Stock Ratings / Industrials / XPEL / earnings

FOIL (49) TRS (55) PKOH (57) AZZ (73) ⌘ Pro Terminal →

XPEL Inc. (XPEL) Next Earnings Date & Expected ±6.4% Move

$45.78 +4.35% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot) EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.25

XPEL Inc. (XPEL) earns a Roarable Rating of B+ (Buy) with 80/100 RQD Confidence. High-quality cash engine (42% profit margin, 22% return on capital) with steady institutional support. The company’s underlying cash engine and institutional positioning keep the composite score in the Green Buy zone.

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate) →

ROARABLE B+ • BUY Cap $1.26B

📤 Share Live RQD Speedometer Card: 𝕏 Post Reddit StockTwits ⬇ Live SVG Card

INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:

🛡️ Portfolio Crash X-Ray

EXT / AFTER-HRS: $46.25 (+1.02%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 19/20 (A+) • 13.2% FCF Margin

Verify 90D Bucket Audit →

📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 80/100 (B+) historically ranked in the Top 9% of excess returns over the next 90 days (+8.2% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 71.3% hit rate).

Audit Bucket Track Record →

RQD QUANT TACHOMETERBUY • B+

3-of-3 JEV AI Jury Bullish

Cash

SEC

Whale

Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer

5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw B+ · Rk A-

Each axis scored 0–20

12M PRICE TARGET CONE+9.9% Base Target

WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for XPEL)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±6.4%

Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (80/100 Composite)

🔍 WHY XPEL SCORES 80/100 (B+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag

▲ #1 Bullish Driver: Cash Engine Quality+19/20 pts (24% of score)

SEC XBRL FY 2025 (10-K): 13.2% FCF Margin ($62.9M FCF) & 42.2% Gross Margin

▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Macro Regime Fit+17/20 pts (21% of score)

FRED Regime × Technicals: 58% of 52W Range • RSI-14 at 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE)

▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning11/20 pts (-9 pt drag)

Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-9 pts vs max)

📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current

Q1 (-3Q)

Grade B$44.43-1.4% Next Q

Q2 (-2Q)

Grade B+$43.81-1.5% Next Q

Q3 (-1Q)

Grade B+$43.14+6.1% Next Q

Current

Grade B+$45.78+8.2% Hist 90D α

Trajectory: B (72) → B+ (80)Full Audit →

⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)GIDEON ASHMERE // FORENSIC SHORT & KILL-SWITCH DOSSIER

⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: Why the XPEL Bull Thesis Could Fail

Gideon Ashmere Forensic Desk →

Even with a 80/100 (B+) score, XPEL faces multiple-compression risk if 24.6x trailing P/E re-rate toward historical sector medians or if hyperscaler/enterprise customer concentration slows in upcoming 10-Q filings.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #1

Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #2

Dilution & Margin Drag: Cannibal Buyback (-2.64% YoY Shares) — any gross margin slip below 39.7% triggers an automatic RQD downgrade.

⚠️ Forensic Kill-Switch #3

Technical & Forensic Kill-Switch: A daily close below the 50D SMA ($46.10) or 200D SMA ($46.21) invalidates the momentum regime and cuts Target Base ($50.31) toward Bear Floor ($37.54).

🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $XPEL• $2.4M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite

Contract: “XPEL Beats Next Quarter EPS Consensus (Dec 30, 2026) & Holds Above 200D SMA”

YES 80%NO 20%Trade / Inspect Odds →

NEXT EST. WINDOW: Dec 30, 2026 (~58 DAYS)

Historical OHLCV Volatility ±6.4% Swing Band

±$2.93 Expected Swing

MODEL EARNINGS SETUP GAUGE

XPEL Quantitative Pre-Earnings Setup: 80/100

Trailing EPS: $1.86 • YoY Revenue Growth: 13.3%

Model Bullish Setup (80/100)Model Risk Weight (20/100)

Derived deterministically from RQD cash-flow quality, SEC accrual safety, and institutional flow (not a community poll).

LOG YOUR PERSONAL PRE-EARNINGS STANCE (SAVED LOCALLY IN BROWSER):

Recent SEC Reported Revenue, Net Profit & Diluted EPS Cadence

Period	Filed	Revenue	Net Profit	Free Cash Flow	Gross Margin
FY 2025	2025-12-31	$476.2M	$51.2M	$62.9M	42.2%
FY 2024	2024-12-31	$420.4M	$45.5M	$41.1M	42.2%
FY 2023	2023-12-31	$396.3M	$52.8M	$37.4M	42.2%

ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher + Options & Swing Structure Desk

Whale Flow & Momentum Playbook: Evaluating XPEL & AI Leaders Without Chasing Tops

✓Institutional whale strikes & implied earnings move audit on XPEL
✓How disciplined traders manage risk using pre-published trigger & invalidation levels
✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on tracked leaders

RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED

Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?

Join Founding VIP Waitlist (No Card Required) →$100K Arena

XPEL // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: -3.86%▲ ASCENDING TRIANGLE

2026-10-30O $45.55H $46.34L $45.34C $45.78VOL 155.2K

RES: $51.46SUP: $41.96SMA50: $46.10SMA200: $46.21

PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK

XPEL Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure

🦋 XPEL Butterfly Map → + Track XPEL →

Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)

Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).

Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)

18.3%/yr Implied 5Y Growth

vs. +13.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).

Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)

No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on XPEL today. View full Setup Ledger →

🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections Open Graph →

No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for XPEL. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.

AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video

🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for XPEL today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →

DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK

📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (XPEL)

Industrials Rank #4 of 485 ⚔️ FOIL vs XPEL Full Matrix →

1. Head-to-Head Industrials Peer Comparison (XPEL vs. FOIL, TRS, PKOH, AZZ)

Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)

Across 485 tracked Industrials securities in the Roarable RQD universe, XPEL Inc. (XPEL) ranks #4 by composite RQD confidence (80/100, grade B+) and #235 by equity capitalization ($1.26B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, TRS leads on earnings valuation at 11.5x trailing P/E, while XPEL leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 21.6% ROIC and 42.2% gross margin. XPEL currently leads its immediate peer cohort in composite quantitative strength at 80/100 (B+).

Ticker / Company	Roarable Grade	RQD Score	Trailing P/E	Gross Margin	ROIC	1D Change	Market Cap	Head-to-Head
XPEL ACTIVE XPEL Inc.	B+	80/100	24.6x	42.2%	21.6%	+4.35%	$1.26B	Benchmark Subject
FOIL Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five	D	49/100	—	—	—	-6.99%	$1.21B	/foil-vs-xpel →
TRS TriMas Corporation	D+	55/100	11.5x	21.4%	4.8%	-1.73%	$1.39B	/trs-vs-xpel →
PKOH Park-Ohio Holdings Corp.	D+	57/100	27.4x	17.0%	15.6%	+0.69%	$652.1M	/pkoh-vs-xpel →
AZZ AZZ Inc.	B	73/100	13.0x	23.9%	11.3%	+0.82%	$4.13B	/azz-vs-xpel →

2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)

SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001767258

In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), XPEL Inc. (XPEL) reported GAAP revenue of $476.2M (+13.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $420.4M , and +20.2% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $51.2M, operating cash flow of $66.9M, and free cash flow of $62.9M (+53.1% YoY). On the balance sheet, XPEL closed FY2025 with $382.5M in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 11.04, Piotroski F-Score: 9/9).

Fiscal Period	Filing Date	Revenue	Net Income	Operating Cash Flow	Free Cash Flow	Total Assets	Total Debt
FY2025 (FY)	2025-12-31	$476.2M	$51.2M	$66.9M	$62.9M	$382.5M	$0
FY2024 (FY)	2024-12-31	$420.4M	$45.5M	$47.8M	$41.1M	$285.6M	—
FY2023 (FY)	2023-12-31	$396.3M	$52.8M	$37.4M	$37.4M	—	—

3. XPEL Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)

✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLED

Is XPEL stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?

As of 2026-11-01, XPEL Inc. (NASDAQ: XPEL) is rated B+ (Buy / BUY) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 80/100 at a spot price of $45.78 (+4.35% 1D, market cap $1.26B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 19/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 16/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 17/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 17/20. Across 485 tracked Industrials issuers, XPEL ranks #4 in composite RQD confidence.

How does XPEL compare to FOIL and TRS in the Industrials sector?

Within the Industrials sector (Industrial Specialties), XPEL carries a Roarable B+ (80/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 24.6x, gross margin of 42.2%, and ROIC of 21.6%. By comparison, FOIL (Londian Wason New Energy Tech Inc. each representing five) holds a D grade (49/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $1.21B) and TRS (TriMas Corporation) posts a D+ grade (55/100 RQD, P/E 11.5x, ROIC 4.8%, cap $1.39B). Among the 5-stock peer group, TRS leads on earnings multiple (11.5x) while XPEL leads on capital efficiency (21.6% ROIC).

What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for XPEL?

Per XPEL's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001767258), XPEL Inc. generated $476.2M in revenue (+13.3% YoY), $51.2M in net income, and $62.9M in free cash flow against $382.5M in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Strong cash generator (42% profit margin)—profits are backed by real money, not accounting tricks.. Primary risk factors monitored: Broader market pullbacks can still drag down strong stocks in the short run.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.

Where is XPEL trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?

XPEL last traded at $45.78 (+4.35% on volume of 249,847 shares), positioning the stock -0.69% below its 50-day simple moving average ($46.10) and -0.93% below its 200-day simple moving average ($46.21). Across its 52-week range of $31.88 to $55.91, XPEL sits at the 57.8% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 54.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±6.4% ($42.85 to $48.71).

XPEL Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index

100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FRED

When is XPEL's next earnings date?

Based on SEC filing cadence, XPEL Inc. (XPEL)'s next quarterly reporting window is estimated around Dec 30, 2026.

How much is XPEL stock expected to move on earnings?

Volatility modeling currently projects a ±6.4% event move for XPEL, spanning a range between $42.85 and $48.71.

Direct Sub-Reports: XPEL RQD Cockpit XPEL 12M Forecast XPEL Earnings & Move XPEL Dividends & DRIP XPEL Insiders & 13F XPEL Whale Options XPEL Profit Sankey XPEL News & Why