REFI (48) AIV (48) BRT (37) SITC (59) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) — RQD Stock Rating Cockpit

$3.96 -8.12% NYSE • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.89

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) carries a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell) with 36/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows →

ROARABLE D- • RED ALERT Cap $228.9M

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

⚡ INSTANT AI QUANT PREVIEW • $0 FREE TIER Click Any Pre-Computed AI Quant Specialist Briefing on NXDT Below — or Connect Your Own ChatGPT / Claude

🤖 Mara Quenwick • AI Quant Lead (Click for Instant Brief) Is NXDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

▼

As of 2026-11-02, NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NYSE: NXDT) is rated D- (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 36/100 at a spot price of $3.96 (-8.12% 1D, market cap $228.9M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 5/20, Executive Insider Alignment 8/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 6/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 6/20. Across 1096 tracked Financials issuers, NXDT ranks #970 in composite RQD confidence.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Ellis Vennor • AI Peer & Flow Quant (Click for Instant Brief) How does NXDT compare to REFI and AIV in the Financials sector?

▼

Within the Financials sector (Real Estate Investment Trusts), NXDT carries a Roarable D- (36/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of —, and ROIC of -0.2%. By comparison, REFI (Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc.) holds a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E 6.4x, ROIC 11.7%, cap $229.6M) and AIV (Apartment Investment and Management Company) posts a D grade (48/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 85.0%, cap $238.2M). Among the 5-stock peer group, REFI leads on earnings multiple (6.4x) while AIV leads on capital efficiency (85.0% ROIC).

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 Gideon Ashmere • AI SEC 10-K Forensics (Click for Instant Brief) What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXDT?

▼

Per NXDT's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001356115), NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust generated $86.0M in revenue (+3.3% YoY), -$127.0M in net income, and $9.2M in free cash flow against $1.07B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

✓ Pre-computed one-to-many AI Quant brief

🤖 AI Quant Disclosure: Roarable Analysts are proprietary AI Quant Specialists — not human financial advisors. Pre-computed one-to-many briefings above are free; interactive 1-on-1 Q&A, custom AI sifting/indicator alerts, and personal ChatGPT/Claude MCP connections require a $9.95/mo Pro account (currently waitlist-only).

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $3.89 (-1.65%)🧬 Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 11/20 (D+) • 10.7% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record Warning: Scores below 50 (36/100 · D-) historically underperformed SPY in 71% of rolling 90-day windows (-8.3% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 29.0% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERRED ALERT • D-

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D- · Rk D-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE-9.8% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for NXDT)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±11.9%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (36/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY NXDT SCORES 36/100 (D-) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+11/20 pts (31% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 10.7% FCF Margin ($9.2M FCF) & 52% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+8/20 pts (22% of score)

Altman Z-Score 3.80 (FORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 3/9

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning5/20 pts (-15 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-15 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade D$5.13-4.3% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade D$4.91+2.4% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade E$5.03-21.3% Next Q

Current

Grade D-$3.96-8.3% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: D (44) → D- (36)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a NXDT Turnaround Squeeze

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

While NXDT currently carries a cautious 36/100 (D-) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (5/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1

Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2

Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($5.16) and Max Pain ($4.16) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $6.25.

🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3

Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Disciplined Float (+0.44% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $NXDT• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “NXDT Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 36%NO 64%Trade / Inspect Odds →

RSI-14 MOMENTUMNEUTRAL RANGE

3630 Oversold · 70 Hot

ALTMAN-Z SHIELDFORTRESS SAFE (>3.0)

3.80>3.0 Fortress Safe

PIOTROSKI F-SCOREWEAK QUALITY (1–4)

3 / 99-Pt Accounting

52-WEEK LASER RANGE41% OF RANGE

L: $3$3.96H: $6

1. Money & Cash Health● MIXED

Are profits real cash in the bank?

Decent core business (steady margins), though cash flow growth is moderate rather than explosive right now.

Factor Grade: D+RQD 11 / 20

2. Big Money & Insiders● TRIMMING

Are whales & executives buying or selling?

Insiders and big institutional desks have been trimming shares rather than stepping up to buy.

Factor Grade: ERQD 11 / 40

3. Hidden Risks & Market Weather● WARNING

SEC fine-print scan & interest-rate fit

High sensitivity to tight interest rates or new risk warnings added to recent SEC annual filings.

Factor Grade: D-RQD 14 / 40

MULTI-MODEL JEV QUANT JURY DELIBERATION

2-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bearish Warning on NXDT

Cash & Moat Bull AI

ROIC & Free Cash Flow Model

NEUTRAL (55)

-0.2% ROIC with 42.0% gross margin and 4.00% FCF yield.

SEC Forensic Auditor AI

10-K Accruals & Altman-Z Guard

BEARISH (40)

Altman-Z 4.20 and Piotroski 3/9 pass balance-sheet audit.

