Stock Ratings / Industrials / ADIG / earnings

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ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±12% Move

$17.69 +2.19% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.73

ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) carries a Roarable Rating of C- (Hold) with 60/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY) →

ROARABLE C- • HOLD / WATCH Cap $1.34B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $17.73 (+0.20%)🧬 Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 10/20 (D) • 0.9% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 60/100 (C-) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (+0.4% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 53.5% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERHOLD / WATCH • C-

JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D+ · Rk B-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+0.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for ADIG)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±12%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (60/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY ADIG SCORES 60/100 (C-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+15/20 pts (25% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 17% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 50 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Whale & Options Positioning+13/20 pts (22% of score)

20D Institutional Volume Accumulation (±12% realized swing band)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution9/20 pts (-11 pt drag)

Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) & executive Form 4 sales trim 11 pts from alignment

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade C-$16.80-7.9% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade C$15.48+4.8% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade C$16.23+9% Next Q

Current

Grade C-$17.69+0.4% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: C- (52) → C- (60)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ADIG Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 60/100 (C-) score, ADIG faces multiple-compression risk if current valuation multiples re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Disciplined Float (-0.40% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 49.5% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($19.02) or 200D SMA ($20.13) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($17.85) toward Bear Floor ($13.92).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $ADIG• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “ADIG Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 60%NO 40%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±12% Swing Band

±$2.12 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

ADIG Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 60/100

Trailing EPS: $4.25 • YoY Revenue Growth: 12.4%

Model Bullish Setup (60/100)Model Risk Weight (40/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$0	$0	$0	52%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating ADIG & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on ADIG
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

ADIG // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -15.76%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-10-30O $16.64H $17.79L $16.48C $17.69VOL 531.9K

RES: $20.28SUP: $13.18SMA50: $19.02SMA200: $20.13

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

ADIG Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 ADIG Butterfly Map → + Track ADIG →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +6.0% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ADIG today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ADIG. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for ADIG today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ADIG)

Industrials Rank #166 of 485 ⚔️ REZI vs ADIG Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (ADIG vs. REZI, BXC, AMPX, TRS)

Industry: Wholesale Distributors (3 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) ranks #166 by composite RQD confidence (60/100, grade C-) and #231 by equity capitalization ($1.34B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while REZI leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 8.8% ROIC and 29.4% gross margin. BXC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 64/100 (C) compared with ADIG at 60/100 (C-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
ADIG ACTIVE ADI Global Distribution Inc.	C-	60/100	—	—	—	+2.19%	$1.34B	Benchmark Subject
REZI Resideo Technologies Inc.	D	45/100	—	29.4%	8.8%	+2.68%	$2.85B	/rezi-vs-adig →
BXC Bluelinx Holdings Inc.	C	64/100	—	15.3%	4.9%	+4.47%	$615.1M	/bxc-vs-adig →
AMPX Amprius Technologies Inc.	D-	40/100	—	11.5%	-35.0%	-0.22%	$1.34B	/ampx-vs-adig →
TRS TriMas Corporation	D+	55/100	11.5x	21.4%	4.8%	-1.73%	$1.39B	/trs-vs-adig →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2025–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0002105139

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG) reported GAAP revenue of $0 , GAAP net income of $0, operating cash flow of $0, and free cash flow of $0 . On the balance sheet, ADIG closed FY2025 with $4.15B in total assets against $1.19B in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: N/A).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$0	$0	—	—	$4.15B	$1.19B

3. ADIG Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is ADIG stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, ADI Global Distribution Inc. (NYSE: ADIG) is rated C- (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 60/100 at a spot price of $17.69 (+2.19% 1D, market cap $1.34B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 10/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 13/20, Executive Insider Alignment 13/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 9/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, ADIG ranks #166 in composite RQD confidence.

How does ADIG compare to REZI and BXC in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Wholesale Distributors), ADIG carries a Roarable C- (60/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of —. By comparison, REZI (Resideo Technologies Inc.) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 8.8%, cap $2.85B) and BXC (Bluelinx Holdings Inc.) posts a C grade (64/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $615.1M). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while REZI leads on capital efficiency (8.8% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ADIG?

Per ADIG's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0002105139), ADI Global Distribution Inc. generated $0 in revenue, $0 in net income, and $0 in free cash flow against $4.15B in total assets and $1.19B in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Industrials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is ADIG trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

ADIG last traded at $17.69 (+2.19% on volume of 367,164 shares), positioning the stock -6.99% below its 50-day simple moving average ($19.02) and -12.12% below its 200-day simple moving average ($20.13). Across its 52-week range of $15.00 to $30.99, ADIG sits at the 16.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 50.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±12.0% ($15.57 to $19.81).

ADIG Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is ADIG's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, ADI Global Distribution Inc. (ADIG)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is ADIG stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±12% event move for ADIG, spanning a range between $15.57 and $19.81.

Direct Sub-Reports: ADIG RQD Cockpit ADIG 12M Forecast ADIG Earnings & Move ADIG Dividends & DRIP ADIG Insiders & 13F ADIG Whale Options ADIG Profit Sankey ADIG News & Why