MARKET WIRECNBC • 2h ago
Here are 3 big things we're watching in the stock market in the week aheadThe market could use a few victories in the days ahead, which will be filled with more earnings, an election, and jobs data.
Why VERX Stock advanced +0.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
$14.86 +0.34% NASDAQ • Live Quote vs Prior Daily Close (Synced Snapshot)
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.84
Vertex Inc. (Class A) (VERX) carries a Roarable Rating of D+ (Sell) with 53/100 RQD Confidence due to weak cash-flow efficiency and sensitivity to current interest rates. Wait for business cash flow and institutional buying to improve before committing fresh capital.
ROARABLE D+ • SELL / AVOID
Cap $2.41B
INTERACTIVE SCENARIO DECK:
EXT / AFTER-HRS: $14.84 (-0.13%)🧬 Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)⚙️ Cash Engine: 8/20 (D-) • 22.1% FCF Margin
Verify 90D Bucket Audit →📊 Historical Track Record: Scores of 53/100 (D+) historically posted market-perform odds over rolling 90-day windows (-0.9% avg 90D alpha vs SPY • 50.6% hit rate — wait for RQD ≥ 70 breakout).
Audit Bucket Track Record →RQD QUANT TACHOMETERSELL / AVOID • D+
JEV AI Jury Split (Battleground)
Cash
SEC
Whale
Impersonal quantitative research (0–100 RQD rubric) — not individualized investment advice. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full Disclaimer
5-PILLAR SNOWFLAKE RADARRw D · Rk C-
Each axis scored 0–20
12M PRICE TARGET CONE-2.2% Base Target
WHALE OPTIONS SNAPSHOT: — (No Active Options Snapshot on file for VERX)Realized 20D OHLCV Swing Band: ±9%
Deterministic 5-Pillar Attribution (53/100 Composite)
🔍 WHY VERX SCORES 53/100 (D+) — TOP 3 DRIVERS2 Bullish Pillars + #1 Risk Drag
▲ #1 Bullish Driver: SEC 10-K Forensic Risk+14/20 pts (26% of score)
Altman Z-Score 1.96 (WATCH ZONE (1.8–3.0)) • Piotroski F-Score 7/9
▲ #2 Bullish Driver: Insider Conviction & Share Dilution+13/20 pts (25% of score)
SEC Form 4 / 13F Thermometer: 65% Net Buy • Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)
▼ #1 Drag / Risk Factor: Whale & Options Positioning8/20 pts (-12 pt drag)
Put hedging (50% put share) caps near-term gamma upside (-12 pts vs max)
📈 PAST 4 QUARTERS RQD vs SUBSEQUENT RETURNQ1 → Q2 → Q3 → Current
Q1 (-3Q)Grade D$12.95+3.2% Next Q
45
Q2 (-2Q)Grade D$13.37+15.1% Next Q
48
Q3 (-1Q)Grade C-$15.39-3.4% Next Q
50
CurrentGrade D+$14.86-0.9% Hist 90D α
53
Trajectory: D (45) → D+ (53)Full Audit →
⚔️ ADVERSARIAL OPPOSING CASE & FORENSIC KILL-SWITCH (WHY THE BULL/BEAR THESIS COULD FAIL)CONTRARIAN TURNAROUND & SHORT-SQUEEZE DOSSIER
⚔️ Adversarial Opposing Case: What Could Spark a VERX Turnaround Squeeze
While VERX currently carries a cautious 53/100 (D+) rating due to Whale & Options Positioning (8/20), shorts face asymmetric squeeze risk if free cash flow inflects or management executes accretive buybacks.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #1
Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #2
Options & Short-Covering Gamma: Reclaiming the 50-day SMA ($13.15) and Max Pain ($15.60) forces dealer call-delta covering toward $24.10.
🚀 Contrarian Squeeze Trigger #3
Forensic Repair Trigger: Halting share dilution (Cannibal Buyback (-1.52% YoY Shares)) or retiring high-cost debt immediately upgrades the SEC 10-K Forensic pillar.
🎲 LIVE PREDICTION MARKET ODDS TIED TO $VERX• $4.8M Crowd Pool • Kalshi / Polymarket Composite
Contract: “VERX Beats Next Quarterly Revenue & EPS Consensus + Hyperscaler AI CapEx Holds Record Pace”
AUTOMATED RQD QUANT DESK MOVER BRIEFINGFull Market News Desk →
Why VERX Stock advanced +0.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash
Vertex Inc. (Class A) (VERX) advanced +0.34% to $14.86, trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($10.21 – $22.95). Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.
- ▸Technical Tape: Trading at 36% of its 52-week range ($10.21 – $22.95) with RSI-14 at 70.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)).
- ▸Volatility Profile: Historical 20-day realized swing band of ±9% around $14.86 (no active unusual options sweep snapshot on file).