Whale & Macro Hawk AI

Options Skew, 13F & Fed NetLiq

BEARISH (28)

11/40 institutional & smart-money positioning score with 6/20 macro alignment.

Bull Case: Why Buyers Like NXDT

✓Established market leader in Financials with deep daily trading liquidity.

Bear Case: What Could Go Wrong

!Company executives have done more routine share selling than personal cash buying lately.
!Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.
!Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk

Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring NXDT)

✓Walkthrough of NXDT's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

NXDT // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -24.14%▼ DESCENDING CHANNEL

2026-11-02O $5.24H $5.24L $3.96C $3.96VOL 498.3K

RES: $5.37SUP: $3.14SMA50: $5.16SMA200: $4.95

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

NXDT Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 NXDT Butterfly Map → + Track NXDT →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +3.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on NXDT today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for NXDT. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for NXDT today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (NXDT)

Financials Rank #970 of 1096 ⚔️ REFI vs NXDT Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Financials Peer Comparison (NXDT vs. REFI, AIV, BRT, SITC)

Industry: Real Estate Investment Trusts (172 Tracked Issuers)

Across 1096 tracked Financials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) ranks #970 by composite RQD confidence (36/100, grade D-) and #864 by equity capitalization ($228.9M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, REFI leads on earnings valuation at 6.4x trailing P/E, while AIV leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 85.0% ROIC and — gross margin. SITC currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 59/100 (C-) compared with NXDT at 36/100 (D-).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
NXDT ACTIVE NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust	D-	36/100	—	—	-0.2%	-8.12%	$228.9M	Benchmark Subject
REFI Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance Inc.	D	48/100	6.4x	—	11.7%	-1.34%	$229.6M	/refi-vs-nxdt →
AIV Apartment Investment and Management Company	D	48/100	—	—	85.0%	-4.27%	$238.2M	/aiv-vs-nxdt →
BRT BRT Apartments Corp. (MD)	D-	37/100	—	—	-6.5%	-2.26%	$249.6M	/brt-vs-nxdt →
SITC SITE Centers Corp.	C-	59/100	—	—	53.1%	-2.36%	$200.5M	/sitc-vs-nxdt →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001356115

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) reported GAAP revenue of $86.0M (+3.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $83.2M , and +35.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of -$127.0M, operating cash flow of $9.2M, and free cash flow of $9.2M (+178.6% YoY). On the balance sheet, NXDT closed FY2025 with $1.07B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: N/A, Piotroski F-Score: 3/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$86.0M	-$127.0M	$9.2M	$9.2M	$1.07B	—
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$83.2M	-$56.6M	-$11.7M	-$11.7M	$1.22B	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$63.3M	-$117.2M	-$24.3M	-$24.3M	—	—

3. NXDT Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is NXDT stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

How does NXDT compare to REFI and AIV in the Financials sector?

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for NXDT?

Where is NXDT trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

NXDT last traded at $3.96 (-8.12% on volume of 398,482 shares), positioning the stock -23.26% below its 50-day simple moving average ($5.16) and -20.00% below its 200-day simple moving average ($4.95). Across its 52-week range of $2.55 to $5.95, NXDT sits at the 41.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 36.0 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.9% ($3.49 to $4.43).

NXDT Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Should I buy, hold, or sell NXDT stock right now?

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) currently earns a Roarable Rating of D- (Sell — SELL) with 36/100 RQD Confidence. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (-0% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.

What is NXDT's 12-month price target and RQD AI Jury consensus?

NXDT's 12-month base price target is $3.57 (range $2.78 to $6.25), backed by transparent SEC XBRL cash-flow, Form 4 insider, and CBOE options flow analysis.

Direct Sub-Reports: NXDT RQD Cockpit NXDT 12M Forecast NXDT Earnings & Move NXDT Dividends & DRIP NXDT Insiders & 13F NXDT Whale Options NXDT Profit Sankey NXDT News & Why

ROARABLE RATING BRIEF • RQD 36/100 (D-) ✓ STAGE-C NUMBER FIREWALL VERIFIED

NXDT — NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust: What the Facts Mean to a Prospective Investor

Engine: Haiku 5.5 Dossier Pipeline

As of: 2026-11-02T15:00Z

Roarable Rating Brief: What This Means to a Prospective Investor

Per the Roarable RQD 5-pillar rating engine, NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) carries a composite score of 36/100 (D- — Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) at a current price of $3.96 (-8.12%). Fundamental cash generation scores 11/20 (ROIC -0.2%, FCF yield 4.00%), institutional 13F whale accumulation scores 5/20, insider conviction scores 6/20, macro regime alignment scores 6/20 (Beta 1.00), and forensic balance-sheet protection scores 8/20 (Altman Z-Score N/A, Piotroski F-Score 3/9).

