Regenxbio (RGNX) possesses the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
Why ACAD Stock surged +2.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ACAD) carries a Roarable Rating of C+ (Hold) with 66/100 RQD Confidence. The composite score sits in the neutral Hold band (59–69), meaning current holders don’t need to panic-sell while prospective buyers can wait for a move into the 70+ Buy zone.
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Is ACAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
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As of 2026-11-01, ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: ACAD) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $20.76 (+2.17% 1D, market cap $3.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ACAD ranks #127 in composite RQD confidence.
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How does ACAD compare to AMLX and OGN in the Health Care sector?
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Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ACAD carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.1x, gross margin of 91.7%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, AMLX (Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.60B) and OGN (Organon & Co.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 19.4x, ROIC 24.9%, cap $3.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACAD leads on earnings multiple (9.1x) while OGN leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).
🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief)
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACAD?
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Per ACAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001070494), ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $1.07B in revenue (+11.9% YoY), $391.0M in net income, and $105.1M in free cash flow against $1.56B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Altman Z-Score 6.26 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
FRED Regime × Technicals: 19% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 45.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE)
Capital intensity & 9.8% operating margin leave 12 pts on the table
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the ACAD Bull Thesis Could Fail
Even with a 66/100 (C+) score, ACAD faces multiple-compression risk if 9.1x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.
Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.
Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-1.80% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 89.2% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.
Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($23.74) or 200D SMA ($23.68) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($21.51) toward Bear Floor ($16.78).
Why ACAD Stock surged +2.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ACAD) surged +2.17% to $20.76, trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($18.39 – $30.96). Solid 92% profit margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 9x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 19% of its 52-week range ($18.39 – $30.96) with RSI-14 at 45.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±6.4% around $20.76 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable C+ (Hold) backed by 91.7% gross margin and $105.1M annual free cash flow.
SAN DIEGO, October 28, 2026--Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Nasdaq: ACAD) today announced that it will participate in a fireside chat at the UBS Global Biopharma Conference 2026 on Tuesday, November 17, 2026 at 12:40 p.m.
Acadia (ACAD) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
SAN DIEGO, October 21, 2026--Acadia Pharmaceuticals Inc. (Nasdaq: ACAD) today announced that it will report third quarter 2026 financial results on Wednesday, November 4, 2026, after the close of the U.S. financial marke
AXSM's Auvelity sales surged 54.2% to $333 million in the first half of 2026. New indications could further expand its growth potential.
Needham analyst Ami Fadia reiterates Acadia Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:ACAD) with a Buy and maintains $35 price target.
Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (ACAD Tape Review)
- ✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
- ✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
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ACAD Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +11.9% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on ACAD today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for ACAD. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (ACAD)
1. Head-to-Head Health Care Peer Comparison (ACAD vs. AMLX, OGN, XENE, PBLS)
Industry: Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations (489 Tracked Issuers)Across 1016 tracked Health Care securities in the Roarable RQD universe, ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ACAD) ranks #127 by composite RQD confidence (66/100, grade C+) and #193 by equity capitalization ($3.58B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, ACAD leads on earnings valuation at 9.1x trailing P/E, while OGN leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 24.9% ROIC and 53.3% gross margin. ACAD currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 66/100 (C+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ACAD
ACTIVE
ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. | C+ | 66/100 | 9.1x | 91.7% | 7.9% | +2.17% | $3.58B | Benchmark Subject |
| AMLX Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc. | D- | 38/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +2.17% | $3.60B | /amlx-vs-acad → |
| OGN Organon & Co. | C- | 61/100 | 19.4x | 53.3% | 24.9% | +0.22% | $3.63B | /ogn-vs-acad → |
| XENE Xenon Pharmaceuticals Inc. | D- | 37/100 | — | — | -35.0% | +3.30% | $3.64B | /xene-vs-acad → |
| PBLS Parabilis Medicines Inc. | C- | 60/100 | — | — | — | +1.88% | $3.50B | /pbls-vs-acad → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001070494In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. (ACAD) reported GAAP revenue of $1.07B (+11.9% vs. FY2024 revenue of $957.8M , and +47.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $391.0M, operating cash flow of $109.8M, and free cash flow of $105.1M (-33.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, ACAD closed FY2025 with $1.56B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 6.26, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $1.07B | $391.0M | $109.8M | $105.1M | $1.56B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $957.8M | $226.0M | $157.7M | $157.2M | $1.19B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $726.4M | -$61.0M | $16.7M | $16.7M | — | — |
3. ACAD Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs ACAD stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: ACAD) is rated C+ (Hold / HOLD) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 66/100 at a spot price of $20.76 (+2.17% 1D, market cap $3.58B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 14/20, Executive Insider Alignment 15/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 15/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 14/20. Across 1016 tracked Health Care issuers, ACAD ranks #127 in composite RQD confidence.
How does ACAD compare to AMLX and OGN in the Health Care sector?
Within the Health Care sector (Biotechnology: Pharmaceutical Preparations), ACAD carries a Roarable C+ (66/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 9.1x, gross margin of 91.7%, and ROIC of 7.9%. By comparison, AMLX (Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc.) holds a D- grade (38/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -35.0%, cap $3.60B) and OGN (Organon & Co.) posts a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E 19.4x, ROIC 24.9%, cap $3.63B). Among the 5-stock peer group, ACAD leads on earnings multiple (9.1x) while OGN leads on capital efficiency (24.9% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for ACAD?
Per ACAD's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001070494), ACADIA Pharmaceuticals Inc. generated $1.07B in revenue (+11.9% YoY), $391.0M in net income, and $105.1M in free cash flow against $1.56B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Company leadership has skin in the game with net positive insider conviction.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is ACAD trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
ACAD last traded at $20.76 (+2.17% on volume of 2,193,872 shares), positioning the stock -12.55% below its 50-day simple moving average ($23.74) and -12.33% below its 200-day simple moving average ($23.68). Across its 52-week range of $18.39 to $30.96, ACAD sits at the 18.9% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 45.5 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($19.43 to $22.09).
ACAD Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is ACAD stock moving today?
Why ACAD Stock surged +2.17% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Solid 92% profit margin (8% return on capital), mixed timing at 9x P/E—hold if owned, no rush to chase.