- ▸Fundamental Anchor: Roarable D+ (Sell) backed by 64.3% gross margin and $165.5M annual free cash flow.
Live VERX Headlines & Catalysts
MARKET WIRECNBC • 3h ago
Democratic Rep. Stevens endorses Rogers over El-Sayed in Michigan Senate electionHaley Stevens had lost the Democratic nomination for Senate in Michigan to Abdul El-Sayed earlier this year.
RISK WATCHReuters • 4h ago
Israeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say - ReutersIsraeli strikes kill eight people in Gaza - medics say Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 5h ago
Russia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off - ReutersRussia's FSB says minor detained over park attack threat after US tip-off Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 6h ago
Iran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war - ReutersIran, Qatari mediators hold third day of talks to end US-Iran war Reuters
CATALYSTReuters • 7h ago
Qatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns - ReutersQatar surges, bucking Gulf market slide on Iran war concerns Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
OPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 - ReutersOPEC+ keeps December oil output targets steady ahead of tougher call for 2027 Reuters
MARKET WIREReuters • 7h ago
German ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt - ReutersGerman ministers pledge tough action after rioters damage stores in Frankfurt Reuters
ON-DEMAND RQD QUANT WORKSHOP • SPONSORED / PARTNER SPOTLIGHTHosted by Perry Belcher & Roarable Forensic Quant Desk
Red-Light Warning Desk: Spotting SEC Cash-Flow & Dilution Risks Before Downgrades (Featuring VERX)
- ✓Walkthrough of VERX's RQD Radar, SEC cash-conversion gap & downside invalidation levels
- ✓3 asymmetric Bear/Hedge frameworks when 10-year Treasury yields stay elevated
- ✓Includes nightly RQD rating-change & forensic signal email alerts on your tracked stocks
RQD INSIDER CLUB WAITLIST$49/YR PLANNED
Want Custom AI PineScript / Python Indicators & Priority Rating-Change Alerts?
VERX // CANDLESTICK & AUTO-TRENDLINE WORKSTATION6M: +20.13%📐 HORIZONTAL RANGE
2026-10-30O $14.92H $15.40L $14.86C $14.86VOL 1.43M
RES: $15.68SUP: $10.74SMA50: $13.15SMA200: $13.29
PRIMARY-SOURCE FORENSICS, SECOND-ORDER LINKS & AI ANALYST DESK
VERX Dilution Monitor, Expectations Hurdle, Butterfly Connections & Policy Exposure
Share Count & Dilution Monitor (#25)
Multi-year comparable XBRL diluted share count not disclosed (ETF or recent listing).
Reverse-DCF Expectations Hurdle (#30)
8.0%/yr Implied 5Y Growth
vs. +12.2% actual YoY revenue growth (assuming 9.25% cost of equity & 16.5x terminal multiple).
Ellis Vennor Setup Ledger (#33)
No active Ellis Vennor swing setup published on VERX today. View full Setup Ledger →
🦋 Documented & Second-Order Butterfly Connections
Open Graph →
No direct multi-tier Butterfly edges indexed yet for VERX. Explore sector supply chains on /butterfly.
AI Analyst Theses, Washington Policy & Company Video
🎬 No recent verified company-specific video clip queued for VERX today (we never pad ticker pages with unrelated generic clips). Browse Macro Video Desk →
DETERMINISTIC MULTI-FACTOR EQUITY AUDIT • SEC EDGAR XBRL × RQD PEER BENCHMARK
📊 Quantitative Sector Peer Comparison, SEC Filing Delta & Investment FAQ (VERX)
Technology Rank #353 of 714
⚔️ KC vs VERX Full Matrix →
1. Head-to-Head Technology Peer Comparison (VERX vs. KC, NCNO, BLKB, ASAN)
Industry: Computer Software: Prepackaged Software (222 Tracked Issuers)Across 714 tracked Technology securities in the Roarable RQD universe, Vertex Inc. (Class A) (VERX) ranks #353 by composite RQD confidence (53/100, grade D+) and #275 by equity capitalization ($2.41B). Within this direct 5-issuer industry benchmark cohort, BLKB leads on earnings valuation at 20.6x trailing P/E, while BLKB leads on capital efficiency and profitability with 13.3% ROIC and 58.8% gross margin. NCNO currently holds the highest overall quantitative score in the immediate peer group at 58/100 (D+) compared with VERX at 53/100 (D+).
