Stock Ratings / Industrials / XPEL / insiders

FOIL (49) TRS (55) PKOH (57) AZZ (73) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

XPEL Inc. (XPEL) Insider, 13F Hedge Fund & Politician Buy/Sell Thermometer

$45.78 +4.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.25

XPEL Inc. (XPEL) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (42% profit margin, 22% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $1.26B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.25 (+1.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 13.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk A-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XPEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (80/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY XPEL SCORES 80/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.2% FCF Margin ($62.9M FCF) & 42.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 58% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$44.43-1.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$43.81-1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$43.14+6.1% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$45.78+8.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (72) → B+ (80)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the XPEL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 80/100 (B+) score, XPEL faces multiple-compression risk if 24.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 39.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.10) or 200D SMA ($46.21) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($50.31) toward Bear Floor ($37.54).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XPEL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “XPEL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 80%NO 20%Trade / Inspect Odds →

SEC FORM 4 × 13F HEDGE FUNDS × CONGRESSIONAL STOCK ACT

XPEL Smart-Money Thermometer: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION

Explore All 13F & Congress Whales →

▲ Disclosed Buys: 0 ($0)▼ Disclosed Sales: 0 ($0)

Wide-Open SEC Form 4, 13F & Congressional Disclosure Ledger (XPEL)

No recent open-market Form 4 cluster sales or emergency dumps flagged on XPEL. Visit the Global 13F & Congressional Whale Ledger for cross-market smart-money filings.

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Quantitative Research Desk

Scheduled RQD Strong Buys & Whale Accumulation Briefing (XPEL Tape Review)

✓Breakdown of the highest-scoring RQD Green-Light breakouts across our 5,200+ rated universe
✓Forensic Red-Light accounting & dilution traps to review on your watchlist
✓Includes downloadable .ics calendar invite & nightly RQD rating-change email alerts

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

XPEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.86%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-10-30O $45.55H $46.34L $45.34C $45.78VOL 155.2K

RES: $51.46SUP: $41.96SMA50: $46.10SMA200: $46.21

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XPEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 XPEL Butterfly Map → + Track XPEL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

18.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XPEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XPEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XPEL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XPEL)

Industrials Rank #4 of 485 ⚔️ FOIL vs XPEL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (XPEL vs. FOIL, TRS, PKOH, AZZ)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, XPEL Inc. (XPEL) ranks #4 by composite RQD confidence (80/100, grade B+) and #235 by equity capitalization ($1.26B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while XPEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 42.2% gross margin. XPEL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 80/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
XPEL ACTIVE XPEL Inc.	B+	80/100	24.6x	42.2%	21.6%	+4.35%	$1.26B	Benchmark Subject
FOIL Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five	D	49/100	—	—	—	-6.99%	$1.21B	/foil-vs-xpel →
TRS TriMas Corporation	D+	55/100	11.5x	21.4%	4.8%	-1.73%	$1.39B	/trs-vs-xpel →
PKOH Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.	D+	57/100	27.4x	17.0%	15.6%	+0.69%	$652.1M	/pkoh-vs-xpel →
AZZ AZZ Inc.	B	73/100	13.0x	23.9%	11.3%	+0.82%	$4.13B	/azz-vs-xpel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001767258

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), XPEL Inc. (XPEL) reported GAAP revenue of $476.2M (+13.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $420.4M , and +20.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.2M, operating cash flow of $66.9M, and free cash flow of $62.9M (+53.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, XPEL closed FY2025 with $382.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.04, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$476.2M	$51.2M	$66.9M	$62.9M	$382.5M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$420.4M	$45.5M	$47.8M	$41.1M	$285.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$396.3M	$52.8M	$37.4M	$37.4M	—	—

3. XPEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XPEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, XPEL Inc. (NASDAQ: XPEL) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $45.78 (+4.35% 1D, market cap $1.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, XPEL ranks #4 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XPEL compare to FOIL and TRS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), XPEL carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.6x, gross margin of 42.2%, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.21B) and TRS (TriMas Corporation) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $1.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPEL?

Per XPEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001767258), XPEL Inc. generated $476.2M in revenue (+13.3% YoY), $51.2M in net income, and $62.9M in free cash flow against $382.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (42% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XPEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XPEL last traded at $45.78 (+4.35% on volume of 249,847 shares), positioning the stock -0.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.10) and -0.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.21). Across its 52-week range of $31.88 to $55.91, XPEL sits at the 57.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($42.85 to $48.71).

XPEL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

Are XPEL insiders and hedge funds buying or selling?

Roarable's SEC Form 4 and 13F Whale Thermometer currently classifies XPEL leadership and institutional positioning as: HEAVY INSIDER & 13F ACCUMULATION.

Direct Sub-Reports: XPEL RQD Cockpit XPEL 12M Forecast XPEL Earnings & Move XPEL Dividends & DRIP XPEL Insiders & 13F XPEL Whale Options XPEL Profit Sankey XPEL News & Why