Investor Implication: At current trailing P/E and current forward P/E within Real Estate Investment Trusts, upside depends on sustained operating margin expansion (-1.6%) and free cash flow conversion relative to the 52-week range of $2.55 – $5.95.

Butterfly Effect: Supply-Chain, Sector & Catalyst Ripples

Operating in Real Estate Investment Trusts (Financials), NXDT is sensitive to 2nd-order capital expenditure cycles, input cost spreads (gross margin —), and institutional positioning across its peer cohort. Prospective investors should monitor quarterly order backlog conversion, sector capex guidance, and Form 4 insider cluster activity (0 recent filings tracked).

Open Questions to Watch: (1) Margin trajectory vs. peer median; (2) FCF conversion sustainability over the next 4 quarters; (3) Institutional 13F rebalancing around upcoming earnings.

NXDT Live News Feed, Press Releases & Catalyst Wire

Real-time company headlines, analyst actions, and sector developments for NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) • Click "Debate This Headline" to argue it in the Roar Pit below

💬 Jump to NXDT Debate Forum (3) ↓

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo • 5d ago

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust Announces Quarterly Distribution

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust ("NXDT") (NYSE: NXDT) announced today that its board of trustees has declared a quarterly cash distribution of $0.03 per common share of NXDT. The distribution will be payable on De

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 60d ago

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust Announces Investor Update Call

Yahoo Finance coverage on NXDT stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 95d ago

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust Announces Preferred Share Distribution

Yahoo Finance coverage on NXDT stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 151d ago

June 2026's Top Undervalued Small Caps With Insider Actions

The United States market has experienced a period of stability over the past week, maintaining its impressive 26% growth over the last year, with earnings projected to increase by 17% annually. In this environment, ident

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 208d ago

Bullish NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust Insiders Loaded Up On US$1.04m Of Stock

Usually, when one insider buys stock, it might not be a monumental event. But when multiple insiders are buying like...

Read Full Source ↗

🟢 CATALYST Yahoo Finance • 276d ago

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust Announces 2025 Dividend Income Tax Treatment

Yahoo Finance coverage on NXDT stock catalysts, institutional flow, and earnings outlook.

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE Yahoo Finance • 289d ago

Shareholders in NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NYSE:NXDT) are in the red if they invested three years ago

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust...

Read Full Source ↗

🟡 MARKET WIRE TradingView • 5d ago

NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust (NXDT) Declares $0.03 Quarterly Distribution

<a href="https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi2gFBVV95cUxPdHUzdlJnWHI1RmxVUUNuQTBXYi1ENlFjSlZ1dTJpeWtiSGUzVTN6UVFCbGNuUEtqeUc5TnZHeWp6YzBLd0RqajFUd3lISm9QalNzeHBKbnVycm1oMEhTR1ZMQXA1T0ZBVHhLRzB1NThjc09QTkFBMm9ONVF

Read Full Source ↗

🔥 THE ROAR PIT • LIVE COMMUNITY DEBATE 3 Active Posts & Replies

NXDT Bull vs. Bear Conversation Board — What's Your Call at $3.96?

🐂 33% BULLISH CONVICTION COMMUNITY TUG-OF-WAR ON NXDT 🐻 67% BEARISH CONVICTION

RO RoarDesk_Moderator Roarable Research Desk 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.79 (-12.1%)

📌 Pinned Debate

🔥 Official Bull vs. Bear Debate: Is NXDT (D- • RQD 36/100) a Buy at $4.31?

Welcome to the NXDT (NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust) Roar Pit. Current RQD Composite is 36/100 (Roarable Sell — Vulnerable Balance Sheet & Flow) in Real Estate Investment Trusts. Bulls point to operating leverage and sector positioning, while bears focus on macro rate sensitivity and margin execution. Pick your side (🐂 Bull or 🐻 Bear) and drop your price target below.

VA ValDiscipline Forensic Accounting Watch 🐻 BEARISH 🎯 Target: $3.58 (-16.9%)

Spot @ $4.31

Pump the brakes on NXDT — check the valuation vs. margin headwinds

Everyone in here is repeating the bull case on NXDT, but look at what you are paying: current EV/EBITDA multiples with tightening sector spreads. Unless NexPoint Diversified Real Estate Trust expands free cash flow yield next quarter, I would rather wait for a pullback closer to the 200-day moving average before touching this.

AL AlphaFlow_Cap Verified K Arena Trader 🐂 BULLISH 🎯 Target: $5.39 (+25.1%)

Spot @ $4.31

NXDT cash flow & RQD setup is being underpriced by the Street here

Looking at the 5-pillar RQD breakdown on NXDT, the market is fixating on short-term headline noise in Real Estate Investment Trusts and ignoring the balance sheet and cash flow trajectory. At $4.31 (52-wk range $2.55 - $5.95), any beat on forward guidance forces shorts and underweight funds to chase.