| Ticker / Company | Roarable Grade | RQD Score | Trailing P/E | Gross Margin | ROIC | 1D Change | Market Cap | Head-to-Head |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VERX
ACTIVE
Vertex Inc. (Class A) | D+ | 53/100 | — | 64.3% | 0.7% | +0.34% | $2.41B | Benchmark Subject |
| KC Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited | D | 45/100 | — | 15.7% | -9.7% | -5.56% | $2.44B | /kc-vs-verx → |
| NCNO nCino Inc. | D+ | 58/100 | — | 60.6% | 0.2% | -0.97% | $2.37B | /ncno-vs-verx → |
| BLKB Blackbaud Inc. | D | 51/100 | 20.6x | 58.8% | 13.3% | +0.38% | $2.37B | /blkb-vs-verx → |
| ASAN Asana Inc. (Class A) | D- | 41/100 | — | 89.0% | -35.0% | -4.17% | $2.58B | /asan-vs-verx → |
2. Multi-Year SEC XBRL Revenue, Cash Flow & Balance-Sheet Trajectory (FY2023–FY2025)
SEC EDGAR 10-K • FILED 2025-12-31 • CIK 0001806837In its most recent audited fiscal period (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31), Vertex Inc. (Class A) (VERX) reported GAAP revenue of $748.4M (+12.2% vs. FY2024 revenue of $666.8M , and +30.8% cumulative change since FY2023) , GAAP net income of $7.2M, operating cash flow of $165.5M, and free cash flow of $165.5M (+0.4% YoY). On the balance sheet, VERX closed FY2025 with $1.27B in total assets against $337.5M in total debt (Altman Z-Score: 1.96, Piotroski F-Score: 7/9).
| Fiscal Period | Filing Date | Revenue | Net Income | Operating Cash Flow | Free Cash Flow | Total Assets | Total Debt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2025 (FY) | 2025-12-31 | $748.4M | $7.2M | $165.5M | $165.5M | $1.27B | $337.5M |
| FY2024 (FY) | 2024-12-31 | $666.8M | -$52.7M | $164.8M | $164.8M | $1.17B | $335.2M |
| FY2023 (FY) | 2023-12-31 | $572.4M | -$13.1M | $74.3M | $74.3M | — | — |
3. VERX Data-Verified Investor FAQ (RQD Rating, Sector Peers, SEC Forensics & Technicals)
✓ SCHEMA.ORG FAQPAGE JSON-LD ENABLEDIs VERX stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell right now according to Roarable's RQD model?
As of 2026-11-01, Vertex Inc. (Class A) (NASDAQ: VERX) is rated D+ (Sell / SELL) by Roarable's 5-pillar RQD engine with a composite confidence score of 53/100 at a spot price of $14.86 (+0.34% 1D, market cap $2.41B). Pillar breakdown: Fundamental Cash Engine 8/20, Institutional 13F & Options Flow 8/20, Executive Insider Alignment 14/20, FRED Macro Regime Fit 10/20, and SEC Balance-Sheet Forensics 13/20. Across 714 tracked Technology issuers, VERX ranks #353 in composite RQD confidence.
How does VERX compare to KC and NCNO in the Technology sector?
Within the Technology sector (Computer Software: Prepackaged Software), VERX carries a Roarable D+ (53/100 RQD), trailing P/E of N/A, gross margin of 64.3%, and ROIC of 0.7%. By comparison, KC (Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited) holds a D grade (45/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC -9.7%, cap $2.44B) and NCNO (nCino Inc.) posts a D+ grade (58/100 RQD, P/E N/A, ROIC 0.2%, cap $2.37B). Among the 5-stock peer group, BLKB leads on earnings multiple (20.6x) while BLKB leads on capital efficiency (13.3% ROIC).
What are the biggest fundamental strengths and SEC risk factors for VERX?
Per VERX's SEC EDGAR XBRL 10-K filing (FY2025, filed 2025-12-31, CIK 0001806837), Vertex Inc. (Class A) generated $748.4M in revenue (+12.2% YoY), $7.2M in net income, and $165.5M in free cash flow against $1.27B in total assets and $337.5M in total debt. Key quantitative strengths: Established market leader in Technology with deep daily trading liquidity.. Primary risk factors monitored: Sensitive to high interest rates and tighter Federal Reserve market liquidity.. Institutional options positioning shows a 50% call / 50% put premium split.
Where is VERX trading relative to its 50-day, 200-day, and 52-week technical levels?
VERX last traded at $14.86 (+0.34% on volume of 975,483 shares), positioning the stock +13.00% above its 50-day simple moving average ($13.15) and +11.81% above its 200-day simple moving average ($13.29). Across its 52-week range of $10.21 to $22.95, VERX sits at the 36.5% percentile with a 14-day RSI of 70.2 (OVERBOUGHT (>70)) and an implied next-earnings move of ±9.0% ($13.52 to $16.20).
VERX Investor FAQ & Complete 8-Part Research Index
100% OPEN ACCESS • SEC EDGAR × CBOE × FREDWhy is VERX stock moving today?
Why VERX Stock advanced +0.34% Today — RQD Quant Desk Flash. Stretched risk/reward at current multiples (1% return on capital) under elevated 10-year interest-rate pressure.