	41.7%	85.0%	+3.58%	$1.59B	/enr-vs-ampx →
FLNC Fluence Energy Inc. (Class A)	E	26/100	—	13.1%	-12.5%	-1.62%	$1.12B	/flnc-vs-ampx →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001899287

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Amprius Technologies Inc. (AMPX) reported GAAP revenue of $71.9M (+205.1% vs. FY2024 revenue of $23.6M , and +718.0% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$44.0M, operating cash flow of -$31.1M, and free cash flow of -$35.5M (+2.8% YoY). On the balance sheet, AMPX closed FY2025 with $156.9M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 13.45, Piotroski F-Score: 4/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$71.9M	-$44.0M	-$31.1M	-$35.5M	$156.9M	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$23.6M	-$44.7M	-$33.4M	-$36.6M	$121.1M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$8.8M	-$36.8M	-$25.6M	-$25.6M	—	—

3. AMPX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is AMPX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, Amprius Technologies Inc. (NYSE: AMPX) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 40/100 at a spot price of $9.14 (-0.22% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 9/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 3/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, AMPX ranks #375 in composite RQD confidence.

How does AMPX compare to LYNX and TNC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Machinery/Components), AMPX carries a Roarable D- (40/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 11.5%, and ROIC of -35.0%. By comparison, LYNX (Lyntris Inc.) holds a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.41B) and TNC (Tennant Company) posts a C+ grade (66/100 RQD, P/E 25.9x, ROIC 9.0%, cap $1.14B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ENR leads on earnings multiple (6.6x) while ENR leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for AMPX?

Per AMPX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001899287), Amprius Technologies Inc. generated $71.9M in revenue (+205.1% YoY), -$44.0M in net income, and -$35.5M in free cash flow against $156.9M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is AMPX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

AMPX last traded at $9.14 (-0.22% on volume of 3,547,165 shares), positioning the stock -1.61% below its 50-day simple moving average ($9.29) and -31.84% below its 200-day simple moving average ($13.41). Across its 52-week range of $7.26 to $24.23, AMPX sits at the 11.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 46.7 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.5% ($8.00 to $10.28).

AMPX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell AMPX stock right now?

Amprius Technologies Inc. (AMPX) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 40/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-35% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is AMPX's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

AMPX's 12-month base price target is $8.4 (range $6.55 to $25.44), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: AMPX RQD Cockpit AMPX 12M Forecast AMPX Earnings & Move AMPX Dividends & DRIP AMPX Insiders & 13F AMPX Whale Options AMPX Profit Sankey AMPX News & Why