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Why WLFC Stock surged +4.05% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 58/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
Why WLFC Stock surged +4.05% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) surged +4.05% to $41.86, trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($36.39 – $81.54). Stretched risk/reward at 8x P/E (13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 12% of its 52-week range ($36.39 – $81.54) with RSI-14 at 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±11.8% around $41.86 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 52% gross margin and $252.2M annual free cash flow.
COCONUT CREEK, Fla., Oct. 30, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Willis Lease Finance Corporation (NASDAQ: WLFC) (“WLFC” or the “Company”), announced today the Company’s quarterly dividend of $0.15 per share of common stock outsta
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Herc Holdings (HRI) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +26.95% and +1.98%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
COCONUT CREEK, Fla., Oct. 26, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Willis Lease Finance Corporation (NASDAQ: WLFC) (the “Company”), the leading lessor of commercial aircraft engines and global provider of aviation services, today an
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Ryder (R) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +3.84% and +1.02%, respectively, for the quarter ended September 2026. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring WLFC)
- ✓Walkthrough of WLFC's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
WLFC Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
vs. +28.3% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on WLFC today. View full Setup Ledger →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for WLFC. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (WLFC)
1. Head-to-Head Consumer Discretionary Peer Comparison (WLFC vs. ADSE, DSGR, PII, ASLE)
Industry: Industrial Specialties (55 Tracked Issuers)Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) ranks #446 by composite RQD confidence (58/100, grade D+) and #514 by equity capitalization ($955.0M). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, WLFC leads on earnings valuation at 8.4x trailing P/E, while WLFC leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 12.8% ROIC and — gross margin. DSGR currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 63/100 (C) compared with WLFC at 58/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WLFC
ACTIVE
Willis Lease Finance Corporation | D+ | 58/100 | 8.4x | — | 12.8% | +4.05% | $955.0M | Benchmark Subject |
| ADSE ADS-TEC ENERGY PLC | C- | 61/100 | — | — | — | +0.10% | $731.8M | /adse-vs-wlfc → |
| DSGR Distribution Solutions Group Inc. | C | 63/100 | — | 33.4% | 4.9% | +0.09% | $1.62B | /dsgr-vs-wlfc → |
| PII Polaris Inc. | D- | 40/100 | — | 19.1% | -11.5% | +2.78% | $3.43B | /pii-vs-wlfc → |
| ASLE AerSale Corporation | D- | 43/100 | 26.1x | 31.5% | 2.3% | +2.40% | $223.8M | /asle-vs-wlfc → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001018164In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Willis Lease Finance Corporation (WLFC) reported GAAP revenue of $730.2M (+28.3% vs. FY2024 revenue of $569.2M , and +74.5% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $114.0M, operating cash flow of $283.2M, and free cash flow of $252.2M (-6.2% YoY). On the balance sheet, WLFC closed FY2025 with $3.94B in total assets against $0 in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 0.66, Piotroski F-Score: 6/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $730.2M | $114.0M | $283.2M | $252.2M | $3.94B | — |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $569.2M | $109.0M | $284.4M | $268.8M | $3.30B | — |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $418.6M | $44.0M | $229.7M | $229.7M | — | — |
3. WLFC Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs WLFC stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Willis Lease Finance Corporation (NASDAQ: WLFC) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 58/100 at a spot price of $41.86 (+4.05% 1D, market cap $955.0M). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 11/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 11/20, Executive Insider Alignment 10/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 13/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 1011 tracked Consumer Discretionary issuers, WLFC ranks #446 in composite RQD confidence.
How does WLFC compare to ADSE and DSGR in the Consumer Discretionary sector?
Within the Consumer Discretionary sector (Industrial Specialties), WLFC carries a Roarable D+ (58/100 RQD), trailing P/E of 8.4x, gross margin of —, and ROIC of 12.8%. By comparison, ADSE (ADS-TEC ENERGY PLC) holds a C- grade (61/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC —, cap $731.8M) and DSGR (Distribution Solutions Group Inc.) posts a C grade (63/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 4.9%, cap $1.62B). Among the 5-stock peer group, WLFC leads on earnings multiple (8.4x) while WLFC leads on capital efficiency (12.8% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for WLFC?
Per WLFC's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001018164), Willis Lease Finance Corporation generated $730.2M in revenue (+28.3% YoY), $114.0M in net income, and $252.2M in free cash flow against $3.94B in total assets and $0 in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Consumer Discretionary with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Recent SEC filings added new risk-factor disclosures that warrant keeping an eye on margins.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is WLFC trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
WLFC last traded at $41.86 (+4.05% on volume of 221,321 shares), positioning the stock -13.32% below its 50-day simple moving average ($48.29) and -30.64% below its 200-day simple moving average ($60.35). Across its 52-week range of $36.39 to $81.54, WLFC sits at the 12.1% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 44.8 (NEUTRAL RANGE) and an implied next-earnings move of ±11.8% ($36.92 to $46.80).
WLFC Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is WLFC stock moving today?
Why WLFC Stock surged +4.05% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at 8x P/E (13% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.